nic 🔹

nic 🔹

@nmk.wtf

mathematician, quant intern, reader of things https://nmk.wtf I give 10% of my income to GiveWell and so should you

497 followers478 following1.3K posts

nic 🔹
@nmk.wtf

While this is probably not good, I can't help being impressed with these techniques to extract value out of people.

Morgan Johnson@poormojo.bsky.social

No joke. I think this is the most important video I have ever seen about mobile games. This guy breaks down how this game psychologically profiles you, and makes the game harder or easier in order to show you ads

nic 🔹
@nmk.wtf

When evaluating policy you should always ask: "What will create the largest public good?"

nic 🔹
@nmk.wtf

Like this might seem obvious, but I feel like I see a lot of ideological driven arguments online, and it can sometimes be hard to pin point why it feels like ideology. I think talking in terms of policy and outcomes can help cut right through this.

nic 🔹
@nmk.wtf

It would be really funny if we get a culture swap, where the left likes AI art because of accessibility and the right dislikes AI art because of western culture or something.

Mark Allen@markallen.io

A woman in a colon cancer support group I belong to posts about four of these a day. While I'd usually scroll right past them and roll my eyes, I'm genuinely happy for her. It might not be high art, but it's clearly bringing her a lot of comfort.

nic 🔹
@nmk.wtf

I suggest using anthropodenial to describe people avoiding anthropomorphizing AIs to the extent that it is actively harming their understanding.

nic 🔹
@nmk.wtf

Nothing is a better ad for EA than all the insane anti-EA takes. Anyways consider giving 10% to charity.

nic 🔹
@nmk.wtf

George Washington was paid $25,000 annually for the presidency. That is between $1 million (inflation adjusted) and $40 million (relative to mean wage) in today's money.

nic 🔹
@nmk.wtf

One of societies greatest invention is making failing less expensive. Democracy instead of coups, and bankruptcy law instead of private bankruptcy. This is required to more confidently search the space of possibilities

nic 🔹 reposted

Matt Darling
@besttrousers.bsky.social

The impacts of shutting down USAID has impacts we can see from SPACE. papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....

Don Moynihan@donmoyn.bsky.social

Musk still relying on conspiracy theories and lies when it comes to USAID. "USAID was the biggest funder of regime change. Also, its funding was not stopped it was moved to the State Department." "There were claims [that programs were shut down]. These claims were false, nonsense."

nic 🔹
@nmk.wtf

To play GTO you (usually) need to randomize. To play optimally *against* GTO, you don't. If the opponent's strategy is fixed then you can view the game as a POMDP. POMDPs always have deterministic optimal policies.

nic 🔹
@nmk.wtf

Looking through old skeets. Still don't know why this is.

nic 🔹@nmk.wtf

I still never got a great answer to this. Anyone know what happened?

nic 🔹
@nmk.wtf

I think an important aspect of the glonzo meme as I understand it is that there is some *real* thing that is actually wrong.

nic 🔹
@nmk.wtf

What we need is a kind of recurrent model that can also estimate the loss of the current answer that we can refine until the estimated loss is sufficiently low.