Semafor

Semafor

@semafor.com

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Liz writes: How does Wall Street quantify fear? Political boogeymen get names (Red Menace, death panels); financial ones get numbers. The VIX captures the market’s twitchiness, while credit-default spreads calculate the odds of a company going bust. Read more: www.semafor.com/article/10/2...

semafor.comView: AI fears add a 200-basis-point premium to SpaceX’s debtWhen SpaceX issued its first corporate bonds, it paid 6.65% for the most expensive piece. The most expensive slice of the $40 billion of private credit borrowing it’s finalized in recent days will…

The Times story from September of 2025 titled "The Billionaire, the Psychedelics and the Best-Selling Memoir" turned Amy Griffin's success into a parable about class and America’s new ultrarich. Read more from Ben Smith: www.semafor.com/article/10/2...

semafor.comExclusive: Times journalist’s children allegedly became billionaire memoirist’s focusDays after a New York Times investigation raised questions about Amy Griffin’s memoir The Tell, reporter Katherine Rosman received a worrying call.

Democratic Senate candidate Josh Turek is running a radically centrist campaign, calling for border security, criticizing his party for obstructing farm and data center legislation, and saying he has “no interest” in talking about impeachment. www.semafor.com/article/10/2...

Making peace between the GOP’s pro-Israel establishment and its restive right wing will pose an early challenge for JD Vance for a possible 2028 run. But any Republican looking for the nomination will have to sidestep the same sort of internal clashes over Israel that have bedeviled Democrats.

semafor.comRepublicans race to avoid a civil war over IsraelMaking peace between the GOP’s hawkish establishment and its restive right wing will pose an early challenge for Vice President JD Vance.

Betting operators and prediction markets have spent record amounts on campaign donations and lobbying, hoping it will help win back millions of bettors and gambling dollars that prediction markets have lured away. www.semafor.com/article/10/2...

Prediction market companies are fighting against several state attorneys general, who argue that the sites operate as illegal online gambling operations and should be shut down, limited to non-sports betting or regulated on a state-by-state basis instead of by the federal agency.

semafor.comBetting operators and prediction markets spent record amounts on campaign donations and lobbyingSports-betting and casino companies want to win back millions of bettors and gambling dollars that prediction markets have lured away.

Democrat Don Coover is down by three points against incumbent Republican Rep. Derek Schmidt, within the 3.9% margin of error, according to Democratic polling conducted in mid-October and shared with Semafor. Read more from Nicholas Wu: www.semafor.com/article/10/2...

semafor.comExclusive: Dems make a Kansas play as GOP eyes a California seatDemocrat Don Coover is down by three points against incumbent Republican Rep. Derek Schmidt, within the 3.9% margin of error, according to Democratic polling conducted in mid-October and shared with…

The group, founded by Biden White House alum Rob Flaherty and former Bernie Sanders spokesman Karthik Ganapathy, is “focused on building political support for AI regulation and ensuring voters trust Democrats on AI issues,” Ganapathy told Semafor. Read more from Ashley Gold:

semafor.comExclusive: Democratic pro-AI regulation PAC spends against Senate RepublicansTomorrow Together is moving into Senate races with $2.5 million in ads against Republican Sens. Jon Husted in Ohio and Roger Marshall in Kansas.