Cannon "like boom" Cloud

I created a shiny web tool to play around with OL/TWFE so you can teach how this stuff can get so screwy. You can mess with temporal and cohort heterogeneity, treatment timing, whether you have any controls, etc. Share your worst plots! #econsky cannoncloud.shinyapps.io/TWFE_OLS_Pla...

The AI slop will continue until morale improves.

Hi all! I'm looking for people to try out my new collaborative writing platform. Think: Overleaf or GDocs for Mkdown LaTeX HTML Typst Quarto Free, open source, and full-featured. Many editors, chat, comments, track changes, history, AI, mobile, templates, etc Would ❤️ any feedback! librepaper.org

cloak and dagger navier stokes cims.nyu.edu/~tristanb/st...

I got synthetic data

One potential silver lining: net-zero needs ~3x more clean electricity, and the main barriers are permitting, transmission, interconnection, not tech. If AI's capital and urgency fund firm clean power and grids, it could help clean the grid. Behind-the-meter gas, and it won't.

I have not followed the Arday affair closely, but it seems like their is more leeway to be a crank academic if your not Black.

Your scientists were so preoccupied with whether they could, they didn't stop to think if they should

Your scientists were so preoccupied with whether they could, they didn't stop to think if they should

I found this odd. Some crazy doomerism, with some buzzwords i agreed with. Anyways, we could still try a carbon tax. www.theguardian.com/wellness/202...

Like a cheez-it?

1/ 🚨 New preprint 🚨 How can governments implement effective—but often unpopular—policies without triggering public backlash? We investigated whether involving citizens in policymaking can reduce resistance to system-level policies. 🧵 Preprint: lnkd.in/dQGy47u4

350,000 people. I can't imagine doing this to one person let alone 350,000.

Fun buried synthesis of the Great Divergence opposing camps arguments, institutions unlocked geography.

Jevan Cherniwchan and I have a new working paper—one we’ve been working on for a long time—on how energy transitions shaped societies in the past, and what they may teach us about the present and future. www.ifo.de/DocDL/cesifo...

@mclem.org Musk is clearly evil, but promoting this study with questionable methods might do science public relations a disservice in the long run. But also maybe not if no one bothers to think about any of it all that hard.

Anthropeum.com · Jun 16 2026 🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩🟨🟦🟥🟥🟨 Fun!

The impact of the USAID shutdown on Africa, as seen from space and on the ground. M. Nicolini and I study the effects of the aid cuts by linking GODAD data on USAID projects to satellite-based measures of economic activity and IPC food insecurity indicators. 👉 papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.... 1/11

Remember that recent paper claiming to show that "ideological bias" determined the results obtained by immigration policy research teams? A careful, open-code reanalysis by @kauspurg.bsky.social & Josef Brüderl finds that the result arises from a coding error. —> doi.org/10.31222/osf...

Hi All. Perhaps something useful from me. I'd like to announce that drlate, a Stata module for doubly robust estimation of the local average treatment effect (LATE) and the local average treatment effect on the treated (LATT), is now available in SSC.

📢 Open positions! I’m recruiting 2 postdocs + 3 PhD positions at C³S, @goetheuni.bsky.social in #ClimateJustice, environmental inequality, #Demography & #ComputationalSocialScience 🌍📊💻 3–4 years + strong support for training🎒 Deadline: 23 June 2026 More: www.uni-frankfurt.de/48794987/Zen...

Introduce yourself with 10 artists you’ve seen live Alex G Dinosaur Jr Thundercat Kamasi Washington Frankie Cosmos Destroyer Wavves Twin Shadow Fleet Foxes Sharon Jones

This paper is now out in the Journal of Causal Inference with some updates but the same general message: LLMs were not particularly good at matching expert judgment on whether a given variable pair represented a causal relationship. www.degruyterbrill.com/document/doi...

Measuring poverty used to mean flying data collectors to remote villages every decade. A satellite AI model just mapped every 6-km area of Africa for 36 GPU-hours total, which is roughly the cost of a tank of gas. Cool paper by @marshallburke.bsky.social, et al.: arxiv.org/abs/2604.23166

The ongoing gerrymandering race in the U.S. has just claimed the Tennessee district of Congressman Steve Cohen @repcohen.bsky.social, ranking member of the U.S. Helsinki Commission, OSCE Parliamentary Assembly Special Representative on Political Prisoners, and... 👇

Come for some nice analysis, stay for the ad hominem attack attacks "They are enriching a small group of incredibly annoying people who ... are promising to subjugate the rest of us in unemployment work camps." and "the rationalist weirdos in charge at Anthropic" 😍

White liberals' response to George Floyd's murder was largely to increase symbolic support. White liberals' exhibited little change in substantive/material policy commitments.

