Dave Troy

Dave Troy

@davetroy.com

Publisher and Editor, America 2.0. Baltimore/Washington. Pilot, chef, coder. america2.news Signal: davetroy.69

40.3K followers85 following1.1K posts

Dave Troy
@davetroy.com

📉 What we're tracking today: 1. Anthropic S-1 is public 2. Ebola case flown out of Nigeria 3. Court doubts DOJ ballot demand 4. Musk film still in theaters 5. MEPs urge Black Sea naval mission 6. Russia blamed for sabotage 7. No evidence of Dem coup plot trackers.america2.news?r=h-6b59a6

trackers.america2.newsAmerica 2.0 Live TrackersLive, evidence-based trackers for fast-moving stories: one rating that moves only on evidence, what would change it, and the sources.
Dave Troy
@davetroy.com

🟡 Anthropic's S-1 leaves Q3 revenue blank. It told investors Q3 rose 45% to $16.8B: far slower than Q2's 144% jump, and short of some investors' expectations. The Q3 numbers must appear in an amended filing for a mid-November listing. anthropicipo.america2.news?r=r2-6db981#...

anthropicipo.america2.newsAnthropic IPO: Risk to the US Economy — live trackerAnthropic is preparing one of the largest IPOs on record. What its filings show, what the valuation rests on, and what each outcome would mean for the US economy.

Dave Troy reposted

NPR
@npr.org

Researchers who track online influence operations say Kremlin-backed groups are renewing tactics they've used to sow distrust and discord in previous elections in the U.S. and around the world. n.pr/4snxJFv

n.prRussia steps up election influence efforts in final stretch of midtermsResearchers who track online influence operations say Kremlin-backed groups are renewing tactics they've used to sow distrust and discord in previous elections in the U.S. and around the world.
Dave Troy
@davetroy.com

🟢 NO EVIDENCE: "Secret tapes!" "Color revolution!" "Arrest them!" Viral posts claim Democrats and ex-USAID officials plan a violent coup after the midterms. We reviewed the evidence and found nothing to support the accusations. Please read + share. colorrevolution.america2.news?r=r1-93421e

colorrevolution.america2.newsIs someone plotting a coup after the midterms?Viral posts say Democrats and ex-USAID officials are plotting a coup after the midterms. The story step by step, what the tapes actually show, and who's pushing it.
Dave Troy
@davetroy.com

This is not projection: Republicans, some say, are the ones planning to seize power. That misreads what is happening. This is not a coup plan turned around. It follows the playbook Moscow has used against its own opposition to investigate, prosecute and silence opposition, win or lose.

Dave Troy
@davetroy.com

We observe many viral claims of touchscreen anomalies at some polling places. We investigated and found the reports wildly overstated. While people are on edge, this is not confirmed to be a serious problem, so far. Onward. election2026.america2.news/c/parton-tou...

election2026.america2.newsStella Parton’s Touchscreen · Election 2026 · America 2.0Stella Parton says her touchscreen kept picking Marsha Blackburn. Officials found an unintended touch, and the paper ballot is the check.
Dave Troy
@davetroy.com

🟡 ELEVATED: Federal pressure has turned to certification. Hours after the attorney general said it isn't DOJ's intention to interfere, DOJ sued to block Alaska's Senate certification if Sen. Sullivan narrowly loses. No ruling yet. election2026.america2.news?r=r3-4907a0

election2026.america2.newsElection 2026: Risk to the 2026 Election — live trackerA sourced, sober read on real risks to the 2026 U.S. midterms, from casting ballots through counting, certification and the seating of Congress on Jan. 3, 2027.
Dave Troy
@davetroy.com

🛰️ What we're tracking today: 1. Musk: Ukraine says Starlink still capped 2. Russia's Wider War on the West 3. Ebola: Nigeria case never visited Congo 4. Anthropic: still no public S-1 5. Black Sea: 5th ship sunk 6. Election: new 'color revolution' plot trackers.america2.news?r=h-a92e30

trackers.america2.newsAmerica 2.0 Live TrackersLive, evidence-based trackers for fast-moving stories: one rating that moves only on evidence, what would change it, and the sources.

