Sertalp B. Çay

🎥 DECISION TIME! - GW1 FINAL PLANS @pras-fpl.bsky.social and @jonnyc.bsky.social are joined by @robtfpl.com and @sertalpbilal.com to discuss some new Solio features, the build-up to GW1 deadline, and their latest drafts. youtu.be/v0Qos93LA5Q

Team value in FPL has never been less important than right now. In previous seasons, you could consistently expect around 0.30 to 0.35 extra projected points per gw per 1mill of budget (peaking as high as ~0.42 at the start of the 22/23 season). Currently it is around ~0.17

I calculated a soccer-specific chess rating for 4,400 online games between ~100 players' accounts Top 10: 1. Marten de Roon 2. Yussuf Poulsen 3. Antonee Robinson 4. Stefan de Vrij 5. Borna Sosa 6. Christian Pulisic 7. Michael Olise 8. Kevin Prince Boateng 9. N'Golo Kante 10. Josip Stanisic

💹 PL Matchups - First Look | GW17 Sharp market projections for the next round of PL fixtures: goals & CS%, teams to target and WDL odds 👇

📺 Gameweek 13 - Sertalp's Wildcard @pras-fpl.bsky.social and @jonnyc.bsky.social are joined by @sertalpbilal.com to discuss analytics philosophy, team strength editing, Sertalp's wildcard, and how to think about FH13. youtu.be/Or3zaqn1Hn4

📺 Gameweek 12 - James' Wildcard @pras-fpl.bsky.social and @jonnyc.bsky.social are joined by @trout-post.com, CTO of Solio Analytics, to discuss some recent Solio features, planning with risk, and James's chip strategy and wildcard draft (he has all his chips left!) youtu.be/Ic-JVdnwQGg

#FPL Player baselines and projected minutes are updated on Solio for #GW11 based on press conferences and latest market numbers. fpl.solioanalytics.com

📺 FPL Gameweek 11 - Wisdom of the Crowd @pras-fpl.bsky.social and @jonnyc.bsky.social discuss Solio's new "wisdom of the crowd" feature and what we can learn from people's beliefs, as well as the current trend of defenders dominating the FPL points, and some Free Hit planning. youtu.be/gSr36PyXWHU

📊 #FPL Defender DEFCON vs xGC tiers | GW1-9 As requested, a look at which defenders have best balanced: 🛡️ Clean sheet potential (team xGC p90) 🛡️ DEFCON bonus potential (CBIT p90) Converted using a Poisson-based model to map out equivalent points tiers🤓😅

📺 GW9 - What's happening with Salah? @pras-fpl.bsky.social and @jonnyc.bsky.social discuss how we can evaluate Salah and his projections moving forward, as well as a dive into some of the popular midfield and forward options for the upcoming gameweeks. youtu.be/S2ZWdMRKHCk

💹 PL Matchups - First Look | GW9 Sharp market projections for this weekend’s PL fixtures: goals & CS%, WDL odds & teams to target 👇

📊 GW6: Solio projected #FPL points and picks A look at some of the top projected GW6 players from our live @SolioAnalytics model after today's press conferences - & an example 'free hit' team 👇 Triple Everton, Spurs & City and double Utd! Model will update until deadline

💹📊 Projected team goals and CS odds | GW6–19 From sharp betting markets & our @solioanalytics.com market-derived model Extended the usual 6GW horizon to the season's halfway mark - hopefully useful for chip planning. Later GW for guidance only, plenty will change!

💹 PL GW6 matchups A first look at sharp market projections for this weekend’s PL fixtures: projected goals & CS%, teams to target & WDL odds 👇 📉 Through GW1-6, markets have projected ~20 fewer PL goals compared to this time last season

At Tier 3 you get unlimited access to all our features, and you get new ones 4 weeks early. Details below. #FPL #FPLCommunity #PremierLeague

Throughout the day – at 12.00, 3.00, 6.00, and 9.00 PM (UK) – we’ll be revealing the contents of our subscription tiers. First up, the prices (and our season long discount offer below). #FPL #FPLCommunity #PremierLeague

GW4: Wildcard Active @pras-fpl.bsky.social and @jonnyc.bsky.social discuss wildcard timing and chip strategy, examining when and why to use your first wildcard of the season. youtu.be/B8FtDFIjF4g

With Ange Postecoglou set to take over at Forest, we went back to look at some DEFCON data from his Spurs spell His high line + pressing style generally created more DEFCON chances for opponents than for his own players 👇

Bruno has split time between deep & advanced midfield roles in Amorim’s 3-4-2-1 We re-scored his Amorim-era #FPL pts with the new DEFCON bonus & compared his data when starting in different roles So far, not much evidence that he struggles when deeper 👇

Really fun game to try if you like solving puzzles and chess (and the football theme is a big bonus too!)

