Institute for Public Policy Research

Institute for Public Policy Research

@ippr.org

IPPR is the UK’s leading progressive think tank. Find out more here: linktr.ee/IPPR

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£20bn of total borrowing for investment on AI, defence and green energy is expected in tomorrow's budget. But how much would this actually cost the public finances? Our new analysis finds that this investment would use less than £1 billion of fiscal headroom in 2029–30. buff.ly/o26dhFv

buff.lyChancellor’s £20bn to invest would cost less than £1 billion in headroom: IPPR analysis | IPPR£20bn of total borrowing over five years for investment on AI, defence and green energy is expected in tomorrow's budget. This would cost less than £1bn in

This is because much of the borrowing would be used to provide loans and buy stakes in businesses, creating financial assets that retain value, rather than simply spending money that won't be recovered.

This shows how the government could invest in industries of the future while remaining within its fiscal rules, while also highlighting the need to reform the UK's fiscal framework to better recognise the long-term benefits of public investment.

The Autumn Budget is just around the corner, and the government faces a crucial challenge: delivering fiscal stability while improving living standards. Three key priorities should be easing the cost of living, investing in long-term economic growth and reforming the tax system. 👇️

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Fiscal responsibility must also go hand in hand with economic growth. With the right safeguards, investing in the industries of the future can boost productivity and deliver lasting improvements in living standards.

And to help fund these priorities, the Budget must reform our tax system. That means taxing banks' windfall profits, ensuring that large online retailers pay a fairer share to fund cuts to high street business rates and giving local leaders greater control over tax revenues to drive growth.

The Autumn Budget is just around the corner, and the government faces a crucial challenge: delivering fiscal stability while improving living standards. Three key priorities should be easing the cost of living, investing in long-term economic growth and reforming the tax system. 👇️

Freezing fuel duty would be a welcome first step, but more is needed to ease pressure on household finances, including unfreezing Local Housing Allowance and introducing rent controls to limit unaffordable increases.

Institute for Public Policy Research reposted

Reforming SATs isn't anyone's number one priority, but it could really change how children experience their final year of primary school. We found that teaching to the test narrows the curriculum and impacts the children who are less likely to have access to art, drama, and sports outside of school

Schools Week@schoolsweek.bsky.social

Scrapping spelling, punctuation, and grammar (SPaG) tests, replacing scaled scores and ending the publication of school-level results are among changes that should be made to primary school tests, a new report says schoolsweek.co.uk/scrap-spag-t...

“We didn’t publish this report lightly.” @harryqp.bsky.social explains why Britain needs to rethink its place in a world of geopolitical instability. With the US no longer an ally we can simply depend on, Britain needs partners that share our values and can match these challenges. Watch 👇

Public opinion on Europe has moved, but any future campaign for EU membership still has arguments to win. Writing in Labour List, Tazu Walden argues that the case for Europe must address today’s economic and security issues while being clear about trade-offs. Read 👇 buff.ly/dF5XMRj

buff.ly‘Europe is our future but only if we take voters with us’ – LabourListIn Liverpool, the Prime Minister set a new direction on Europe and promised a clear-eyed assessment of the options – with all possibilities except the…

For too long, the tax system has favoured online retailers over high street businesses. Using the upcoming Budget to start rebalancing the system could help bring life back to our high streets and support jobs across retail, hospitality and leisure.

Support for joining the EU outweighs support for staying out. But how does that support stand up when voters are confronted with both the trade-off's and the positives? Our new research found that, across the different deals tested, the public supported joining by 52% to 48%. Watch 👇️

Institute for Public Policy Research reposted

Lots of economic data in the last few weeks, and lots of spin online. Practically none of it matters for next week’s Budget, since the OBR have locked in their forecast. But the overall read is positive. My sober take on inflation, GDP, public finances and unemployment: 🧵

📚 | NEW REPORT: Disadvantaged children are nearly three times less likely to achieve the highest marks in Year 6 SATs. We call for a rethink of primary assessments to reduce inequality, ease pressure on teachers and create a fairer system for all pupils. Read here 👇 buff.ly/w26TLE5

buff.lyThe IPPR library | IPPRThe Institute for Public Policy Research (IPPR) is an independent charity working towards a fairer, greener, and more prosperous society.

The case for EU membership is about more than the economic cost of Brexit. In a world of great-power competition, Britain’s security, sovereignty and influence increasingly depend on scale. That's why we believe EU membership should be the medium-term goal. @harryqp.bsky.social on Times Radio 👇️

Britain voted to leave the EU in 2016 to ‘take back control,’ so why does it now feel like we have less? Economic power depends on scale. Defence relies on shared capabilities. And threats to democracy, from disinformation to foreign interference, do not stop at national borders.

