David H. Montgomery

David H. Montgomery

@dhmontgomery.com

Words, data, code. Senior data journalist with @today.yougov.com. Host of the French history podcast The Siècle (@thesiecle.com).

7.3K followers792 following2.8K posts

David H. Montgomery reposted

Oscar Wilde: In my book I invented the portrait that changes over time as a cautionary tale. Tech Company: At long last, we have created The Picture of Dorian Gray from classic sci-fi novel Don't Create The Picture of Dorian Gray.

David H. Montgomery reposted

I really love this series of questions. (Survey research! It's useful for any number of things beyond asking people which candidate they would vote for if the election were held today!)

YouGov America@today.yougov.com

Oct 22-23 poll of 9,054 U.S. adults (±1.3 points) % who regret having permanently lost [printed | digital | both printed and digital] photographs U.S. adults: 22% | 11% | 32% 18-29: 14% | 15% | 34% 30-44: 17% | 12% | 38% 45-64: 27% | 9% | 32% 65+: 31% | 7% | 24% yougov.com/en-us/daily-...

I’m still mad years later that this got absolutely no reaction from anyone.

Kristin Wilson@kristin-wilson.bsky.social

Tell me your nerdiest joke that people either don’t get, or think less of you for thinking it’s funny. Here’s mine: Descartes is sitting at a bar drinking a beer. The bartender asks if he’d like another one. Descartes says, “I think not” and instantly vanishes.

David H. Montgomery reposted

My pal Danielle Koenig shared that her father Walter Koenig passed away last night at age 90. A performer whose kindness and warmth shone through the screen. He will be well remembered.

David H. Montgomery reposted

Lot of fear of people lying to polls. We don't have much evidence for it & don't need it to explain error. People uncomfortable sharing their choice are more likely to be in the now ~98% of people who don't respond than to take ~20 min survey to lie. Non-response much bigger deal

I've been musing lately that there seem to be two related genres of AI critique: 1) Consequentialist Critiques: AI is bad because it has bad effects (misinformation, job losses, extinction, whatever) 2) Deontological Critiques: AI is bad because it was conceived in sin (plagiarism)

Theoretically these two critiques are independent. You could believe AI is useful but inherently bad, or harmful but innocent. In practice, they tend to go together; in particular people who espouse the Deontological Critique of AI almost always subscribe to Consequentialist Critiques, too.

David H. Montgomery reposted

As much as I like lovely exercises like this, we need to stop saying that the choropleth map is "misleading". It can be misleading *if you don't know how to read it for the purpose it was created for*—to show who won were, nothing else. The problem isn't the map, but its improper interpretation.

Karim Douieb@karimdouieb.bsky.social

🇺🇸🗳️ With the 2026 midterms two weeks away, I felt this election deserved a better map. 🧵

David H. Montgomery reposted

When I was in middle school in Nebraska, I thought The Cheesecake Factory was a fictional restaurant that The Big Bang Theory made up. Then when I was in grad school at Caltech, I found out that some people thought Caltech was a fictional university that The Big Bang Theory made up.

David H. Montgomery reposted

one of the neighborhood dads got one of the 13' Halloween skeletons and i now have some insight into what would happen if one country in a volatile region was first to a nuclear weapon

David H. Montgomery reposted

This is most of the text of a royal ordinance French King Charles X signed on July 25, 1830, one of four ordinances that day that amounted to a royal coup against France's liberal opposition. It provoked a bit of an uproar. Find out more in Episode 39 of The Siècle: thesiecle.com/episode39/

thesiecle.comEpisode 39: The Four OrdinancesOn July 26, 1830, Parisians woke up to four stunning proclamations from King Charles X, four ordinances rewriting French politics and public life. Join me to...

Being informed of maneuvers that have been practiced in several places in Our kingdom, to deceive and mislead voters during the recent voting in the electoral colleges, By and with the advice of Our Council, We hereby decree as follows: The Chamber of Deputies of the departments is dissolved.

David H. Montgomery reposted

I was thinking about why you can’t get any of the .999… expansions by long dividing two integers and I realized it’s because of a certain (good! Let’s not change it!) conventional aspect of the long division algorithm, which is that when we divide a/b we choose remainders strictly less than b. /

David H. Montgomery reposted

Replying to @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social

We found that as of right now 73% of your campaign donation goes back to the consultants and vendors (!!!), four times more than just 20 years ago. Only 13% to ads. Even I was shocked.

