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I've had several conversations with people over the last few weeks that have highlighted how far apart my view of the near future is from many people I talk to. Here are some things I might tweet if that was the kind of thing I did: www.jefftk.com/p/ai-tweets

AI is so quickly approaching (or exceeding) expert human abilities across so many areas that most people should be planning for 1-3 more years in which they can productively contribute. Use the time well!

But also don't live your life in a way where if it takes longer than that you're destitute; there's still a lot of uncertainty in how quickly this plays out.

We are already seeing AI speeding up the development of AI, as it substitutes for human expertise. As the remaining human contribution gets smaller I expect this to compound dramatically, and we'll see rapid improvement even compared to today.

Uh, what makes you think that we won’t be destitute *after* it happens? Have you looked at the tech job market lately?

So… what happens in ~3 years when we’ve all been replaced with AIs chock full of our existing biases and ignorance as of ~2029? Do we just roll with that forever?

The fuck I should! Coding is a craft that brings me joy (and pain) and you can pry my editor from my cold dead hands.