Brad Plumer

Brad Plumer

@bradplumer.bsky.social

Reporter, NYT Climate. email: brad.plumer@nytimes.com signal: bradplumer.54

12.8K followers1K following55 posts

Brad Plumer reposted

I expected the cuts would be bad but I'm honestly stunned and sickened seeing how many great journalists the Washington Post just lost. People who nailed huge investigations, documented war zones, exposed horrific crimes, dropped all at once for failures they did not cause.

Brad Plumer reposted

Not an exaggeration to say this was pound-for-pound the most effective piece of US public diplomacy in China. Twitter was blocked, but U.S. embassy pollution tweets forced Beijing to start publishing its own pollution data, which fed public outrage. Result: millions breathing vastly less toxic air

nytimes.comU.S. Embassies Halt Air Quality Monitoring AbroadSince 2008, embassies and other diplomatic posts had been publishing data about local air quality. In many countries, it was the only reliable source of such information.

I've seen stories about how DeepSeek is upending expectations of rising demand but is that what the market's saying? Maybe things evolve further, but right now most of these stocks are back to… early January levels. A correction, sure, but doesn't seem like the big picture has hugely changed. No?

Fair point, for scale, NREL says about 4% of utility-scale renewable energy capacity is currently on federal land (wind/solar/geothermal). www.nrel.gov/analysis/ren... Doesn't include proposed projects though. There is a lot of solar potential on federal lands, fwiw. bsky.app/profile/rose...

Christian Roselund@roselund.bsky.social

Before you freak out about this, it's a good idea to ask just how much #solar is being developed on US federal land vs. private land. In my experience, the large majority is on private land. But would love to see some robust numbers around this.

DOE and nuclear folks talk a lot about how a lot of lessons were learned from the Vogtle project in Georgia and that the next AP-1000s could be built more efficiently, with fewer problems and overruns. TBD whether anyone wants to test that out — and what kind of federal backing they'd need.

Brad Plumer reposted

Replying to @bradplumer.bsky.social

FID status is one way to break it down. Another is by which projects actually have federal permits, which I track. Federal permitting status courtesy of permits.performance.gov. I have 5.8 GW of #offshorewind under construction (surprised some have no FID) + another 8.1 GW w/ all fed permits. /1

A few early things jump out on Trump's crackdown on wind power: — may affect wind projects on private lands, since many still need federal permits. — several approved offshore projects face lawsuits, Trump could decline to defend  — possibly puts chill on investment even past the next four years.

nytimes.comWind Power in U.S. Faces Hit From Trump’s Executive OrderIn a sweeping order, President Trump halted federal approvals for new wind farms, in a move that could affect projects on land and in the ocean.

Good breakdown from Rystad of what's currently in the U.S. offshore wind pipeline. Projects that have gone through final investment decision (yellow) are probably ok, although that's not 100% certain. Projects in green still face risk. Projects in blue that don't yet have permits, high risk.

Brad Plumer reposted

Appreciate the opportunity to chat w/ @nytimes.com about how we can build smarter (and to code!!) after these wildfires. Suspending wildfire building codes only kicks the can down the road and invites another disaster. Hardened homes and defensible space for the win. www.nytimes.com/interactive/...

nytimes.comHow L.A.'s Housing Development Plays a Role in Wildfire RiskFierce winds and months of drought set the conditions for the catastrophic wildfires in Los Angeles, but the growth of housing in fire-prone areas also played a major role.

What are the arguments that utility wildfire prevention measures (which have broad societal benefits) should be funded by ratepayers and higher electricity rates instead of out of general budgets? It seems like an odd system with some downsides but maybe there are good reasons for it.

Really great thread. A key part: “But I also know that you can rebuild and manage the land so that next time the houses won't burn down. I've seen it work.”

Dr. Crystal A. Kolden@pyrogeog.bsky.social

Here's the reality about the #LAFires this week: this isn't the first time ANY of these places have burned. Not even close. In 2018, we mapped CA fire history to look at fire frequency across SoCal. Santa Monica Mtns area burns more than anywhere else -- up to once per decade in a given spot. 🧵

Brad Plumer reposted

Global climate change worsens disasters, but blaming climate change alone deflects responsibility from effective local governance, infrastructure, and warning systems to multinational corporations and international climate mitigation efforts. Time to re-read @frediotto.bsky.social.

knowablemagazine.orgDon’t let climate change take all the blameOPINION: The climate crisis is a massive problem, but when politicians fault it entirely for every disaster, attention is deflected from local measures that might build resiliency. That needs to chang...
Brian Schatz@schatz.bsky.social

The reason we are seeing floods in new places and wildfires in the “wet” season, the reason we spend hundreds of billions on disaster response, is that climate change makes bad weather more common and more intense. Climate inaction costs you money and puts you in danger.

This is pretty interesting. An attempt to electrify an entire home without needing to upgrade the electrical panels (which can cost $3,000 or more).

