Steve Rattner
Steve Rattner
@steverattner.bsky.social
Former head of Obama Auto Task Force. Wall Street financier. Contributing Writer to NY Times Op-Ed. Morning Joe Economic Analyst. 🌐
50.7K followers93 following1K posts
Republicans in House races are outspending Democrats by $29 million in Lean-Democratic seats and $14 million in toss-ups. My @morningjoe-msnow.bsky.social Chart
Republicans have put $947 million of ads into the seven Senate toss-ups vs. $625 million for Democrats, a gap that opened almost entirely in September. In the House toss-ups, the two sides are even. My @morningjoe-msnow.bsky.social Chart
The six biggest Senate fundraisers this cycle are all Democrats. My @morningjoe-msnow.bsky.social Chart
While Republican Super PACs are dominant, Democratic candidates are leading their Republicans opponents when it comes to individual donations. That's a strong sign of Democratic momentum with voters. My @morningjoe-msnow.bsky.social Chart
Republican super PACs hold $549 million, more than twice the two main Democratic groups. Elon Musk alone put in $178 million. My @morningjoe-msnow.bsky.social Chart
The RNC ended September with $97 million in the bank, five times the DNC’s $19 million. But the House and Senate committees are close, and the Democrats’ House committee out-raised the Republicans’ last quarter. My @morningjoe-msnow.bsky.social Chart
Trump says he brought in “$21 trillion” of investment vs. “less than $1 trillion” under Biden. Actual business investment: $14.5 trillion under Biden, $6.7 trillion so far under Trump. My @morningjoe-msnow.bsky.social Chart
Trump says we’re building “more factories and plants right now than at any time in our history.” Factory construction hit a historic record under Biden and has fallen 31% since Trump took office. My @morningjoe-msnow.bsky.social Chart
Trump says drug prices are down 300–700%, and Americans pay “the lowest drug prices” in the world. Prescription drug prices are down only 3.9%, and our prices are still near the top of the list. My @morningjoe-msnow.bsky.social Chart
Trump says gas prices are “lower than when Biden was president.” Gas today is $4.35. Under Biden, it averaged $3.46 and was $3.01 when he left office. My @morningjoe-msnow.bsky.social Chart
Trump says Biden gave us “the worst inflation in American history.” It peaked at 9% (far lower than historic records) and was down to 3.0% when Trump took office. My @morningjoe-msnow.bsky.social Chart
Trump says prices are coming “way down.” Inflation is 3.7% and has risen in three of the last five months. Core inflation rose in September too. My @morningjoe-msnow.bsky.social Chart
The economic and political mood this year is similar to 2006, but Democrats have fewer swing districts to compete in. My @morningjoe-msnow.bsky.social Chart
Consumer sentiment is at 48, the fourth-lowest reading since 1952. It was almost double that at this point in Bush’s second term and didn’t even fall this low during the 2008 financial crisis. My @morningjoe-msnow.bsky.social Chart
Trump’s approval rating is 37%, almost exactly where Bush was before the 2006 midterms, which his party lost badly. My @morningjoe-msnow.bsky.social Chart
Inflation, mortgage rates, and hiring are all worse today than in October 2006. Only unemployment and economic growth are roughly the same. My @morningjoe-msnow.bsky.social Chart
Real wage growth is stagnant over the past year. In 2006, it was rising 2.5% annually by election day. My @morningjoe-msnow.bsky.social Chart
Gas prices fell 25% in the three months before the 2006 midterms. They’re rising heading into this round: $4.46 a gallon, up from $2.88 in January. My @morningjoe-msnow.bsky.social Chart