David H. Montgomery reposted

I made an AI video about genzplyr and I lowkey love it. It's also 100% slop. In this post I dig into what makes something slop, when it's ok to share it, and how to avoid it in work that matters. Read more at: substack.hadley.nz/p/what-is-slop

substack.hadley.nzWhat is slop?I made an AI video about genzplyr and I lowkey love it. It's also 100% slop. In this post I dig into what makes something slop, when it's ok to share it, and how to avoid it in work that matters.

This joke predates Stalin by one or more centuries. It's best known (cc @ageofnapoleon.bsky.social) as an anecdote about Napoleonic privateer Robert Surcouf (contrasting the money-seeking French & honor-seeking English), and has been attributed to the 18th Century privateer René Duguay-Trouin, too.

Stage Write@stagewrite.bsky.social

In Conversations with Stalin, Milovan Djilas tells Stalin a joke:

Needless to say, whichever privateer you attribute it to, the quote is likely apocryphal. There's no firm contemporary evidence to say either Surcouf or Duguay-Trouin said this, and this is the kind of joke a writer comes up with in the quiet of their study, anyway.

This isn't to say that Stalin wasn't told this joke (or that he didn't appreciate it). This very well might have happened! But if it did, it wasn't an original joke, but an updated version of a form dating back at least a century.

David H. Montgomery reposted

We were investigating Wedgewood for faking their data and emailed them for comment this morning, ahead of publishing the findings tomorrow. They are now trying to cover up their fraud with the "we were doing a social experiment" excuse. Full story here: blog.fiftyplusone.news/p/fiftypluso...

blog.fiftyplusone.newsFiftyPlusOne just caught a pollster faking data — and they copped to itIn response to a request for comment on a FiftyPlusOne investigation, Wedgewood Polls admitted their data was bogus

David H. Montgomery reposted

the knicks' ring ceremony was cool. i think marriage should be between two people but at the end of the day it's not really about what i think

David H. Montgomery reposted

While I'm recovering from injury I'm thinking outside of the box to get in my workouts. I thought I'd explore something new. Duck Duck Go offering really valuable insights on how to begin.

David H. Montgomery reposted

Or they could respond basically the same way every society ever has responded to strategic bombing, which is a hardening of resolve to resist. acoup.blog/2022/10/21/c... It is difficult to imagine what news might be more warmly greeted in Kyiv than news that Putin had bombed Paris or Berlin.

acoup.blogCollections: Strategic Airpower 101This week, I’m going to offer a fairly basic overview of the concept of strategic airpower, akin to our discussions of protracted war and nuclear deterrence. While the immediate impetus for t…
Natalka@natalkakyiv.bsky.social

‼️ Some brutal truth 🔽 “I want to see which European capital could withstand just one drone attack. They’ll run away, shit themselves — pardon my language — and surrender.”.” — Garry Kasparov

David H. Montgomery reposted

The name of New Mexico is funny because it's one of those things that you'd think is really simple (oh, it's it used to be part of old Mexico, so we'll call it New Mexico!), but it's much more complex New Mexico as the name for the area predates Mexico by several hundred years!

Owen Barcala@obarcala.bsky.social

But, like, New America wouldn't make any sense because this is still the original America and... You know what, forget it

David H. Montgomery reposted

What the Mets did by mediating the transfer of Freddy Peralta between the two eventual pennant winners without really netting anything for him or getting even replacement level production out of him, it’s really art. It’s like a weird version of money laundering where only you go to jail.

David_j_roth@davidjroth.bsky.social

Trade some middling prospects for Freddy Peralta, instantly break his whole shit and flop so bad that all of America knows what every inch of your ass looks like, trade Peralta for some maybe-better prospects to a team that fixes him instantly. Yeah I'd say this is outcome is a big win for the Mets.

David H. Montgomery reposted

Just got all my boys together to take on the wandering ronin who came to town. There’s like 15 of us and only one of him so pretty much the only thing that would give me any pause is if he was master of the devastating and lightning-fast iaidō style. But that’s not likely. Coward hasn’t even drawn h

David H. Montgomery reposted

France is facing civil unrest. A weak government led by a leader with dwindling support has failed to control left-wing rioting, which threatens to bring a right-wing government to power. The year, of course, is 1831, as I covered in Episode 50 of The Siècle:

thesiecle.comEpisode 50: Movement and ResistanceWith unrest still bubbling on the streets of Paris, the center-left Party of Movement and the center-right Party of Movement struggle for control of the new ...