Foolish Baseball

Foolish Baseball

@foolishbb.bsky.social

12.8K followers81 following111 posts

Bryan Abreu is in an interesting spot. Contract year. Consistently been one of the best relievers, but only 16 career saves. Hader might not be ready Opening Day. He's less than a year away from being the #1 closer on the free agent market, without having consistently closed.

Hitters really do have a lot of control over their batted ball distribution. Max Muncy hit just one (1) opposite field groundball in 2025. When you're as committed to pulling the ball in the air as he is, the reverse rarely happens.

These projections are my favorite part of the HOF tracking process. Really helps demystify the differences between public & private voters, as well as the effect of year-over-year net gains. Andruw Jones with a 90% chance of reaching the threshold is noteworthy here.

Jason Sardell@sardell.bsky.social

With 188 ballots in @notmrtibbs.com's Tracker, it's looking increasingly likely that we'll see two new members of the Baseball Hall of Fame next Tuesday. But it's possible Andruw Jones just misses out. My latest projections

I wonder if there will ever be any real pushback on legalized sports betting, or if there’s just too much wealth to be extracted from the lower and middle classes for a Come to Jesus moment to occur. You’d expect some form of dissent from social conservatives, but I don’t see a temperance movement.

The Athletic@theathletic.com

We asked more than 130 MLB players: Has legalized sports betting changed how fans treat you or your teammates? The result was a landslide. “People suck, dude.” 🔗: http://dlvr.it/TLJK2n

Until 1913, baserunners were allowed to run in a straight line across the diamond from 1st to 3rd on a single, provided they could avoid the pitcher trying to tackle them. This was known as the “gambler’s shortcut.”

Foolish Baseball reposted

fantasy football draft: show up hungover autodraft took derrick henry. lets go ‼️ fantasy baseball draft: estimated ADP models coming online. spreadsheet matrix spinning up to expected velocity. tea: camomille. candle: bergamot rain. computer simulate $value spread for ian happ, anticipate 8th round

🧵 A few more players/units I'm interested in this year. I'm calling this "Things That Make Me Say Hmmmm..." 1. Hunter Goodman >Fast/compact swing >Can pull ball in the air, 12.8 Barrel% in 2024 >.199 BABIP with Coors as home ballpark killed his 2024 line >No position, but good athlete

View full thread

7. The Rockies bullpen >Vodnik & Halvorsen can throw 100+ >Angel Chivilli's changeup had a 34.6 SwStr% in the majors last year >Jaden Hill had a 33 K% / 8.1 BB% in the upper minors after converting to the bullpen >I wish Jeff Criswell didn't need TJ >Jefry Yan might not be good, but he's fun

8. Tim Tawa >Diamondbacks protected him with the 40-man add >91.1 EV / 49.1 HardHit% in AAA last year >Has played everywhere in the minors, best at 1B >Bats righty, Naylor/Smith/Del Castillo are lefty >Tim Tawa is an excellent baseball name

🧵 A few more players/units I'm interested in this year. I'm calling this "Things That Make Me Say Hmmmm..." 1. Hunter Goodman >Fast/compact swing >Can pull ball in the air, 12.8 Barrel% in 2024 >.199 BABIP with Coors as home ballpark killed his 2024 line >No position, but good athlete

View full thread

5. Jose A. Ferrer >3.38 ERA in 2024 >Capable of triple digit heat >But more of a soft contact / groundball flamethrower like Hicks or Graterol than pure swing and miss >This is because his FF and SI get a ton of armside run vs his arm angle >Good chance he's the Nats closer at some point this year

6. The Giants lineup >Have already sang my Jung Hoo Lee praises >Jerar Encarnacion has insane pop >I think Ramos continues breaking out, not a fluke >Matos still has time to follow in Ramos' footsteps >Bailey has some good hitting periphs, but tends to run out of gas >Added Adames, kept Chapman

🧵 A few more players/units I'm interested in this year. I'm calling this "Things That Make Me Say Hmmmm..." 1. Hunter Goodman >Fast/compact swing >Can pull ball in the air, 12.8 Barrel% in 2024 >.199 BABIP with Coors as home ballpark killed his 2024 line >No position, but good athlete

View full thread

3. Angels starting pitching >Jose Soriano is one of the highest velo starters in the league >Reid Detmers 6.70 ERA vs 3.86 xFIP last year >Caden Dana is a top-100 prospect >Most intriguing to me is Jack Kochanowicz. 3.99 ERA in 11 MLB starts. 6'7 sinkerballer with very low K rate last year.

4. Alejandro Kirk >Outlasted Moreno and Jansen, is now THE GUY >Quietly graded out as one of the best defensive catchers in MLB the last three seasons >Silver Slugger winner in 2022, what if the bat bounces back? >Still has elite contact skills >5'8 / 245lb ideal male body type

🧵 A few more players/units I'm interested in this year. I'm calling this "Things That Make Me Say Hmmmm..." 1. Hunter Goodman >Fast/compact swing >Can pull ball in the air, 12.8 Barrel% in 2024 >.199 BABIP with Coors as home ballpark killed his 2024 line >No position, but good athlete

2. Eric Wagaman >DFA'd by Angels after 2024 debut, picked up by MIA >Great swing decisions (72 Z-Swing%, 29 O-Swing%) >91.7 MPH avg EV and 89.3 Z-Con% sounds like a winning combo to me >Played primarily 3B and RF in minors last year >Should break camp on Marlins Opening Day roster

Foolish Baseball reposted

After 8 years at Vox Media/SB Nation/Secret Base, I have been laid off. Thank you guys for supporting me throughout the years and I hope you join me for whatever is next. Secret Base will continue to make great things, I honored to be a part of it.

buff.lyI no longer work at Secret Base... Now what?After 8 years of working at Vox Media, SB Nation & Secret Base my chapter there has abruptly closed. So what next? Let's talk about itPatreon is here: https:...