Peter Jacobs

Operational forecast models starting to show the next round of WWBs that the longer range looks were picking up on for early November. SSTs still climbing. It's like people think any temporary lull is the end. I wish that were the case! Unfortunately this is not how ENSO works. 🫠

👀 @themonstersknow.com made the Arlington VA Public Library spooky season Halloween stand 👻🧟🧛🧌

We are just now nearing the end of another ~2 week Westerly Wind Burst event and there are some indications of another potential round coming towards the end of the month. And there is So. Much. Subsurface. Heat. How long will this event take to play out when we finally, actually do max out?

The sun rises on an incredible Super Typhoon Champi.

what an insane cyclone this one has been. unreal.

Subtext is for cowards.

Not trying to pick on anyone, but it seems like there are wx people out there who don't understand the time lags involved with the atmospheric coupling or expressing the built up subsurface heat, to say nothing of how seasonality interacts here. Nothing so far indicating this event has peaked sadly.

The evolution of Hurricane Isaias from when it was first named to reaching category 3 strength this morning (9 October 2026). Warm water + moist air can be a dangerous combination in the Gulf. For the latest version of the Hurricane Threats & Impacts guidance, visit www.weather.gov/srh/tropical...

🌀 Friday video update on Category 3 Hurricane #Isaias, expected to cause life-threatening hazards of multiple types as it nears landfall likely in western #Florida tonight. Everyone please stay safe. youtube.com/watch?v=RFMp7rCnsNs&feature=youtu.be

CAAD talks to HEATED about our latest report exposing how climate disinformation actually works in turning good news into conspiracies: heated.world/p/how-good-c...

In fact the latest Vortex Data Message from NOAA recon suggests that the eyewall of Isaias is now CLOSED again. If it remains closed this time, that should at least in theory lay the groundwork for Isaias to start strengthening at an apreciable rate again, perhaps even rapidly.

“Honey please I need you to get this done for me.” How Kimberly Guilfoyle pressed a MAGA ally to transfer $100,000 to her Amex account. on.wsj.com/4i9gzYx

Government employees are often warned to not even accept shared rides from their contractor counterparts or private sector colleagues to ensure they're avoiding the appearance of corruption. A must read here.

@drtedros.who.int addresses the question at 41:50 -- youtu.be/JN9dlRNcPEA?... -- and he argues that "we cannot ignore" stories from tabloids. In this case, that was absolutely not true. The story falsely attributed the report of a second death to an official report from Rospotrebnadzor.

Déjà vu. Nearly three years ago, @drtedros.who.int got duped by false propaganda into stoking rumors of a coverup of a mysterious illness in China. Now he's citing, but not specifying, "media reports" of a second employee in Russia. No such credible media reports appear to exist.

big contingent at the intersection of biology, technology, money, & Twitter who seem to believe the real lesson in The Boy Who Cried Wolf is that the boy didn't falsely cry wolf often enough & he should have aggressively gaslit people about non wolf events in the past being covered-up wolf attacks.

Here's a collection of photos taken at a variety of locations on the Glasgow Subway shop.tubemapper.com/Glasgow-Subw... :-)

PRINT OF THE DAY I do sometimes photograph things other than the London Underground! Today we’re heading up to Scotland & the brilliantly yellow West Street Station on the Glasgow Subway. I love the futuristic look of these trains in this composite photo. If you like this print see link attached

SEN. ERIC SCHMITT: Do these texts not prove that a shrimp fried this rice?

And now Big Balls & associates (who are working for the National Design Studio) are attempting to get access to sensitive federal data via the new Executive Order about America dot gov.

They're calling it a La(m)b Leak.

showboating Victorian bare knuckle boxer, referring to his right and left fists:

Happy Kicked In The Head By A Horse Day, to all who celebrate. It's the 7th anniversary of this absolute banger.

Relative NINO3.4 anomaly is already over +2.5C and this event is not over. Motivated reasoning is a helluva drug.

feels like a real landmark of impunity that major corporations are making federal crimes part of the interview process

congratulations to everyone on reinventing Worse Cable

You Might Think White Supremacists are Distasteful; Here’s Why You’re Wrong part 315 of an ongoing series at the New York Times

NSF has reduced the research budget for all atmospheric, ocean, and earth sciences by ~80%. 80%! A lot of us will not be conducting new research or training new students for the foreseeable future.

(After deleting my 3am "Who up sloughing they house RN?" skeet in attempt to bond with UK blueskies that got zero likes)

Many such cases!

A friend of mine works in AI and thinks bad things are about to happen. He sold his home and moved his family out the country. He said that if you own a home in a walkable San Francisco neighborhood near a taqueria with good veggie options, you should sell your home for super cheap right now.

This pic ⤵️ & the unfolding ENSO event remind me of an incredible piece of trivia: Sylvester Stallone was going to star in a movie where an El Niño somehow thaws out a pack of sabertooth tigers which then kill a bunch of people in and around Los Angeles before being taken down by an anthropologist.

Ebola outbreak in DRC grows to 7,200 cases as government officials suggest transmission has peaked This remains the second-largest Ebola outbreak in history. Read more: https://bit.ly/4xYoei2 📷: UN Photo, Ari Gaitanis / Flickr cc