Analytics in FPL 📽️ @pras-fpl.bsky.social and @jonnyc.bsky.social are joined by @sertalpbilal.com, co-founder of Solio Analytics, for an in-depth discussion about the analytical foundations behind successful Fantasy Premier League strategy. www.youtube.com/watch?v=4Q4k...

#FPL Optimized sample is completed, and we are ready for GW2

Ready for #GW2

Solio consists of five major building blocks. The second: a stochastic optimiser that works through uncertainty 👇 #FPL #FPLCommunity #PremierLeague

Solio consists of five major building blocks. The first: stress-testing every scenario 👇 #FPL #FPLCommunity #PremierLeague

Very impressed with @solioanalytics.com. I have a robust irl background in data analytics & this is the most interesting FPL tool I've seen. BUT, you must understand how it works to get real value from it. Congrats to @jonnyc.bsky.social @trout-post.com @pras-fpl.bsky.social @sertalpbilal.com

We're extending the free trial period of our #FPL tool one more month. 🙌 When subscription options are available, we will have a free tier, too. We encourage you to give a try and let us know what you think ❤️

GW2: What did we learn @jonnyc.bsky.social is joined by @bakerfpl343.bsky.social to review the key lessons from the first round of fixtures, and discuss early insights into players and teams. They analyse the market odds for GW2 matches, and their transfer plans and strategies youtu.be/XdM774FQ7Yg

Gudmundsson saving my GW wasn't on the bingo card… but he really is that gud!

We've been building Solio for months, debating every detail from color scheme and logo to features and optimization engine. Seeing people finally use it has been amazing. If you haven't tried it yet or aren't sure how it works, I'm happy to answer anything, big or small. #FPL

📊 Top projected #FPL budget midfielders (GW1-6) An early look at some of the top midfielders under £7m, based on our live @solioanalytics.com market model - and how we’re projecting them to score their points 👇

Wondering which midfielders offer great value early on? Have a look at our latest projections for GW1–6, presented by @robtfpl.com Disagree? You can edit them, or check out our other live projections in our #FPL tool. It's free all of August at our website. Link below 👇 #FPLCommunity

Solio is now live. Built with analytics, love, and lots of tea. #FPL #FPLCommunity

What if your #FPL Planner: - helped you plan for unexpected scenarios - ran optimisations - adapted to market changes - synced across all devices - let you bring your own beliefs, easily That's Solio. You'll want to share with your true mates, but not your mini-league rival.

We are making our new #FPL tool, Solio, free for the whole of August so everyone can explore the power of analytics. If our server explodes, we'll know it was a hit.

Exciting times ahead 🙌

#FPL #FPLCommunity

Thanks for all the support on our first video! Next up? The content debut of someone we think has quietly changed how many of you play #FPL: @robtfpl.com We’ll be chatting market odds, decision-making, projections, and more. Drops Wednesday on YouTube, link below 👇

Welcome to Solio and the 2025/26 FPL season Here it is, our first ever video. Join @pras-fpl.bsky.social and @jonnyc.bsky.social as they talk briefly about Solio and mostly about the upcoming #FPL season. Hope you like it! youtu.be/iZEdS3BAA2U

First video recorded. Out tomorrow. #FPL #FPLCommunity

Haven't had time to sign up for #FPL yet. People keep saying the new UI's a step back; how bad is it actually?

Here's how our very early @solioanalytics.com projections see Wirtz's #FPL output at Liverpool - & how it stacks up against last year's cohort 👇 Verdict: 🔻 Likely under-priced at £8.5m Doesn’t have the ceiling of pen takers like Saka or Palmer, but could easily be a top 5 FPL mid

I like these new changes to FPL rules this season. More chips is better for people who can plan more carefully and having defensive contributions is great for stat oriented people. Overall, analytics users will benefit in the long run, I think.

Due to popular demand, we’re expanding phase 3 of our beta test, running from July 16 to 23. New and experienced FPL managers both welcome to apply! Email info@solioanalytics.com with your full name and a line on why you’d be a good fit before July 7. #FPL #FPLCommunity

Our @solioanalytics.com market model rated last season's Leeds side as the most dominant Championship team of the last six years 👇 Will it be enough to keep them up in 2025-26?

We’ve been anything but on the beach since the FPL season ended. @robtfpl.com and @cmusson.uk have joined Solio as partners, and we couldn’t be more excited for what’s ahead. Read all about it in our latest newsletter: solioanalytics.beehiiv.com/p/robt-moose...