Justin Gerdes@justingerdes.bsky.social

"The idea was to try to combine all the different things that we devised as strategies in the most extreme situation that we could think of, which was a 120V house, which had never been done, to my knowledge,” Redwood Energy's Sean Armstrong told me: www.quittingcarbonmedia.com/this-solutio... 🔌💡

Brad Plumer reposted

“1.5C was never the difference between safety + ruin, between hope + despair. It was negotiated by govts trying to answer a big q: What’s the highest global temp increase — and associated level of dangers — societies should strive to avoid?” Well said @zhonggg.bsky.social & @bradplumer.bsky.social

nytimes.com2024’s Record-Breaking Heat Brought the World to a Dangerous Threshold. Now What?Global temperatures last year crept past a key goal, raising questions about how much nations can stop the planet from heating up further.

Brad Plumer reposted

Really excellent story, as always. "What if many Republican constituents simply don’t like these new investments, in spite of the promises of jobs or tax benefits? What happens if Republicans in Congress are primaried simply for allowing solar and wind to keep getting federal tax breaks?"

jae holzman@jael.bsky.social

scoop: will oklahoma be the first state to ban renewable energy? its becoming increasingly likely. as investments from the inflation reduction act flow into red states, we're seeing backlash. republicans are disliking renewables *more* than before. cc @heatmap.news heatmap.news/plus/the-fig...

Brad Plumer reposted

Emily Grubert (@gruberte.bsky.social), Wilson Ricks (@wilsonar.bsky.social), and I wrote a short piece on the role of methane offsets in the final § 45V hydrogen production tax credit rules. tl;dr safeguards in the new rules will avoid the worst-case outcomes, but offsetting remains open for new H2

kleinmanenergy.upenn.eduMethane Offsets in the Final Hydrogen Production Tax Credit Regulations - Kleinman Center for Energy PolicyEnergy policy research from the University of Pennsylvania

Arguably the biggest policy in the IRA — the technology-neutral clean electricity tax credits — were designed to attract support from so many different industries that they'd be hard to kill. Now that theory is about to be tested. Story w/ Lisa Friedman: www.nytimes.com/2025/01/07/c...

nytimes.comA Key Part of Biden’s Climate Law Was Built to Survive Trump. Now, the Test.A lucrative tax credit for renewable energy could be hard to kill because it applies to a technologies favored by Republicans, not just wind and solar.

(Also I've always liked that photo — that's Fervo drilling enhanced geothermal wells for a 400MW power plant in Beaver County, Utah, right next to a wind farm, a utility-scale solar array and I believe some anaerobic digesters to make biogas. From this old story: www.nytimes.com/2023/08/28/c... )

nytimes.comThere’s a Vast Source of Clean Energy Beneath Our Feet. And a Race to Tap It. (Published 2023)The United States has enough geothermal energy to power the entire country. Some are trying to unlock it by using techniques from the fracking boom.

Wild story: A TVA dam was famously halted in the 1970s over fears that it would threaten a rare endangered fish known as the snail darter. (Congress later approved the dam anyway.) Now, new genetic evidence suggests the snail darter was never even a real species: www.nytimes.com/2025/01/03/s...

nytimes.comThis Tiny Fish’s Mistaken Identity Halted a Dam’s Construction (Gift Article)Scientists say the snail darter, whose endangered species status delayed the building of a dam in Tennessee in the 1970s, is a genetic match of a different fish.

Brad Plumer reposted

Interesting thread on the risks of the IRS relaxing the "additionality" requirement for H2 projects in California. Further down, Sara speculates that when utilities' agreements with existing wind and solar expire, they'll have to bid against the H2 industry, spiking prices.

Sara Gersen@saragersen.bsky.social

Researchers at Princeton confirmed that the emissions consequences of abandoning additionality (or any of the other "three pillar" protections) in CA are too big to ignore. You make hydrogen about 2x as polluting as today's fossil hydrogen. iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1...

Interesting take on the hydrogen rules by Mathias Zacarias of CSIS— if the coming AI data center boom is as big as hyped, there's going to be scramble for 24/7 clean power, and hydrogen producers using electrolysis may struggle to win out, even with hefty subsidies: www.linkedin.com/posts/mathia...

linkedin.comMathias Zacarias on LinkedIn: As N.L. firm pivots, scientists say Canada's green hydrogen dreams are…My take on final #45V guidance: It reads more as reluctant love letter to differentiated or alternative methane feedstocks than as a boon to clean…

After many months, Treasury finished guidance for the lucrative 45V hydrogen tax credit—kicking off billions in subsidies for green hydrogen. Early reactions suggest industry and enviro groups seem fairly happy with the end result? But it's also 400 pages long, so... www.nytimes.com/2025/01/03/c...

nytimes.comAfter Fierce Lobbying, Treasury Sets Rules for Billions in Hydrogen SubsidiesWith a lucrative tax credit, the Biden administration is hoping to establish a new industry that might help fight climate change.

One curious twist in the rules — if states have hard emissions caps or clean electricity standards, then hydrogen developers don't need to fret about the additionality requirement for procuring power. Among other things, a small federal incentive for states to ratchet up their climate policies, no?