Ryan Thibodaux

For those just tuning in, I'm sorry you probably can't access the Tracker. We are already at work on a (very cool) solution for next year. Doesn't help for the next 28 hours, I realize. Follow me, @tonycal.bsky.social and @shutthedore.bsky.social here and we'll keep you frequently updated. 🙏

Ross Newhan, who for the last several years was the longest tenured active BBWAA member, has died at age 89. RIP.

Some Hall of Fame news: the Contemporaty Baseball Era Committee ballot for Managers, Executives and Umpires will be announced on Monday, November 2, with the results announced on Sunday, December 6. The dates for the BBWAA ballot are Monday, November 16 and Tuesday, January 19

Very sorry to hear about the passing of Larry Millson. A legitimate legend of #Bluejays writing and a constant presence in #Jays press box over all the decades that I've been in there. Always with a smile, often mischievous, and always with a solid dig at the team when deserved. Hall of Famer.

Legendary Venezuelan sportswriter Juan Vené has passed away at the age of 97. He never stopped working. Just a few days ago, I emailed him (for the first time) about his wonderful piece on Robert Marcano and how his work has helped me so much lately. I’m glad I sent it.

Very saddened to see the news that Carl Steward (@stewardsfolly.bsky.social) passed away. RIP to a Bay Area great.

Here is the BBWAA ballot release: bbwaa.com/26-hof-ballo... Looks like about 100 ballots that will be new to the Tracker. We'll have them in the Tracker later this afternoon.

RIP Dan. 😢 defector.com/a-baseball-h...

Wrapping up my 2026 Hall of Fame election coverage with a look at the next 5 upcoming classes and the dynamics in play. This time around, I audited my admittedly-spotty performance in this endeavor going back to 2019 (my first one at @fangraphs.com; began doing this iat SI.com in 2014)

New from me: I answered your Hall of Fame questions Pettitte vs Bonds/Clemens Hamels vs Felix Rollins vs Abreu Schilling, Whitaker & 3 more players we've whiffed on The All One-Vote-for-the-HOF team And lots more! www.nytimes.com/athletic/699...

Chase Utley ended the pre-results portion of ballot season at 69.0%. We've added 15 post-results ballots since then and Utley has been on 13 of them! With 260 ballots tracked, Utley sits at 70.0%. Utley has *never* been at 70% in the Tracker (min. 10 ballots) until a few minutes ago.

Good lede, in my opinion. apnews.com/article/hall...

Center stage with our newest Hall of Famers.

new @fangraphs.com: Here it is, my rundown of the Hall of Fame election results as they pertain to all 27 candidates on this year's ballot.

Every year, @noahtrister.bsky.social is the only reporter who asks to chat with me *after* the results are announced. Here's his look ahead to the 2027 cycle: apnews.com/article/hall...

Congrats to @sardell.bsky.social, who once again had the most accurate #HOF projections this year! However, @mwwdean.bsky.social and @shutthedore.bsky.social's Flip Rate model also had very good years.

new @fangraphs.com: my first look at tonight's Hall of Fame election results — record-setting gains, record-setting comebacks, and some key trends. I'll go candidate-by-candidate in my next installment.

@jimalexander24.bsky.social You know I won't be able to rest until your post-results ballot is safely accounted for.

New from me: 5 Things We Learned from the Hall of Fame election www.nytimes.com/athletic/698...

Carlos Beltran on trying not to think too much about his HOF chance the last few weeks: "Let me tell you, my wife Jessica, she spent hours and time trying to basically stay in contact with the Hall of Fame baseball tracker." CC: @notmrtibbs.com @tonycal.bsky.social @shutthedore.bsky.social

This will need to be updated. Félix ties Aparicio for biggest all-time year over year gain (we'll have to dive into the decimal places to see who's actually #1). Utley and Pettitte also join the list.

Full voting results per the BBWAA:

We finish at 245 pre-results ballots. Thank you for following!

