Jeff Kaufman

Jeff Kaufman

@jefftk.com

Contra dance musician, parent, effective altruist, biosurveillant, software engineer, blogger. www.jefftk.com

546 followers159 following389 posts

Now that LLMs have made many kinds of coding a matter of saying what you're looking for, many more programs make sense. This weekend it was audio mixing software, customized for my use case (live sound for contra dancing) and hardware (a specific obsolete audio interface).

jefftk.comMaking a Custom Mixer Interface for the 1818VSLNow that LLMs have made many kinds of coding a matter of saying what you're looking for, many more programs make sense. This weekend it was audio mixing software, customized for my use case (live soun...

This Sunday I'll be leading the BIDA Open Band, with Jonah Sidman anchoring melody and Max Newman anchoring rhythm. Come play with us! 4:30-7:30pm at the Cambridge Masonic Hall. Come early (anytime after 3:30) to set get set for sound.

I'm looking for a word for when nothing humans do still feeds into whether anyone is fed, has shelter, gets medical care, or has any other basic need met, but where people still do things for each other, sometimes for pay, because of a preference that some work be done by a human. Suggestions?

jefftk.comA Term for a Kind of Human Economic Obsolescence?AI keeps getting more capable. At some point, likely in the next 1-3 years unless we do something to stop it, we get to where AI systems are able to do everything almost anyone can do. This is often d...

Last weekend I organized a van down from Boston to NYC for EA Global. Very happy I did this, and would definitely do it again. Being able to talk with folks both ways was great, and it saved the group a decent amount of money (though how much depends on whether bus or train is the counterfactual).

jefftk.comOrganizing a Van to EA GlobalLast weekend I organized a van down from Boston to NYC for EA Global: I'm very happy I did this, and would definitely do it again. Being able to talk with folks both ways was like a bonus 8hr of ...

Is the telephoto camera on the Pixel 11 Pro actually better than the one on the 10 Pro? I took a bunch of pictures and it looks like yes (though the impact of AI-based cleanups makes it a harder comparison than I expected).

jefftk.comTelephoto Camera: Pixel 10 Pro vs 11 ProI'm not sophisticated enough to have noticed improvements in the main phone camera in the past 5-10 years, but distance shots are still not very good. The next generation Pixel Pro was supposed to hav...

The kids have been excited about Pig Latin lately. I noticed that there are a few words that are also English words, or homophones thereof. With some help from Claude, especially in figuring out which words would work well and in checking my work, here's a poem about a pie and a naughty plover.

jefftk.comPorcus PoemThe kids have been excited about Pig Latin a lot lately. I noticed that there are a few words that are also English words, or homophones thereof. With some help from Claude, especially in figuring out...

Several months ago I wrote a program to normalize your clipboard, removing fonts / colors / sizes and mostly leaving semantic information: anything that can't be represented in Markdown was dropped. Now available as a free app on the Mac App Store: www.jefftk.com/p/clipboard-...

jefftk.comClipboard Normalizer in Mac App StoreSeveral months ago I wrote a program to normalize your clipboard, removing fonts / colors / sizes and mostly leaving semantic information: anything that can't be represented in Markdown was dropped. ...

[BOS] There's a new Dawn Dance in VT, the weekend of 9/26: 7pm Sat to 7am Sun. I'm playing the 1am-4am shift with Cecilia. Driving out on Saturday and back Sunday; anyone want a ride? Timing is flexible: I need to be there Sat by 5pm, and on Sun I need to take a nap before driving back.

When I look at why I expect the world to change a lot in the next few years, a big component is that I expect to see widespread "teleoperation": AI walking people through work where the motions are straightforward, timing is not critical, and people are paid a lot for their knowledge and judgement.

jefftk.comTeleoperated HumansWhen I look at why I expect the world to change a lot in the next few years, and why other people expect slower changes, I think a big component is disagreement on the extent to which AI will affect n...

To increase resilience to disruptions that might bring down the power grid we should end net metering (including for existing installations) and compensate people with a one-time subsidy for battery purchase. www.jefftk.com/p/replace-ne...

jefftk.comReplace Net Metering With BatteriesWe should end net metering, including for existing solar installations, and compensate people with a one-time subsidy for battery purchase. I'm going to give an argument from grid efficiency, which I ...

The FAA has one of my favorite examples of thoughtful rulemaking. They haven't banned flying with a baby on your lap, because the extra cost would mean many parents would drive instead. But their nonsense rule that babies can't be in carriers for takeoff and landing is one of my least favorite.

jefftk.comAllow Carriers on PlanesThe FAA has one of my favorite examples of thoughtful rulemaking. They haven't banned flying with a baby on your lap, because the extra cost would mean many parents would drive instead. Since driving ...

