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Would anyone miss them if they were dissolved?

COVID denialists and the grifters who profit from them.

Jeezuz

I mean, they gave up years ago so this is not surprising.

@mtosterholm.bsky.social and @cidrap.bsky.social Would love your commentary, either in thread or in the podcast.

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It will only get negative if the median value on a day in 2025 is lower than the tenth percentile of that day in 2024, which is unlikely without major policy changes.

I don't know. I am assuming that the baseline will be comfortably above "1" that they can account for the occasional month where SARS-CoV-2 is circulating less than "normal"

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Log transformation of the SARS-CoV-2 concentration data should produce a normal distribution (bell curve) & the selection of the 10th percentile of that bell curve should produce a baseline representing the lowest 10% values of the last 12 months of observation If I understand what they are saying

Sigh. And so it begins.

I’m in Alberta Canada, we don’t test anything. We also don’t “believe” in illness. This is where you are headed.

It will never actually be over

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@gregorytravis.com I am going to post this to my Instagram if it's alright. Do you have an account for me to tag you?

@patbiosteamist.bsky.social

I’m bracing for nationwide mask bans.

Yeah, I absolutely had 0% trust in the cdc as a source of info by 2022. Might have still had *some* in 2021.

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Noooo

Is this done with any other illness?

Jfc

I’m wondering this too!

Jfc

Gotta get someone to un-normalize it

WTF

Not to worry. After budget cuts at CDC, they won't be measuring those pesky levels any more. So the new measurement will be "zero", and it will be down from last year.

flu/RSV will be 18 months. do you happen to know what the current baseline period is? the site just says 12 months.🤔

This doesn’t seem like they’re zeroing out the previous years’ data to me

yes, that's my impression too. they'd need a recent baseline to do the calculation they're doing now, so i doubt it's zero. did they shorten the baseline period for covid because it's not seasonal like flu/rsv? flu/rsv is 18 months, maybe a short period for covid is a good thing bc mult waves/yr?🤔

thank you!

WTeverlovingF

Do you know if the data used to calculate these new wastewater levels will still be public?

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🤦🏼‍♀️

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Thanks explaining how it's figured.

wait, this sounds very different from normalizing to an endemic _baseline_. I would have interpreted "endemic baseline" as meaning the minimum levels observed during endemic spread. I can't find a description of this CDC policy change online -- do you have a link to it to help clarify?

JFC!

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That is misleading and dishonest. Shame on whoever came up with the idea, and more shame on whoever thought it was wise to implement.

Following this there will be a mask ban for "national security purposes".

Is it possible the “baseline” will allow for negative numbers? At least that would make it clear that zero ain’t zero

This is infuriating and such a betrayal to public health.

The thing scaring me right now is the lack of units on the y axis.

@threadreaderapp.bsky.social Unroll

If someone tried to publish this in a scientific journal, it would not pass peer review. Or if it did, it would later get retracted. At least I would hope…

They have moved the goalposts many times. #maskup

Any idea why COVID spread is predicted to be so low in 2025? Did vax rates go up while I wasn’t looking?

If we don't need to live with a constant amount of SARS-CoV-2 virus in the air we breathe... ...then why do we live with a constant amount of SARS-CoV-2 virus in the air we breathe?

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there was a time when we could ask our "representatives" to do something about it and they would. now? they're too busy fundraising and funneling their bribes to give a shit about the "little folk".

Way to control the narrative