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Ok I'll bite, what's the NFL?
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this one is a very good critique: www.normaltech.ai/p/p-doom
A lot of critiques of AI safety are genetic fallacy but it’s hard to say “genetic fallacy” without sounding like a rationalist
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Where is it if not the training data (or postraining)? Do you think the general purpose transformer is holding secrets inside?
You cannot explain the things AIs do - biases they exhibit, choices they make, tendencies they develop, conclusions they draw - by saying "It's in the training data." It's insufficient as an explanation; it disguises what is going on. Demanding this language is demanding that we deceive people.
I did a large amount of exploratory analysis, preliminary modeling, and theoretical grounding work for Epoch on this topic in March and April, with broadly similar top-line results as presented here. This work was done with the agreement I would be credited in the output.
AI is getting cheaper more quickly than any other transformative tech in history. At a given level of performance, cost has fallen ~47%/quarter since 2023. That’s 4× faster than DNA sequencing, 6× faster than compute, 18× faster than lithium batteries, and (up to 1973) 54× faster than electricity.
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Alright. Let me resolve this once and for all. The simple fact is that there are a few different things that can be reasonably meant by “thinking” and mixing them up is what’s making everyone mad.
I strongly believe the problem is the opposite. The nonstop efforts to avoid "anthropomorphization" with jargon and overcomplex descriptions have created confusion for laypeople, whereas saying "The LLM understands many subjects; it thought about the math problem and solved it" is clear and true.
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Replying to @niedermeyer.online
yes, computers *can* drive, but not in ways that allows us to port our intellectual, verbal, and policy framework for human driving over into the new realm of automated driving the most useless and obnoxious thing you can do here is get hung up on a binary debate about whether "computers can drive"
I promise there are more drugs at Sty than 90% of what this user considers to be a "bad school"
The bad schools have discipline problems. Discipline problems means antisocial behavior. It means kids having sex and doing drugs in the bathrooms. It means fights in the hallway. It means 8th grade boys skeeving on 6th grade girls. It means metal detectors to get into the school.
personally i think isolating people during a potential manic or psychotic event is bad, but what would I know
There should be a “you’re clearly going through it, log off for your own good” type temporary ban. Like, you’re not being punished so much as protected from the humiliation and vulnerability of a public nervous breakdown. It feels vaguely, idk… intrusive or exploitative or something watching it.
I moved to a shitty rural "city" when I was 6. The local districts were one large integrated district with poor-to-middling scores. The other was a functional segregation academy district with better surface level performance. My mom felt strongly I should be in an integrated school regardless.
There's too much to touch on in one thread, but most of all the idea that a failure of a public school to nurture a child is a *personal failing by the parent* grates. Education is a social effort at every level. We can aim to make education succeed for *everyone* not just the kids who have options.
I moved to a shitty rural "city" when I was 6. The local districts were one large integrated district with poor-to-middling scores. The other was a functional segregation academy district with better surface level performance. My mom felt strongly I should be in an integrated school regardless.
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This thread asserts two similar harms: Destiny is orchestrating smears against Hasan *and vice-versa*. It then says few people know Destiny uses many slurs and is in court for revenge porn. It says Destiny's fans are "very open about" smearing Hasan, but uses passive voice to hedge the other side.
If you're a normal person, you may be wondering at this point why you don't really know much about Destiny, or why you don't hear his name. After all, a streamer with a massive audience talking about center left Dem politics seems like he should be more known, right? Two massive problems with that:
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Right this is the type of stuff that started to trickle down to me in 2014/2015ish where I was like, hmm, I fear these people may be losing the plot. EA seemed quite good and nice to me before that.
Nick Beckstead, noted longtermist and "effective altruist,” just comes out and says it: "But it now seems more plausible to me that saving a life in a rich country is substantially more important than saving a life in a poor country, other things being equal."
Second, Robin's approaches (compliments, invitations, physical closeness) escalated as our conversation became *less* intellectual and *more* personal, as she became more vulnerable, and when I was less available to monitor or help (e.g. when I was physically absent). That's weird if it's mentorship
In the days after I warned many friends, and in the intervening years I've said it publicly on twitter and Bluesky. All this to say, I can show at least some provenance that the allegation hasn't changed. At the time, I rationalized it as an individual predatory creep. I now think it's not isolated
also Robin Hanson is a predator
He offered to give a reference for her with other opportunities and people in the space and invited her to visit other such events. When I came back from the restroom a final time, he had moved from across the table to be sitting next to her, at which point I felt that it was safest to take us home.
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A group of 25 Fields Medalists, including myself, have made a joint declaration on Math and AI: mathandai.org . We welcome additional signatories. See also this article in the Economist announcing the declaration: www.economist.com/science-and-...
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