If you have solar and an electric car, what should happen during a power outage? Solar should be able to charge the car and power you house, drawing from the car battery as needed. My only option for doing this anytime soon seems to be a Cybertruck, so I'm just going to get a stand-alone battery.

jefftk.comBidirectional Charging During Grid OutagesDavid asked a great question on my solar battery system post: why buy a small battery just for emergencies when electric cars have a large battery you can also use for other things? [1] This would be ...

I'm considering a solar battery backup for our house. Decided not to do this in 2024, but since then: * I've learned about utility incentives if we let them drain it remotely. * We can finance most at 0% for 7y. * I'm increasingly concerned about long-term disasters.

jefftk.comConsidering Installing a Solar Battery SystemLike most houses with solar, our house is capable of generating a lot of power, and it's basically useless [1] in a disaster. If the grid is down, the panels shut down automatically. This is a lot of...

I've had several conversations with people over the last few weeks that have highlighted how far apart my view of the near future is from many people I talk to. Here are some things I might tweet if that was the kind of thing I did: www.jefftk.com/p/ai-tweets

jefftk.comAI TweetsI've had several conversations with people over the last few weeks that have highlighted how far apart my view of the near future is from many people I talk to. Here are some things I might tweet if t...
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If AI goes well I think the world could be extremely good. The bottom 10% living far better than the top 10% do now. This is the promise that gets people working so hard to build something so dangerous.

I'm being a bit lazy here because the tweet format means I can make bold claims without backing any of them up. If you think I'm wrong on any of these, happy to give arguments in the comments.

I've had several conversations with people over the last few weeks that have highlighted how far apart my view of the near future is from many people I talk to. Here are some things I might tweet if that was the kind of thing I did: www.jefftk.com/p/ai-tweets

jefftk.comAI TweetsI've had several conversations with people over the last few weeks that have highlighted how far apart my view of the near future is from many people I talk to. Here are some things I might tweet if t...
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Many paths to appropriately serious action run through warning shots, and we've been getting some. So far they look like hacks, and there will be more. Aside: information that should not become public is increasingly dangerous to keep.

Lots of people have plans to make the world better by improving X to improve Y to improve Z, where it's Z that matters. If Z is more than 3y out, consider finding a different plan.

I've had several conversations with people over the last few weeks that have highlighted how far apart my view of the near future is from many people I talk to. Here are some things I might tweet if that was the kind of thing I did: www.jefftk.com/p/ai-tweets

jefftk.comAI TweetsI've had several conversations with people over the last few weeks that have highlighted how far apart my view of the near future is from many people I talk to. Here are some things I might tweet if t...
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If you think AI isn't improving rapidly you're doing some combination of not applying it to hard enough problems, not giving it enough context/tooling/tokens, or not using top models.

I'm worried about the environmental impacts of data centers, in that I see plausible near futures in which the world produces vastly more energy than it does today and almost all of it goes into powering computers.

I've had several conversations with people over the last few weeks that have highlighted how far apart my view of the near future is from many people I talk to. Here are some things I might tweet if that was the kind of thing I did: www.jefftk.com/p/ai-tweets

jefftk.comAI TweetsI've had several conversations with people over the last few weeks that have highlighted how far apart my view of the near future is from many people I talk to. Here are some things I might tweet if t...
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We are already seeing AI speeding up the development of AI, as it substitutes for human expertise. As the remaining human contribution gets smaller I expect this to compound dramatically, and we'll see rapid improvement even compared to today.

I don't know if the metaphor is "goalpost moving" or "frog boiling" but if you dropped a top model into 2006 it would very clearly be "AGI".

I've had several conversations with people over the last few weeks that have highlighted how far apart my view of the near future is from many people I talk to. Here are some things I might tweet if that was the kind of thing I did: www.jefftk.com/p/ai-tweets

jefftk.comAI TweetsI've had several conversations with people over the last few weeks that have highlighted how far apart my view of the near future is from many people I talk to. Here are some things I might tweet if t...
View full thread

AI is so quickly approaching (or exceeding) expert human abilities across so many areas that most people should be planning for 1-3 more years in which they can productively contribute. Use the time well!

But also don't live your life in a way where if it takes longer than that you're destitute; there's still a lot of uncertainty in how quickly this plays out.

I've had several conversations with people over the last few weeks that have highlighted how far apart my view of the near future is from many people I talk to. Here are some things I might tweet if that was the kind of thing I did: www.jefftk.com/p/ai-tweets

jefftk.comAI TweetsI've had several conversations with people over the last few weeks that have highlighted how far apart my view of the near future is from many people I talk to. Here are some things I might tweet if t...

AI has a very real chance of getting us all killed. I think it probably won't because I expect a lot of people to work very hard to avoid that outcome.

