lorcs

lorcs

@lorcs.bsky.social

FFC FPL Analytics FC

868 followers316 following446 posts

Pinned

Are there any good review / solver shortcuts or hacks people don't use enough or aren't aware of? Setting mins to 95 and looking at prgi/cs is a good one

lorcs reposted

NEW with @simonkuper.bsky.social: The prevailing narrative around increased injuries and player workload in elite football is wrong. Players don’t play any more football than in the past. What has changed is a sharp rise in intensity of play. Not more minutes, but each minute exerts more load.

End of an era. Pioneers

Sertalp B. Γ‡ay@sertalpbilal.com

FPL Optimized started as a quiet corner for analytics lovers. Now those ideas echo across the FPL world. Loved playing a small role in it. We'll be ending the pod after this season, because it feels like the right time. (Can even say it's optimal!) New episode coming tonight.πŸ’›

lorcs reposted

Imo, the most effective ways to gain leverage on FH is not to chase low EO punts, but to build team stacks - particularly in defence. It's such a powerful strategy that DFS (daily fantasy sports) tournaments have stacking penalties to combat this There was only one def triple up in these drafts...

Solio Analytics@solioanalytics.com

Who are the popular picks on #FH34? #FPL #FPLCommunity

lorcs reposted

You're 40 points behind with 6 GWs to go. Can you still win your mini-league? Depends who you're up against. Based on past gameweek averages, here's what data says. #FPL

lorcs reposted

It's been a long couple of months for Premier League fans πŸ˜…

Ted Knutson@mixedknuts.bsky.social

Sky should be forced to give fans back their money this month after the nonsense in Manchester on Sunday.

This is HUGE

fplreview@fplreview.com

One more big addition to the fplreview.com toolset... - "Binary Fixture Solves" integrated into the linear optimiser - Enabled "Chip Plan => Search" with binary solves This allows users to solve for all possible fixture permutations and gain insight for transfer & chip planning Details below,

Absolutely brilliant updates !!! Perfectly timed too.

fplreview@fplreview.com

A few upgrades to the sites linear optimisation tool in advance of GW29 - Sensitivity Analysis added! - Chip plans now solved at once, rather than sequentially - Solver setting interface updated - Live output + ability to exit solves early added - Results now downloadable as a .jpg Details below

lorcs reposted

Mo Salah broke the all-time FPL record last GW, with 10 GWs to spare FPL community: We're all selling, right, maybe for a -4

lorcs reposted

πŸ’Ή PL GW28 matchups This weekend's PL projections via betting markets: πŸ”Ή projected goals & clean sheet odds πŸ”Ή top rated attacks & defences πŸ”Ή WDL odds πŸ”Ή #FPL assistant manager projections

lorcs reposted

hollywood and the music industry were able to... not totally eliminate this but significantly reduce this by accepting where customers actually were and adjusting the business model with spotify, netflix et al. is football going to whine about it or accept the new reality and adjust?

Matt Slater@mjslater.bsky.social

I know this is the type of story that has many of you looking for your smallest violins but I suspect your favourite teams have been bankrolled by pay-TV money, so there are consequences to pinching this stuff. πŸ”— www.nytimes.com/athletic/616...

Welp. From my most favourite to my least favourite gw of the season. Brutal 70% red, Salah punishing me for a captaincy decision and process I wouldn't normally follow.

lorcs@lorcs.bsky.social

What a week! An absolute vibes based decision just before deadline netted me 13 points. Watkins was nowhere near top line on my custom xmins but went for it after seeing a load of others do it too! Have now got to spend every ft to navigate gw29, fragile times. But a 50% green feels so sweet.

Welp. From my most favourite to my least favourite gw of the season. Brutal 70% red, Salah punishing me for a captaincy decision and process I wouldn't normally follow.

lorcs@lorcs.bsky.social

What a week! An absolute vibes based decision just before deadline netted me 13 points. Watkins was nowhere near top line on my custom xmins but went for it after seeing a load of others do it too! Have now got to spend every ft to navigate gw29, fragile times. But a 50% green feels so sweet.

What a week! An absolute vibes based decision just before deadline netted me 13 points. Watkins was nowhere near top line on my custom xmins but went for it after seeing a load of others do it too! Have now got to spend every ft to navigate gw29, fragile times. But a 50% green feels so sweet.

Blue line has finally taken over yellow line of AE64! Based on season review it was a +6 relative variance week for me. You have to enjoy those when they happen!

lorcs reposted

Some Non-Penalty Goal to xG Ratios for you: Chris Wood 24/25: 1.85 Chris Wood Career (not including this season): 1.01 Messi Career: 1.47 Incredible stuff!

the ndiaye over beto swing has been incredibly tilting. but i should try and recall similar swings that have gone my way. like myko over greaves on wc6 - played 4 times for 26 points. saliba over timber in gw12 has been fruitful too. and the last second decision to sell isak to watkins this week !

i feel like i've played this season really poorly. lots of mistakes including some honkers in the last couple of weeks. and yet, up to MD3!

Emery I always knew you were the greatest

Guy McCombe@guymc.com

GW25 Assistant Manager Points Potential πŸ“Š No surprises that Liverpool lead in expected value. However, an interesting choice is presented to managers yet again: safer floor or higher ceiling? Based on 250k sims from @elevenify.com data

lorcs reposted

βš”οΈ Merseyside Derby Impact on the AM24 Points Gap A Liverpool win (~68%) puts Slot owners at least 5 points clear, however there's also plenty of points available for an Everton upset. Data: @elevenify.com

lorcs reposted

πŸ“Š Slot vs Moyes - DGW24 Points Distribution 250k simulations reveal Moyes's higher ceiling but more volatility, while Slot shows a tighter points range. Risk vs reward in visual form. Data: @elevenify.com & me

McSpoish@mcspoish.bsky.social

I drew a helpful EV probability distribution to easily visualise the difference between Slot (red) and Moyes (blue).

lorcs reposted

DGW25 Assistant Manager Points Projection πŸ“Š Expected points for managers over next 3 GWs, assuming potential doubles for each team DGW25. Points include weighted probability of table bonus based on the likelihood that they are eligible at that time. Based on team ratings from @elevenify.com

You better know I'm reading this ASAP

Alastair McKeever@tedlassoregen.bsky.social

Bournemouth continue to cook and there's a new starter (🍑!) who warrants evaluating! So I figured I'd make a new (far too long) 🧡. Again, I'm not a Cherries fan (hope they have an off day on Sat), just a regular watcher and admirer of Iraola-ball and their players. So take this for what you will

lorcs reposted

GW 24 - 26 #FPL Assistant Manager Chip Predicted Points πŸ“Š I continue to be mostly out of action but here is a run of AM Chip predicted points for 24 - 26. If anyone is interested in doing their own simulations using my team data always feel free to reach out to me.

lorcs reposted

πŸ’Ή PL DGW24 matchups First look at projected goals, clean sheet % and WDL odds for the weekend's round of Premier League games, via betting markets - and some projected #FPL assistant manager points

lorcs reposted

I guess I'm too woke because I find the proliferation of this really off-putting and gross. The fact that it's now reached the "enlightened centrists" class is depressing.