Our new report argues that Britain cannot secure its prosperity, security and democracy alone. In today’s world, greater control means building greater power with Europe, with EU membership as the medium-term goal. Read the full report here 👇 buff.ly/QGSz6KB

buff.lyNew world, new relationship: Our future with Europe | IPPREurope, meanwhile, is being transformed by these same pressures, turning into a global actor where the UK is merely an observer. But Britain has been negot

📢 We're hiring a Finance Manager to oversee IPPR's financial operations, reporting and controls, while supporting budgeting, forecasting and financial planning across the organisation. Applications close 8 November. Find out more about the role and apply here 👇 buff.ly/6jDcuWU

buff.lyFinance Manager | IPPRWe are looking for a capable, rigorous and ambitious finance professional to take responsibility for the day-to-day running of IPPR’s finance operations –

Britain’s relationship with Europe needs a new direction. Our new report sets out three key steps: change the conversation, start building together and rebuild trust, with EU membership as the medium-term goal. Watch here and read the full report below 👇

Institute for Public Policy Research reposted

NEW: How robust is opinion change on Brexit/Brexit @persuasionuk.bsky.social research properly stress tested it. We find a fair bit of softness. We think headline Rejoin support is more like 52 v 48% (!) rather than ~64-36% you see in polls. Not fatal for Rejoin but worth paying attention to🧵

🤝| NEW REPORT: More than half of voters would vote to join the EU, compared with less than a third who would stay out. Our new research tests how robust that support is when voters are shown the trade-offs and arguments around membership. Read here 👇 www.ippr.org/articles/a-d...

ippr.orgA durable majority?: How public opinion on the EU performs under pressure | IPPRThe UK faces new challenges - a constrained fiscal pot and an increasingly unstable geopolitical environment. A closer relationship with Europe is firmly

💷 | NEW PAPER: The Autumn Budget must deliver fiscal responsibility while improving living standards. From tackling the cost of living to boosting economic growth and raising revenue fairly, we set out the steps the government should take to deliver on both. Read here 👇️ buff.ly/XNU8PR8

buff.lyThe IPPR library | IPPRThe Institute for Public Policy Research (IPPR) is an independent charity working towards a fairer, greener, and more prosperous society.

Institute for Public Policy Research reposted

The Boiler Upgrade Scheme is a middle-class subsidy, but it would be a major cost of living solution if re-prioritised for low-income homes, rather than scrapped At today's prices, a standard heat pump installation (COP 3.0) saves ~£55 vs a gas boiler, a good install saves ~£280

The rising benefits bill is a symptom of a decade of cuts to youth services and early support that once helped prevent problems from escalating. Our research shows that young people are increasingly isolated and distressed, with 1 in 20 now reporting having no friends at all.

thetimes.comThe £1bn child benefits bill that could have paid for therapy insteadYoung people are ‘falling down a gap in the system’ as the NHS fails to keep pace with the mental health caseload and welfare rewards inaction

Providing therapy for every child on the waiting list would cost less than 0.5% of the NHS budget. Rather than cutting support, the government should invest in early intervention to tackle problems before they escalate.

Institute for Public Policy Research reposted

@theifs.bsky.social did great analysis here, but the £35bn “black hole” reporting is misleading. This is an “illustrative total” of extra spending in 2030/31, depending on policy choices and how pressures develop - not a fixed bill for the Autumn Budget. Here’s why:

Politics UK@politicsuk.com

🚨 NEW: The IFS says John Healey faces a £35bn black hole in his first Budget

🛍️| NEW BLOG: High street businesses face costs that online retailers can avoid by operating with a smaller physical footprint. We set out the case for a targeted online sales tax, with revenues used to cut business rates on the high street. Read here 👇️ buff.ly/hgleQHj

🏠️| NEW BLOG: England needs a housing system that can keep building through boom and bust. We set out how social housing can stabilise demand and why mayors are key to delivering it at scale. Read here 👇 buff.ly/ohvkoiR

buff.lyBeyond boom and bust: The supply case for social housing | IPPREngland's housing system has a fundamental weakness: we rely overwhelmingly on private buyers to create the demand for new homes. When buyers retreat, buil

📢 We’re still hiring a Deputy Executive Director to help shape IPPR’s strategy, strengthen our political impact and lead a driven team. We’re looking for someone with bold ideas, sharp political judgement and strong people leadership. Applications close 18 October 👇 buff.ly/PK4Cc7j

buff.lyDeputy Executive Director | IPPRThe Institute for Public Policy Research (IPPR) is an independent charity working towards a fairer, greener, and more prosperous society.

A key priority for this government should be driving growth: from planning reform to a greater industrial strategy, and a thriving financial sector is an important part of that mission. But bank profits have been exceptionally high in recent years.

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That’s why we’ve argued for a temporary, targeted levy on banks to help claw back some of those taxpayer losses. Crucially, there is precedent for this approach: Margaret Thatcher’s government introduced a 2.5% tax on bank deposits in 1981 after profits surged following higher interest rates.

A key priority for this government should be driving growth: from planning reform to a greater industrial strategy, and a thriving financial sector is an important part of that mission. But bank profits have been exceptionally high in recent years.

Interest rates have risen, yet the CMA has found that higher rates have not always been fully passed on to consumers. At the same time, taxpayers will cover around £18bn a year in Bank of England losses for the rest of this parliament, largely because of the way quantitative easing was implemented.