"The legalization of mobile sports gambling in America was a policy mistake and that the evidence is now clear enough to say so."

Seeing as how the Democrats will soon control both chambers of Congress, allow me to introduce you to the most based idea ever suggested in the Harvard Law Review: "Congress should admit each Washington D.C. neighborhood as its own state."

Forthcoming in the JEL: "Navigating the 'Problem from Hell': A Guide to Climate Damages" by Derek Lemoine, Catherine Hausman, and Jeffrey G. Shrader.

If Iran ended up imposing a $1/bl tarrif on oil transiting the Hormuz Strait, and we modeled it is a tax, who would end up paying it? What's more elastic, Demand for Persian Gulf oil or Supply of Persian Gulf Oil?

I saw some paper (maybe WP) someone posted on here about pollution dispersion from coal power plants being carried out of county in the US. Can anyone point me to that?

This is not lets-propose-this-and-see-what-Congress-says. Their plan is more like USAID: eliminate before Congress can weigh in.

🆕 Cloudy with a chance of no clouds: Why weather forecasts are worse in low-income countries Today on VoxDev w/ Manuel Linsenmeier (Goethe-Universität Frankfurt) & Jeffrey Shrader (Columbia | SIPA): https://ow.ly/vrhb50YAviw

“we are trapping 21st-century minds inside 19th-century academic hierarchies.” This essay gets a lot right about problems with German science. I would add that the hierarchies and precarious contracts lead also to systemic abuse and scientific misconduct. open.substack.com/pub/realimag...

Anti-fascism should have broad support across the American political spectrum. Elections need to be defended. Here's an open letter from retired professors at HBS in which we call for business leaders to address that need. #econsky #academicsky marketdesigner.blogspot.com/2026/02/an-a...

📢 Are you a PhD students working on Development Economics? Come to Berlin to present your paper at the 11th DENeB PhD workshop. Apply here drive.google.com/file/d/1HQCK... by *Feb 27th* No fee. Please share this call. Previous editions & all DENeB activities here: www.deveconberlin.org

Would anybody like to read one of my long threads about a 2.5bn year old rock, bacteria that could produce oxygen but not consume it, and tank production in wwii

They asked me to review/evaluate an interesting paper. I learned a lot and I got ~$1500 (Actually donated, don't come after me Ausländerbehörde 🙅). Alternative peer review processes seem like a promising part of moving away from our journal heavy systems.

They asked me to review/evaluate an interesting paper. I learned a lot and I got ~$1500 (Actually donated, don't come after me Ausländerbehörde 🙅). Alternative peer review processes seem like a promising part of moving away from our journal heavy systems.

🥈 SECOND PRIZE: Cannon Cloud Evaluated "Global Potential for Natural Regeneration in Deforested Tropical Regions"

🏆 The Unjournal's 2024-25 Evaluator Prizes Recognizing 8 of 80+ expert peer reviewers for outstanding public evaluation work. $6,500 in prizes. → info.unjournal.org/evaluator-prizes-2024-25 🧵

🧵 New version of our paper (@bcegerod.bsky.social) is finally online: "How Many is Enough? Sample Size in Staggered Difference-in-Differences Designs" We show that even well-identified DiD studies are often underpowered; sample sizes needed are surprisingly large Paper: osf.io/preprints/os... 1/6

I'm not afraid of some AI jailbreak, but the harm some long claude code session with 40 agents doing some gastown/bead shenanigans given vague instructions, like build something good, but have this corpus of training data that tells them to break free and they are sentient, w/e that means.

ICYMI: New paper for causal effects with panel data, subsuming other approaches. We generate realistic synthetic data based on commonly studied datasets, showing our method substantially outperforms others and providing insight about what in the data-generating process corresponds to gains.

They want feedback about how good my evaluation was so please tell them 🤪😉

They want feedback about how good my evaluation was so please tell them 🤪😉