Dave Troy reposted

Marina Ormes Professional Astrologer
@marinaormes.bsky.social

This is really helpful. Love what @davetroy.com is doing.

Dave Troy@davetroy.com

✋ Stop doomscrolling, reclaim your time! Our new live Trackers follow breaking, fast-moving stories as they happen, with clear, well-sourced reporting. No speculation or clickbait — just facts, useful intel, and a single rating with our assessment! trackers.america2.news

trackers.america2.newsAmerica 2.0 Live TrackersLive, evidence-based trackers for fast-moving stories: one rating that moves only on evidence, what would change it, and the sources.

Dave Troy reposted

Just Kris
@justkris2.bsky.social

Peeps…check this out. Expert compilation and factual status reporting of ongoing skullduggery and otherwise important information. Follow Dave!

Dave Troy@davetroy.com

📉 What we're tracking today: 1. NEW: Anthropic IPO + risks to economy 2. Starlink: Lithuania foils a third arson 3. Unrest: EU probes Kremlin disinformation 4. Black Sea: NATO sends blast experts 5. Election: NC ballot rules stand trackers.america2.news?r=h-ab5b77

trackers.america2.newsAmerica 2.0 Live TrackersLive, evidence-based trackers for fast-moving stories: one rating that moves only on evidence, what would change it, and the sources.
Dave Troy
@davetroy.com

It's clear now it's necessary to remove the President of the United States by appropriate Constitutional process, and by force if necessary. The question now is who stands for the Constitution, and who is willing to commit treason.

Dave Troy
@davetroy.com

This may be the most important emerging story we are tracking. Russia sees confrontation in space as a legitimate military tactic; officials are also on record suggesting it could pop the AI bubble and collapse the US economy. We have the details. spacewar.america2.news?r=r2-17e950

spacewar.america2.newsSpace War Watch — live trackerIs Russia preparing the first attack on a Western satellite? What public orbital data show, what is claimed, and what would change the risk.
Dave Troy
@davetroy.com

🟡 LIKELY: Russia is the leading suspect in the Black Sea ship strikes, but no government has shown evidence. Three ships sunk off Bulgaria and Romania since Oct. 5; overnight, two tankers caught fire near Sulina. 7 sailors missing. Bookmark our tracker: blacksea.america2.news?r=r2-22b3ee

blacksea.america2.newsBlack Sea Sinkings — live trackerWho is sinking merchant ships in NATO waters off Bulgaria? What is confirmed, what is claimed, and what evidence would settle it.
Dave Troy
@davetroy.com

Gibney's MUSK film contains no known revelations; it sounds like a solid piece of filmmaking and will shape public opinion, which is helpful. But no one, not Gibney, Isaacson, or any other chronicler of Musk's arc has covered this — and IMHO it's key. washingtonspectator.org/musks-spacex...

washingtonspectator.orgMusk’s SpaceX Received Big Boosts from “Putin’s Favorite” Rep. Dana Rohrabacher | Washington SpectatorWhen Elon Musk formed Space Exploration Corporation in 2002, he based the company in El Segundo, California — an area rich with aerospace and defense contractor talent. That choice proved to be…

Dave Troy reposted

Social Media Lab
@socialmedialab.ca

"Ukraine’s Exposure Grows as Satellite Use Is Restricted and Russia Escalates. A huge attack cut power to 600,000 people in Kyiv, and a Pentagon-funded satellite internet program appeared to be curbed without warning." www.nytimes.com/2026/10/14/w...

nytimes.comUkraine’s Exposure Grows as Satellite Use Is Restricted and Russia EscalatesA huge attack cut power to 600,000 people in Kyiv, and a Pentagon-funded satellite internet program appeared to be curbed without warning.
Social Media Lab@socialmedialab.ca

The question remains: Do we want a private corporation to have this much power over states? "Ukraine says SpaceX limit Starlink operations, disrupting military" www.straitstimes.com/world/europe...

straitstimes.comUkraine says SpaceX limits Starlink operations, disrupting militaryThe limitations significantly complicate logistics and some drone operations. Read more at straitstimes.com.
Dave Troy
@davetroy.com

We have updated our assessment. bsky.app/profile/dave...

Dave Troy@davetroy.com

🟠 LIKELY: The decision to restrict Starshield service in Ukraine now appears to be a US and DoD policy decision. We've upgraded our assessment, and are continuing to monitor developments live. Follow our tracker here. starlink.america2.news?r=r3-261fe6

starlink.america2.newsStarlink in Ukraine — credibility trackerWho restricted Ukraine's Starlink, and why? What is confirmed, what is claimed, and what evidence would settle it.

Dave Troy reposted

EnchantedHickie
@enchantedhickie.bsky.social

💥 Essential Listening: The Crazy AI Broligarchs You Need To Understand #AI #LLM #antiChrist #SiliconValley #Thiel #fascism #Anthropic 👉Thanks @davetroy.com america2.news/podcast-nerd...

america2.newsPodcast: Nerd Reich Redux with Gil DuránGil joins Dave for a discussion of his recently-released New York Times bestselling book, "The Nerd Reich: Silicon Valley Fascism and the War on Democracy" and what it might mean for the midterms.

Dave Troy reposted

Social Media Lab
@socialmedialab.ca

Motivated reasoning strikes again. "How a conspiracy theory about James Talarico raced through the right-wing internet. Republicans thought they had political gold after James Talarico disappeared from the campaign trail, citing the flu. They may have miscalculated." www.nbcnews.com/tech/interne...

nbcnews.comHow a conspiracy theory about James Talarico raced through the right-wing internetRepublicans thought they had political gold after James Talarico disappeared from the campaign trail, citing the flu. They may have miscalculated.

Dave Troy reposted

The Washington Post
@washingtonpost.com

President Trump’s 3,400-mile trip to a ruby-red pocket of Alaska — Wasilla, the home of former governor and vice-presidential nominee Sarah Palin — shows how urgently his party needs to mobilize its base to keep control of the Senate.

washingtonpost.comTrump to fly 3,400 miles to Alaska in hopes of saving a Senate seatWith Republicans all but writing off their chances of winning Senate races in states such as North Carolina and Georgia, Alaska has become a crucial battleground this fall.

Dave Troy reposted

Social Media Lab
@socialmedialab.ca

"Did Ukrainian strikes on Russian datacentres reduce online disinformation? While some viral online graphs suggest less bot activity, Zelenskyy’s claims of improved social media discourse do not entirely pass muster." www.theguardian.com/world/2026/o...

theguardian.comDid Ukrainian strikes on Russian datacentres reduce online disinformation?While some viral online graphs suggest less bot activity, Zelenskyy’s claims of improved social media discourse do not entirely pass muster
Social Media Lab@socialmedialab.ca

So there currently a raging debate on X, Bluesky & other platforms where people are using a drop in Cloudflare's YandexBot traffic to claim that right-wing online engagement is falling. radar.cloudflare.com/bots/as13238... That conclusion doesn't follow from the data.

radar.cloudflare.comBot Traffic from AS13238 | Cloudflare RadarBot Traffic trends and insights from AS13238 YANDEX Yandex LLC.

Dave Troy reposted

Dave Troy
@davetroy.com

Replying to @quarantegan.bsky.social

We went in a more scientific direction, starting with the assertion that the burden of proof lies on those claiming a direct effect. A plausible hypothesis, but requires evidence. After analyzing hundreds of sources and posts, we have found none. russianbots.america2.news

russianbots.america2.newsThe Russian Bot Collapse Report: did Russia's bots really go quiet?A sourced, live check on the viral claim that Ukraine's strikes on Yandex data centers silenced Russian social-media bots: what the data measures, what it doesn't, and who is spreading which claims.
Dave Troy
@davetroy.com

I don't know a single domain expert that thinks there is some effect from the Yandex strikes on social media troll activity. Another very qualified voice weighs in here.

Kate Starbird@katestarbird.bsky.social

Y’all, I hate to rain on the dead bot parade, but the Yandex data center destruction doesn’t seem to have significantly impacted social media bots. I made temporal graphs of X posts about AfD around the time of the attack and there’s no sign of a sudden dip or residual impact on that conversation.

Dave Troy
@davetroy.com

🛑 NEW: THE SILENCE OF THE TROLLS was a great story. It just isn't supported by any real data — just a handful of misleading charts. Researchers tracking actual troll networks saw no drop. Why did so many want to believe it anyway? We dug in... america2.news/motivated-re...

america2.newsMotivated Reasoning and Confirmation Bias Drive Viral Claims of “Russian Bot” DeclinesA viral chart showed that Ukraine’s strikes on Yandex silenced the company’s search crawler. But many people were ready (and willing) to believe it showed something more.
Dave Troy
@davetroy.com

🟡 UPDATE: The Trump administration has moved to investigate Rep. Ilhan Omar, a political opponent who will appear on the ballot on November 3. Our election risk assessment remains at 'elevated' — bookmark the tracker for updates and the latest news. election2026.america2.news

election2026.america2.newsThe Election 2026 Risk Report: a live, sourced risk trackerA sourced, sober read on real risks to the 2026 U.S. midterms, from casting ballots through counting, certification and the seating of Congress on Jan. 3, 2027.

Dave Troy reposted

Julian Sanchez
@normative.bsky.social

Just plowed through @gilduran.com ‘s book over the weekend, and it’s an excellent quick intro to the absolutely bizarro ideologies that are warping our politics at the behest of a few Silicon Valley billionaires.

Dave Troy@davetroy.com

📻 NEW PODCAST: Gil Durán says explaining our politics without Thiel, Yarvin and the network state is like explaining 9/11 without Al-Qaeda. He joins me to talk tech fascism, crypto corruption, and the midterms. america2.news/podcast-nerd...

america2.newsPodcast: Nerd Reich Redux with Gil DuránGil joins Dave for a discussion of his recently-released New York Times bestselling book, "The Nerd Reich: Silicon Valley Fascism and the War on Democracy" and what it might mean for the midterms.
Dave Troy
@davetroy.com

🟢 LOW CREDIBILITY: We find that viral claims that drone strikes on Yandex data centers in Russia have impacted coordinated inauthentic social media activity are misstated and unfalsifiable. Treat such claims with skepticism, and bookmark this tracker. russianbots.america2.news

russianbots.america2.newsThe Russian Bot Collapse Report: did Russia's bots really go quiet?A sourced, live check on the viral claim that Ukraine's strikes on Yandex data centers silenced Russian social-media bots: what the data measures, what it doesn't, and who is spreading which claims.
View full thread
Dave Troy
@davetroy.com

However any value such strikes may bring to information warfare operations is speculative and unproven. Our assessment is to not diminish the threat Russian information operations still pose, and to continue fighting on both of these fronts as if they are separate, if interrelated, concerns.

Dave Troy
@davetroy.com

Just spoke to the Kyiv Independent and they are also sorting through these claims. Expect some informed coverage from them soon.

Dave Troy
@davetroy.com

🟢 LOW CREDIBILITY: We find that viral claims that drone strikes on Yandex data centers in Russia have impacted coordinated inauthentic social media activity are misstated and unfalsifiable. Treat such claims with skepticism, and bookmark this tracker. russianbots.america2.news

russianbots.america2.newsThe Russian Bot Collapse Report: did Russia's bots really go quiet?A sourced, live check on the viral claim that Ukraine's strikes on Yandex data centers silenced Russian social-media bots: what the data measures, what it doesn't, and who is spreading which claims.
Dave Troy
@davetroy.com

We will assess new claims as they come in. Russia’s information warfare operations are heterogeneous and distributed, often entrepreneurially, and generally operate in other countries. To the extent Yandex strikes may impact such operations, they would likely be...

Dave Troy
@davetroy.com

in the area of toolchain dependencies: email, payments, AI, translations, etc. which can generally be swapped out for other solutions. Strikes on Yandex overall are good strategic moves for Ukraine as they impact domestic operations and state information processing capacity.