Stewart Prest

Stewart Prest

@stewartprest.ca

Recalcitrant Canadian. Political scientist at UBC in Vancouver. I research, teach and talk international relations, BCpoli, comparative democratic institutions, and contentious politics. stewartprest.ca | https://stewartprest.substack.com

5.8K followers1.4K following2.8K posts

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Replying to @sharonk.bsky.social

It would happen no matter what. The US President is basically a Roomba. When he runs into opposition he turns and starts devouring in another direction. Sooner or later he always circles back, though.

Stewart Prest reposted

One more BC thread. The NDP are going to spend a lot of time figuring out what went wrong. I think Eby never found his stride as premier, and the path to leadership was where things started to go wrong. Eby wasn't used to being the bad guy, but the disqualification of Appadurai did not go over well.

Stewart Prest reposted

Good thread with one addition: I think Eby defaulted to backroom politicking over making the public case. It wasn't just the disqualification but how he took on many files. While that can work as a Minister, it ultimately undermines a Premier who needs to be seen as open and accountable.

Stewart Prest@stewartprest.ca

One more BC thread. The NDP are going to spend a lot of time figuring out what went wrong. I think Eby never found his stride as premier, and the path to leadership was where things started to go wrong. Eby wasn't used to being the bad guy, but the disqualification of Appadurai did not go over well.

One more BC thread. The NDP are going to spend a lot of time figuring out what went wrong. I think Eby never found his stride as premier, and the path to leadership was where things started to go wrong. Eby wasn't used to being the bad guy, but the disqualification of Appadurai did not go over well.

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Instead, he increasingly relied on partisan politicking. He made case less for his own government, and more against the Conservatives. This election was brazen in its opportunism, and disheartening in its deliberate polarization. Voters responded very poorly to both—esp NDP voters who stayed home.

If true, lessons for the NDP are fourfold: 1. don't short circuit leadership races. 2. Figure out what the right policy is, and push it through. 3. Make sure you find ways to convincingly tell the story of those changes. 4. Don't make it all about polarizing partisan politics. Voters HATE that.

One more BC thread. The NDP are going to spend a lot of time figuring out what went wrong. I think Eby never found his stride as premier, and the path to leadership was where things started to go wrong. Eby wasn't used to being the bad guy, but the disqualification of Appadurai did not go over well.

From that point on, I think he had trouble trusting his instincts and pushing things through. The contrast between his time as AG, pushing through difficult reforms on files like ICBC and his timid, indecisive approach as premier to everything from DRIPA to decriminalization was remarkable.

On issues like housing, where on his watch the province made long term bets (correctly IMO!), the lack of positive response also rattled him. I think he became overly sensitive to criticism and fearful of taking a wrong step, and on many files that meant taking no meaningful steps at all.

Important to see Lorne Doerkson builds his cabinet, as this is still two parties in one. Does he welcome moderates like Milobar who left the party? Does he lean on party stalwarts like Halford? Or people like Dew, who tried to stick it out under Findlay? Are populists welcome at the table?

On that latter point, I'll be particularly interested to see if any of the candidates OneBC didn't run against make the cabinet cut: Heather Maahs, Kristina Loewen, Anna Kindy, Sharon Hartwell, Macklin McCall, Sheldon Clare, David Williams, and Lawrence Mok.

All except maybe Loewen would have won regardless of OneBC, which was mostly a non-factor, but the implicit OneBC endorsement is an indicator of populist appeal.

Stewart Prest reposted

Lula: "We had to overcome foreign interference through digital platforms, which we will have to regulate. A crime in the digital world must be treated the same as a crime in the real world. We cannot have monstrous companies earning millions... not paying taxes... wanting to steer elections."

He came up tonight, for sure. David, David, and Jim Prentice.

Aaron Wherry@aaronwherry.bsky.social

Congratulations to David Peterson, who will no longer be the first David people think of when discussing the potential peril of triggering an early election.

Turnout is shockingly low with 85% of ballot boxes in. We might not crack 50%, and are miles away from the 58% turnout in 2024.

Consistent with what I've been saying—that this was a mobilization election, not a movement. And the NDP were giving their supporters all sorts of reasons to simply stay home. Looks like they did.

Going to hear a lot of this. The NDP have been very disciplined in not questioning the decision to call the election throughout the race, but now we're going to hear more of what folks in the party actually thought—and now think—about the snap election.

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Lorne Doerkson speaking now, thanking his own team, but also thanks David Eby and voters for all parties, not just his own. Striking how different his tone is from his Conservative leader predecessor, Kerry-Lynne Findlay.

As we've learned in the recent history, losing and winning well cannot be taken for granted. It is good to see both leaders being gracious tonight in the transfer of power.

Pens down, heads up! Voting has ended in BC, and now we wait for the votes. Advance polls may come in quickly, but could be a long night for the close hand-counted results.

Stewart Prest@stewartprest.ca

I'll be watching the results roll in and talking about them on CityNews tonight, so feel free to follow along there! vancouver.citynews.ca/video/

I'm in the Times today, politely furious with the US administration.

Stewart Prest@stewartprest.ca

Me, in the NYT today: '“The accusation is itself a kind of confession"... The administration was “trying to create an equivalency where I don’t think any exists.”' www.nytimes.com/2026/10/24/w...

A tale of two Vancouvers.

Justin McElroy 🇨🇦@jmcelroy.bsky.social

The City of Vancouver released detailed election results today — and they show a story of Pete Fry becoming mayor by winning the north of the city. Fry's highest results were 80% at Britannia Community Centre and 73% at Mt. Pleasant Community Centre.

Stewart Prest reposted

The City of Vancouver released detailed election results today — and they show a story of Pete Fry becoming mayor by winning the north of the city. Fry's highest results were 80% at Britannia Community Centre and 73% at Mt. Pleasant Community Centre.

BC, the country's premier source of artisinal hand-counted election results.

Stephen Quinn@cbcstephenquinn.bsky.social

Justin McElroy and Michelle Eliot will be bringing you results tomorrow night. It could be a long night. Elections BC says they'll be hand counting votes.

These ballots, sourced from across the province, are lovingly hand-counted using time honoured democratic techniques. For quality control, the results are scrutinized carefully from multiple partisan (partisanal?) perspectives to ensure maximal electoral fidelity.

Stewart Prest reposted

Stewart Prest reposted

70 percent of the internet was vulnerable yesterday to very bad security flaws inside a coding language. Turns out, *one volunteer* is mostly responsible for maintaining that code & helping push updates. Yesterday Ondřej Surý saved the internet. So I called him up www.theatlantic.com/technology/2...

theatlantic.comThe Man Who Saved the Internet YesterdayOndřej Surý was a relatively anonymous volunteer working on PHP security. Then the internet exploded.

Stewart Prest reposted

hmmmm...not sure one person giving half a billion dollars to one party is a great sign of a healthy political system just not quite on board with that

Stewart Prest reposted

Tolerance - rather than generosity, hospitality, or friendliness- is the virtue that makes the intensive sharing characteristic of urban life possible. The specific virtue of urbanites seems to non-urbanites like standoffishness or even unfriendliness, but it is in fact the moral genius of a…

Whenever members have direct control over leadership choice (as opposed to delegated leadership selection models) this becomes difficult to enforce in practice. Parties are whatever its members want, and many UCP members want it to be a separatist party. www.theglobeandmail.com/canada/alber...

theglobeandmail.comSmith tells UCP separatists to accept referendum result or leave the partyPremier stresses need for unity within province’s conservative movement, warns infighting would deliver next election to Alberta NDP