Post

real stupid. it is more likely for the war in Ukraine to end in a half decent negotiated settlement if Ukraine has the largest possible quantity of arms

Eric@smelodiesog.bsky.social

@charliearchy.bsky.social

the weaker Ukraine is the more likely that Russia will go for full annexation. (which they might do anyway because Putin is nuts, but still)

10 reposts262 likes

I'm surprised that people who are this anti-Israel don't get deterrence. Israel got more aggressive against Lebanon after the success of the pager attack on Hezbollah and its followups - the Hezbollah threat decreased, which meant Israel fears retaliation less than it did in August.

big fraction of the American left, and The Nation has a lot of history here, is just comprehensively mixed up when it comes to anything post-Soviet or where the US is on the good side

Yeah, that's what I don't get - there's a lot of Palestine-and-Ukraine advocacy out there, especially among communities that are especially in focus now (i.e. trans and enby people - I'm guessing I'm 80th percentile pro-Israel in this sphere and I think Bibi is a war criminal).

it is not at all hard to figure out if you can get clear of compulsive Chomskyite anti-Americanism. Putin and Netanyahu, same guy. alas too hard for many, including Biden (which has greatly added to the confusion to be fair)

What are you talking about? Israel got more aggressive because Joe Biden didn’t call them terrorists for placing explosives in hundreds or thousands of civilian electronics. There will certainly not be any blowback from that precedent.

Military hardware, purchased by Hezbollah for better security, not used by civilians. Remember, Hezbollah claimed nearly all of the dead in the initial pager attack as its own operatives. Biden was right not to call them terrorists and on hindsight the entire operation was based.

You have absolutely no way of stating that as a fact. Zero. Weren’t hundreds of people including children maimed? It doesn’t matter now because Israel has since dropped hundreds of tons of bombs on Lebanon without moving the ‘front’ appreciably because they have nothing but bombs.