Clément Jaffrelo

Clément Jaffrelo

@synth-ethics.bsky.social

197 followers140 following218 posts

Clément Jaffrelo reposted

NEW STUDY: How much CO2 can we safely store in geological formations? In a new @nature.com study, we cross-check established academic and industry estimates with various risk factors. We find a prudent geological CO2 storage limit that is about 10x smaller. /1

Clément Jaffrelo reposted

Our comment on the DOE CWG report is done. It tips the scales at 439 pages, approx. 3x longer than the DOE report. This is related to Brandolini's law: The amount of energy needed to refute bullshit is an order of magnitude bigger than that needed to produce it. Example: refuting one sentence.

Clément Jaffrelo reposted

🌡️ Rares voire rarissimes en France au XXe siècle, les températures dépassant localement les 40 degrés sont devenues fréquentes depuis l’an 2000. Voici une carte animée localisant chaque année où les stations de Météo-France ont relevé ou dépassé 40 degrés (données au 17 août).

Clément Jaffrelo reposted

⚫️ La Direction de l’AFP partage l’angoisse exprimée par la SDJ quant à la situation effroyable de ses collaborateurs dans la bande de Gaza ⬇️

Clément Jaffrelo reposted

The more we discover, the worse it gets. Now we learn the water companies wrote the guidance ensuring sewage sludge is not tested for the vast majority of contaminants before being spread on farmland. They gave themselves a free licence to dump hazardous waste. 🧵 www.theguardian.com/environment/...

theguardian.comEnvironment Agency insider alleges ‘cover-up’ over sewage sludge on farmlandRegulator and government accused of colluding with water industry to dump potentially toxic waste without oversight

Clément Jaffrelo reposted

Replying to @weatherwest.bsky.social

The second is that the NWS historically has done a very good job at that forecast contextualization (outreach to local governments, emergency managers, outdoor recreation facilities, etc.). But that's one of the first things to go away when offices are critically understaffed.

Clément Jaffrelo reposted

There have been claims that NOAA/NWS did not foresee catastrophic TX floods--but that's simply not true. This was undoubtedly an extreme event, but messaging rapidly escalated beginning ~12 hrs prior. Flood Watch mid PM, "heads up" outlook late PM, flash flood warnings ~1am.

Peter Mullinax@wxmvpete.bsky.social

WPC issued as many as six MPDs for the deadly flash flooding in the TX Hill Country starting yesterday evening and lasting through much of today. The first MPD generally set the stage for what was to come, while the next three shown were as the event unfolded.

Clément Jaffrelo reposted

Host: Are you saying the US did not see intelligence that the Supreme Leader had ordered weaponization? Rubio: That’s irrelevant Host: No, that's a key point Rubio: No it’s not… Forget about intelligence

Clément Jaffrelo reposted

Après plus de dix ans de dénégations de Rachida Dati auprès des journalistes, des juges d’instruction et du Parlement européen qui avait ouvert une enquête interne, Complément d’enquête et Le Nouvel Obs révèlent des documents comptables attestant de liens entre Rachida Dati et GDF Suez

Clément Jaffrelo reposted

I will forever be haunted by this footage. Trawling has only been filmed underwater a few times in documentary history, and never with such clarity. What’s so heart-rending about these shots is watching how the animals don’t just get swept up — they swim for their lives. 🌎🦑🧪

Clément Jaffrelo reposted

Replying to @zekehausfather.com

With the first four months of the year now available, I estimate that 2025 is most likely to be the second warmest year on record at 1.52C in ERA5, with a ~8% chance of beating 2024 as the warmest and a ~25% chance of coming in at the third warmest after 2023:

"The skull-cup, fashioned from a sawn-off and polished braincase adorned with a silver rim and stand, was used regularly at formal dinners at Worcester College, Oxford, until 2015" 😐

George Monbiot@georgemonbiot.bsky.social

The august facades and impeccable decorum of our great institutions arise from fortunes built on slavery and murder. As WH Auden noted of Oxford: "Knowledge is conceived in the hot womb of Violence". This ritual cannibalism is perfectly symbolic of the whole. www.theguardian.com/science/2025...

Clément Jaffrelo reposted

Dismantling the US Global Change Research Program is, alas, no surprise. USGCRP and the National Climate Assessment have long been on the radar for the Trumpists. But they don’t want to eliminate it. They want to use it for their own ends. [1/11] www.politico.com/news/2025/04...

politico.comTrump moves to hobble major US climate change studyThe cuts are a potentially fatal blow to the National Climate Assessment that Congress mandated to ensure the government understands the threats posed by rising temperatures.