Ballot #245 is from Anthony McCarron, via SNY’s Baseball Night in NY. He votes again for his seven holdovers, with no changes. Carlos Beltrán ends the pre portion of the program at 89.8%, Andruw Jones at 83.3%. In the Tracker: tracker.fyi

Ballot #244 is from John Harper, live on SNY’s Baseball Night in New York. He selects Beltrán, Jones, and Pettitte. No adds or drops for returning candidates and no first-timers selected In the Tracker: tracker.fyi

Almost time 👇

For posterity, here are my final 2026 Baseball Hall of Fame projections. Thanks as ever to @notmrtibbs.com, @shutthedore.bsky.social, and @tonycal.bsky.social for all their hard work. Hall of Fame season wouldn’t really exist without them!

Final projection for tonight. Excited to see who joins the HOF! @notmrtibbs.com @shutthedore.bsky.social @tonycal.bsky.social @baseballot.bsky.social

Update at 243 ballots. Less than a half hour to go. We think we'll have our usual final two ballots from SNY right at the top of the hour. Anything else...?

Ballot #243 is from Bob Nightengale. He again votes for his three holdovers - Carlos Beltrán, Andruw Jones, and Omar Vizquel - with no adds, drops, or first-timers selected. In the Tracker: tracker.fyi

The Hall of Fame results announcement will be streamed live here via MLB Network in just over 90 minutes: www.mlb.com/video/live-2...

At 242 ballots:

Ballot #242 is from Tom Verducci, revealed moments ago on MLB Network’s pre-announcement special. After voting for Wagner, CC, Ichiro and Beltrán last year, he adds Jones (+16), Rollins (+17), and Utley (+26) Current %: Beltrán 89.7 Jones 83.1 Utley 69.4 Rollins 27.3 In the Tracker: tracker.fyi

Ballot #241 is from John Shea. Holdovers Andruw Jones and Jimmy Rollins get carried over and are joined by Andy Pettitte (now +37) and Chase Utley (+25). Shea's column on his ballot will be published in the coming days at the San Francisco Standard. In the Tracker: tracker.fyi

Two hours to go, so time to say thank you to the two guys who make this ballot tracking project possible: @shutthedore.bsky.social and @tonycal.bsky.social. I could not and would not want to do this without them. Thanks for all your continued excellent work, Adam and Anthony!

Ballot #240 is from Ryan Fagan. Félix gains again for his 50th add (net +49). Hamels gets a vote & is at 31.7%. This is the 3rd time (1st since ‘18) with 240 pre ballots. Félix now t-9th ever in full cycle net gain & 2nd pre-announce. His column: theanalyst.com/articles/bas... Tracker: tracker.fyi

Ballot #240!

A ballot column from first-time voter @dszymborski.fangraphs.com (his ballot was first revealed and tracked December 8th): blogs.fangraphs.com/filling-out-...

After 239 ballots (and perhaps the busiest 45 minutes in Tracker history):

Ballot #239 is from Joe Smith. He selects seven holdovers following the election of three candidates from his group of ten last year. No adds, drops, or first-year candidates selected In the Tracker: tracker.fyi

Ballot #238 is from Jon Meoli, our 37th first-time voter. He selects ten candidates. Beltrán remains perfect here, while Jones is at 91.9%, Utley 83.8%, Félix 75.7% and Pettitte 70.7% Meoli’s column: www.thebanner.com/sports/oriol... In the Tracker: tracker.fyi

Ballot #237 is from Tom Haudricourt. Four of his holdover make it back to his 2026 ballot, but Pedroia is dropped and falls to net +21. Carlos Beltrán inches closer to 90%. In the Tracker: tracker.fyi

Ballot #235 is from Troy Renck. Chase Utley joins holdovers Beltrán, Jones, and Rollins. He moves to +24 and sits at 68.5% overall in his third year of eligibility. In the Tracker: tracker.fyi

Ballot #234 is from Randy Miller. Beltrán (+13) and Pettitte (+36) both gain votes, however, Andruw Jones suffers his first drop and falls back to +15. He sits at 82.5% In the Tracker: tracker.fyi

This is ballot #235 (we have ballot #234 coming very soon for you too).

Ballot #233 is from Rob Bradford. Seven holdovers are joined by King Félix, who gains yet again and improves to +48. He is now tied with 2019 Larry Walker for second place on the pre-announcement net gains leaderboard Bradford’s reveal: x.com/bradfo/statu... In the Tracker: tracker.fyi

At 232 ballots: