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I always thought that the energy numbers of 10gw or so being stated for these data centres were way too large for them to be economically feasible. The energy has to come from somewhere, it can't be all built anytime soon and is just more costs that has to be repaid somehow.

NVIDIA has sold about $535bn of gpus and associated gear (mostly GPUs) in the data center segment since the beginning of fy2023 (February 2022). If Microsoft only has 2gw or so, I think it’s unlikely anyone else is even close. Where are the GPUs?

i wanna know what happens when a gang robs the warehouse. is it cheaper to just take the hit and not report the theft to not disrupt share price or what?

Lot of people joking about this and for sure it’s funny but also: NVIDIA has sold a lot of GPUs and it appears the vast, vast majority of them have not been installed, unless Microsoft, the first company to build AI data centers with the most experience and did so years in advance, is bad at it!

To me this sounds like the strategy in Monopoly where you buy up all the houses in the box so the other players can’t get them in order to build Hotels. All these firms are trying to win and if NVIDIA is the only GPU in town then buying them to keep them just for you makes some weird sense

They suck at it. I'd tell you how bad, but I'm still under NDA. And I'm pretty sure most of the GPU's are sitting in Taiwanese warehouses becoming obsolete before ever being racked and stacked. The whole thing is a scam.

If it's any help, I used to work for a company that made cooling units for data centers. The units they built sat in warehouses for months and months because they couldn't be installed. Maybe that's part of it for GPUs as well? (Along with what Chad Loder was saying in their thread responding to u)

i did see some chill instagram reels from like, cyberdeck meshnet type people who are like "oh dude these old crypto boards are all over the place for next to free now just learn how to chop them up and its like a ps5" so its out there but the skill and knowhow isnt, necessarily

What would it mean in terms of, say, accounting fraud if they have been counting the running costs of model training as capex, because obviously that's the same as physically building a physical data centre if you (deep bong rip) really think about the nature of an asset, man?

I’m very curious about the insurance angle because my industry is absolutely booming on data center construction deals and I genuinely wonder how many policies are getting placed on exposures that aren’t…there

the thing I train young underwriters on (in a different context) is that the usual story of paper asset -> fraudulent bank loan is missing that it’s (paper asset + insurance policy)

LLMs are about as energy inefficient as it's possible to conceive. However the amount of energy they currently need could fall off a cliff on the back of algorithmic innovation. Good old 'software upgarades'. If that happens, as seems inevitable to me, most data centres will become worthless.

It was reported back in 2024 that Microsoft was planning on stockpiling 1.8 million GPUs so that they would be able to roll out new services easily. Assuming other companies are doing that too, it wouldn't be too hard to get to the vicinity of a half trillion $.

trendforce.com[News] Microsoft Reportedly Stockpiling AI Chips to Boost Hardware CapabilityAccording to sources cited by the American news outlet Business Insider, Microsoft plans to double its inventory of GPUs to 1.8 million, primarily sou...

1/3 Microsoft’s AI fleet runs on just two gigawatts today—seventeen percent of its current capacity—while executives promise thirty-eight by 2032. That gap isn’t optimism; it’s a bid to sell futures backed by extension cords, hoping grids and ratepayers will absorb the strain.

2/3 Real power must be generated, cooled, transmitted—each watt stolen from hospitals, homes, and trains feeding models no public voted for. Let journalists keep measuring the gap between press releases and substation logs. Demand engineers publish real PUE, not fantasy.

3/3 When the next CEO vows an AI utopia, ask: Where’s the juice coming from, and who pays for the transformers? Because no model runs on air, and a republic that auctions its infrastructure without debate is already living in the illusion—and the bill is coming due.

I sometimes wonder, do the chips even exist? There is a limit on how many chips the existing fabs can produce and building new ones takes years

Where the hell is all this money going? Some of it is going to build out the other 10 GW it's been bragging about but is that everything? Where are these dollars actually ending up? It feels crazy that trillions of dollars are apparently sloshing around in this market and nobody can see it.

I literally live in the middle of the famed I-30 speculation corridor, and I still have strong memories of its collapse 40 years ago. I’ve been getting the same “we’ll just keep flipping properties to new suckers until, well, forever” vibes on data centers since 2023.

(An old joke in Dallas is that you know a bubble is bursting when the greedheads in Highland Park buy in, and Harlan Crow himself is allegedly converting Dallas Market Hall into a data center rather than have to pay for renovations and repairs that needed to be done 30 years ago.)

to put that into perspective, a berry freezing facility near my village eats around 100 kW. basically a large refrigerator routing roughly 5-7% of the region's raspberry output. I can't safely share the exact capacity or area taken, because the Ukraine war and such

yet for me personally, that puts 2 GW into a more useful perspective. it's enough for 20 such facilities, providing more than a thousand jobs at start and scalable to 2.5k with night shifts yet, a small DC gives only 5-10 job positions *at best,* and *only* for qualified server admins