Clément Jaffrelo reposted

We do need to adapt to climate change but it's going to be an absolute nightmare. I wrote about it here: www.theclimatebrink.com/p/adaptation...

theclimatebrink.comAdaptation to climate change will be an absolute nightmareWhy the easy way out is no way out at all
Ben Spencer@ben-spencer.bsky.social

3. The world has failed to stop climate change, with temperatures now above 1.5C of warming. Is it time for a plan B? The case for climate adaptation: www.thetimes.com/uk/environme...

À venir : création d'un Haut Commissariat au recyclage pour gérer toutes les reconversions d'anciens ministres échoués. 🗑♻️

Marcel@marcelaiphan.bsky.social

Le grand bal des courtisans qui traversent la rue à nos frais continue. Et l’enfance mérite mieux que ça, mais qu’attendre de positif de la part du gouvernement du complice des bourreaux de Bétharram ?

Clément Jaffrelo reposted

🔴 Le tribunal administratif de Toulouse annule l’autorisation environnementale de l’A69 et ordonne l’arrêt immédiat du chantier. C’est la 1ère fois que la justice annule une infrastructure routière de cette ampleur. Une «victoire historique pour le droit de l’environnement» selon ses opposants.

Clément Jaffrelo reposted

Trump: "The European Union was formed in order to screw the United States, that's the purpose of it. And they've done a good job of it. But now I'm president."

Clément Jaffrelo reposted

A remarkable statement: Jeff Bezos decrees that henceforth, the Washington Post opinion pages will serve the rightwing political project. Probably self-evident to many people, but I think it’s worth unpacking why that is explicitly and unequivocally what this statement means:

Holy shit. Jeff Bezos is turning the Washington Post editorial page into.... the Wall Street Journal editorial page.

Clément Jaffrelo reposted

I receive numerous requests from journalists regarding the current situation with the Intergovernemental Panel on Climate Change. I am not involved in the work of the IPCC for the 7th Assessment Cycle (AR7). 1/...

Clément Jaffrelo reposted

🔴 Un contributeur bénévole expérimenté de #Wikipédia a fait l'objet samedi de menaces directes de la part d'Erwan Seznec, journaliste à @lepoint.fr, pour avoir modifié l'article Wikipédia consacré au journal. Ces pressions à l'égard de bénévoles sont extrêmement graves et totalement inadmissibles.

"Pas de nouveau permis d'exploration d'hydrocarbures dans les eaux territoriales françaises. Partout dans le monde." "C'est ça mon engagement." - E. Macron, février 2017

Oxfam France@oxfamfrance.bsky.social

Manuel Valls a déclaré vouloir ré-ouvrir le débat sur l’exploitation des hydrocarbures en #Guyane. Un retour en arrière totalement incohérent, que ce soit au niveau environnemental, social ou économique. La France doit respecter ses engagements climatiques ⤵️

Clément Jaffrelo reposted

Mortes pour la plupart à domicile, du fait de leur conjoint. Mortes pour la plupart dans nos campagnes. Mortes parce qu'elles étaient des femmes. 1036 femmes tuées depuis l'élection du président de la République. On n'oublie pas. @noustoutesorg.bsky.social

Clément Jaffrelo reposted

The Biden administration blocked ExIm Bank funding for a controversial $20 billion LNG project in Mozambique despite a direct appeal from France’s TotalEnergies. The new Trump administration is once again reviewing the deal — cause for concern among human rights advocates. on.ft.com/42vE8nb

on.ft.comTotalEnergies failed to convince Joe Biden’s team to back $20bn African projectLNG development faces paralysis after halt in 2021 following Islamist insurgency

So it begins. 👹

Niklas Höhne@niklashoehne.bsky.social

#POTUS' long list of executive orders on energy/climate on first day: Exit Paris, not only supporting more fossil fuels, also putting barriers to renewables. Really stupid is roll back of the energy efficiency standards for appliances which save everybody money. www.nytimes.com/2025/01/20/u...

Clément Jaffrelo reposted

I have a new paper in Dialogues on Climate Change exploring climate outcomes under current policies. I find that we are likely headed toward 2.7C by 2100 (with uncertainties from 1.9C to 3.7C), and that high end emissions scenarios have become much less likely. journals.sagepub.com...

Clément Jaffrelo reposted

Here's my visual explanation of why we have not yet reached 1.5°C even though 2024 was likely warmer than 1.5°C. 2024 shows us how close we are, but the underlying warming is still under 1.5°C.