The standard recommendation on time out duration is one minute per year of age (up to 5min). In my experience this is much longer than needed; I typically do about a minute regardless of age. The important thing is that the punishment is predictable and immediate, not that it's strong.

jefftk.comShort Time OutsThe standard recommendation on time out duration is one minute per year of age, often capping out at 5min. In my experience (n=3, not independent) this is much longer than needed; I typically do abou...

I'm voting for Burhan Azeem for State Senate, and if you're in Somerville, Medford, or parts of Cambridge and Winchester I think he's the best candidate I've had the opportunity to vote for on housing, transit, and AI.

jefftk.comEndorsing Burhan Azeem for State SenateFor the last twenty years I haven't paid much attention to my State Senate race: Pat Jehlen hasn't had a close race since she won the seat in 2005. I think she's done a lot of good work: while allocat...

The OpenAI Foundation has granted SecureBio Detection $17.2M for pathogen-agnostic detection. I'm very excited about this, I think we can do a lot of good stuff with this funding, and also do want to make sure we're not providing cover for OpenAI (the for profit) to do less.

jefftk.comThoughts on Taking OpenAI Foundation FundingIn May 2025 I met Yo Shavit, who was working on national security policy at OpenAI and was thinking about how to prepare for a future in which models could seriously assist attackers in creating pand...

In 2015 I made a little webapp to show predictions for the MBTA. A few years later they moved APIs and it stopped working. Back in those days programming required effort, and I let it die. But now that we have genies (for better or worse) I had Claude one-shot a fix.

jefftk.comRevived Lightweight Transit Predictions PageIn 2015 I made a little webapp that would use the NextBus API to show predictions for the MBTA: A few years later they moved from NextBus to their own API, and it stopped working. Back in those d...

Side tabs are the thing I missed most after switching to Chrome (originally for speed and stability, but now that those are table stakes, for security) and I was really sad when they removed the experimental vertical option ~15y ago. Excited to see that they've added it for real!

jefftk.comVertical Tabs in ChromeWhen you have a lot of browser tabs open it can be very hard to tell them apart, especially if they're from the same site: Since monitors are wide and websites are tall, we should very clearly pu...

Notes on reading Dudley and Jacqueline Laufman's barn dance book. I'm especially interested in the presentation of the question of live vs recorded music for contra dancing (Dudley was a famous partisan of live), especially when combined with a selling a book of recorded music to dance to.

jefftk.comReading Dudley and Jacqueline's Barn Dance BookDudley Laufman passed away last week at the age of 95. He's best known for his extensive contribution to the 1970s contra dance revival, and especially for fostering live music. Twenty years ago [1] ...

59min from getting on the red line shuttle bus at Kendall to get off at Davis. Not counting the wait for the shuttle. Definitely should have taken the green line today.

Amazon music's concept of "Artist" is terrible: of the nine bands I tested seven of them conflated multiple artists into a single ID. Their recommendation system is also terrible, and I wonder if this is part of why. (We've since unsubscribed, for unrelated reasons.)

jefftk.comAmazon Music's Artist ConflationOur kids like listening to music on their tablets, and we decided it's worth it to pay some money so they can make playlists and don't need to listen to ads. A family account makes sense if you're mor...

The core of musical multitasking that you have much more physical ability than conscious attention to coordinate it with, so you need to get aspects of your playing out of your conscious mind. I practice by playing and reading a book: this forces my body to learn to draw minimally on my attention.

jefftk.comLearning Musical MultitaskingI like to play multiple instruments at once, and really enjoy how this lets me create a fuller musical picture. Sometimes this looks like mandolin + foot drums + bass whistle: youtube Or guitar ...

Looking through writing from 1985-1992 as a dance community grappled with the question of live vs recorded music, and noticing how the features the author disliked about the newly revived live music tradition on initial exposure were prerequisite for the later thriving tradition.

jefftk.comEmbracing Amateurs to Get ExpertsI've been reading a lot of older writing, trying to understand how and why contra dance ended up with a strong and near-exclusive live music tradition when many other dance forms switched over to reco...

Kingfisher (Cecilia Vacanti and I) will be playing ArtBeat this Saturday in Davis Square, 3-4pm on the Elm Street stage. Harris Lapiroff will be calling dances for all!

I've been calling some parties and I've been happy with mostly longways whole-set dances. But if I build every dance out of the same small number of building blocks you run into "haven't we done this one before"? Asking around for ones with unique "hooks" turned up two I'm excited to start calling.

jefftk.comEasy Whole Set Dances With a HookI've lately ended up calling a bunch of parties and I've been happy with calling mostly longways whole-set dances. These are ones that are shaped like a contra dance in terms of having two lines faci...