thependulumcometh.bsky.social

Apparently, negative ads are airing against the dem candidate in KS-04, a Trump+24 seat that includes Wichita. Laura Kelly only lost it by 5 in 2022 so a dem getting close is theoretically possible. But this wasn't on my radar.

Since I've gotten a lot of new followers lately, I wanted to plug my substack The Pendulum Swings. Just two articles but I plan on releasing one more before November 3rd. thependulumswings1.substack.com

Literally almost did a spit take after drinking some Fizz

What is going on? @purrtah.bsky.social @beshearstan.bsky.social

Thanks for 100 followers everyone!

Crazy how a random reply I made led my follower account to increase by almost 20 in a single day

As one of the candidates featured in these polls - the infamous one in late June that showed me plummeting into single digits (which was at odds with our internals) - here's the impact of this "experiment"

Statement from ElectionCord on Wedgewood Polling.

bsky.app/profile/thep...

The North Dakota Democrats still somehow have a seat in #HD25, a Trump+38 seat covering Richland County. That's because Democrat Alisa Mitskog is an electoral powerhouse! Will that hold this year? She's got a good chance! SLEW RATING: Lean D-NPL

"Ashley Hinson is an unbeatable girl boss who will win by three digits because she is a strong performer and everyone loves her" - Average Twitter discourse about this race. Reality:

Election deniers are running to oversee elections in several swing states, including Arizona and Nevada. In Arizona, this office is especially significant; it will be tasked with certifying the results of the 2028 presidential race.

This is probably the worst ad I've seen this cycle

I love petty Cornyn. One of my favorite developments this cycle.

Thank you to everyone who came out to the Reedy Fork town hall! Honored to share a table with Richard Ojeda (NC-09), Dr. Elma Hairston (NC House 59), Ebony Burnett (Guilford School Board D4), Steve Luking (NC Senate 26), and Sheriff Danny Rogers. #ncpol #vote #midterms #gsonc

If you can only pick one Jolly really needs DGA funding. He’s always polling close and I think we know there’s obvious reasons why a lot of GOP voters won’t like his dark vision for Florida

Bullish sign for OK05

This is antisemitism. This isn’t leftism. This isn’t anti-Zionism. This isn’t progressive activism. This is just blatant antisemitism.

Even with spending oodles of cash on negative advertising and pretending to be "bipartisan," Hinson cannot find a lead in a Republican aligned poll. Leaked GOP memos show concern that Turek had a positive approval after the onslaught. It's why it's super important to run great candidates everywhere

Underrated how great of a communicator Hamilton is. It's such a joy to listen to him

QOTD: What is something you would like to see us write about or cover?

Finally! Jena Nelson is an amazing candidate who nearly won this district when she ran for State Superintendent of Education in 2022

Something special is happening in Iowa. Join us and help us Push for Change: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/tur_social_september26

I think I might faint holy fuck

South Dakota has been getting some really interesting developments lately

This November:

Gonna write another article soon grading dems on recruitment, highlighting some real standout nominees while also showcasing some examples where dems whiffed some potentially winnable races

This was always gonna happen. Dumbardo might be fairly inoffensive on the surface, but he doesn't really have a strong identity as a being a bipartisan bridge builder like Phil Scott or Larry Hogan had.

Someone made a browser RPG called Biblical Grounds where you play as Ken Paxton through four levels of his scandals. You dodge lawsuits, fight his ex-wife, a humanlike weed leaf, and debate his Senate rivals. You can play it here: biblicalgroundsgame.com

I'll say this till I am blue in the face, the issue with Fetterfuck is that he is a lazy son if a bitch who doesn't give a damn about his constitutents. People like Manchin or John Bel Edwards were conservative leaning but believed in looking out for their constituents.

Fetterman is not only a terrible, lazy senator who was supported by his parents until his mid-40s, he’s just a garbage human being. No surprise he ended up as a regular Fox contributor where he feels most at home.

Reupping this due to the gerrymandering being voided. MO-02 is now only Trump+8, very feasible race

I really don't like this whole message of "you're the reason antisemitism is rising." Maybe you can diesntangle a shitty action from the Goverment without giving any kind of credibility to antisemitic viewpoints.

Can't recall any 2020 ads directly taking on Susan Collins fake brand -- or basically calling her a liar. This seems positive. #MEpolitics

COYOTE VS ACME is legitimately great

Y'all, if you want to know how exactly Turek outperformed Sand by 3 points in 2022 and Harris by 13 points in 2024, look no further. It's a red state.

Everyone, you really don't have to pull an "I'm Spartacus" for a Maoist Tankie. You really don't.

What the fuck, Tim Curry died yesterday as well.