Bryan Schott

Bryan Schott

@schotthappens.com

Publisher/Managing Editor - Utah Political Watch 📝 I write about politics. Sometimes it goes well. | 🧠 Unsupervised adult with ADHD. | 🏈 In a toxic relationship with the Oklahoma Sooners. DM for Signal. linkin.bio/schotthappens

11.2K followers2.1K following7.8K posts

Utah sued Kalshi last week, arguing the online prediction platform violated the state's anti-gambling laws. On Tuesday, the federal government sued Utah to stop it from enforcing gambling laws on Kalshi and other prediction markets. Full story at the link ⬇️ utahpolitics.news/cftc-sues-ut...

utahpolitics.newsUtah sued Kalshi. Now the federal government is suing UtahFederal regulators sued Utah to stop it from enforcing gambling laws on Kalshi and other prediction markets, after the state sued Kalshi last week.

UTAH EARLY VOTING UPDATE (10/27/2026) These are ballots returned broken down by party affiliation, not how they voted. (Data via L2-data) STATEWIDE ~226K ballots returned 🔴 53% GOP (118.7K ballots) 🔵 22% Dem (48.7K ballots) 🟣 22% unaffiliated (48.7K ballots) 🟡 4% other (4.8K ballots)

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CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT 03 50.2K ballots 🔴 63% GOP (31.6K ballots) 🔵 15% Dem (7.4K ballots) 🟣 18% unaffiliated (8.9K ballots) 🟡 5% other (2.3K ballots)

CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT 04 54.4K ballots returned (10% of registered voters) 🔴 57% GOP (30.8K ballots) 🔵 17% (9.3K ballots) 🟣 22% unaffiliated (11K ballots) 🟡 5% other (2.5K ballots)

UTAH EARLY VOTING UPDATE (10/27/2026) These are ballots returned broken down by party affiliation, not how they voted. (Data via L2-data) STATEWIDE ~226K ballots returned 🔴 53% GOP (118.7K ballots) 🔵 22% Dem (48.7K ballots) 🟣 22% unaffiliated (48.7K ballots) 🟡 4% other (4.8K ballots)

CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT 01 61K ballots 🔴 36% GOP (22.1K ballots) 🔵 36% Dem (21.9K ballots) 🟣 24% unaffiliated (14.4K ballots) 🟡 4.3% other (2.6K ballots)

CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT 02 60.3K ballots 🔴 57% GOP (34.2K ballots) 🔵 17% Dem (10K ballots) 🟣 23% (13.6K ballots) 🟡 4% other (2.5K ballots)

According to reporting in a new book, the UAE paid Jared Kushner $50 million to get Rex Tillerson fired during Trump’s first term. If true, Kushner should go to jail.

UTAH EARLY VOTING UPDATE (10/24/2026) Ballots returned by party affiliation. These are not vote totals. (Data via L2-data) STATEWIDE 184.3K ballots returned (9.4% of registered voters) 🔴 53% GOP (96.8K ballots) 🔵 22% Dem (40.2K ballots) 🟣 21% unaffiliated (39.2K ballots) 🟡 4.3% other (8K ballots)

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CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT 03 38.8K ballots returned (7.6% of registered voters) 🔴 64.6% GOP (25.1K ballots) 🔵 14.0% Dem (5.4K ballots) 🟣 16.9% unaffiliated (6.6K ballots) 🟡 4.5% other (1.7K ballots)

CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT 04 42.5K ballots returned (8% of registered voters) 🔴 55.9% GOP (23.8K ballots) 🔵 17.8% (7.6K ballots) 🟣 21.7% unaffiliated (9.2K ballots) 🟡 4.6% other (2K ballots)

UTAH EARLY VOTING UPDATE (10/24/2026) Ballots returned by party affiliation. These are not vote totals. (Data via L2-data) STATEWIDE 184.3K ballots returned (9.4% of registered voters) 🔴 53% GOP (96.8K ballots) 🔵 22% Dem (40.2K ballots) 🟣 21% unaffiliated (39.2K ballots) 🟡 4.3% other (8K ballots)

CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT 01 51.4K ballots returned (12% of registered voters) 🔴 36.2% GOP (18.6K ballots) 🔵 36.4% Dem (18.7K ballots) 🟣 23.2% unaffiliated (11.9K ballots) 🟡 4.2% other (2.2K ballots)

CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT 02 51.5K ballots returned (11% of registered voters) 🔴 57.0% GOP (29.3K ballots) 🔵 16.6% Dem (8.5K ballots) 🟣 22.3% (11.5K ballots) 🟡 4.1% other (2.1K ballots)

🚨 BREAKING! A federal judge has DISMISSED the federal government's lawsuit against Utah seeking to force the state to turn over its unredacted voter rolls. Judge David Barlow dismissed the suit with predjudice.

UTAH EARLY VOTING UPDATE (10/23/2026) These are ballots returned broken down by party affiliation, not how they voted. (Data via L2-data) STATEWIDE ~141.3K ballots returned 🔴 52% GOP 🔵 22% Dem 🟣 21% unaffiliated 🟡 6% other ~2M total registered voters 50% GOP 14% Dem 30% unaffiliated 6% other

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CD3 ~29.8K ballots 🔴 64.1% GOP (~19.1K ballots) 🔵 14.5% Dem (~4.3K ballots) 🟣 16.8% unaffiliated (~5K ballots) 🟡 4.5% other (~1.4K ballots) 507.9K total registered voters 58% GOP 10% Dem 26% unaffiliated 6% other

CD4 ~ 30.4K ballots returned 🔴 56.0% GOP (~17K ballots) 🔵 18.2% (~5.5K ballots) 🟣 21.4% unaffiliated (~6.5K ballots) 🟡 4.5% other (~1.4K ballots) 533.6K total registered voters 54% GOP 11% Dem (56.8K voters) 29% unaffiliated 6% other

UTAH EARLY VOTING UPDATE (10/23/2026) These are ballots returned broken down by party affiliation, not how they voted. (Data via L2-data) STATEWIDE ~141.3K ballots returned 🔴 52% GOP 🔵 22% Dem 🟣 21% unaffiliated 🟡 6% other ~2M total registered voters 50% GOP 14% Dem 30% unaffiliated 6% other

CD1 ~39.6K ballots 🔴 36% GOP (~14.3K ballots) 🔵 37% Dem (~14.5K ballots) 🟣 23% unaffiliated (~9.1K ballots) 🟡 4.3% other (~1.7K ballots) 428.7K total registered voters 32% GOP 27% Dem 34% unaffiliated 7% other

CD2 ~41.6K ballots 🔴 57% GOP (23.5K ballots) 🔵 17% Dem (7K ballots) 🟣 22.5% (9.4K ballots) 🟡 4.1% other (~1.7K ballots) 484.5K total registered voters 53% GOP 11% Dem 30% unaffiliated 6% other

“Politely expressed dissent” usually means virulent racism, white nationalist propaganda or some other vile form of bigotry. You don’t get blocked for asking questions. You get blocked because you showed your whole ass on Al Gore’s internet. Nobody owes you chuds a debate on anything.

Utah early voting update (10/22/2026) Ballots returned by party affiliation STATEWIDE ~109.6K early ballots returned 🔴 52% GOP 🔵 22% Dem 🟣 21% unaffiliated

CD1 ~31.8K ballots returned 🔴 36% GOP 🔵 37% Dem 🟣 23% unaffiliated CD2 ~33.5K ballots returned 🔴 57% GOP 🔵 17% Dem 🟣 22% unaffiliated

CD3 ~17.8K ballots returned 🔴 67% GOP 🔵 12% Dem 🟣 17% unaffiliated CD4 ~26.5K ballots returned 🔴 56% GOP 🔵 18% Dem 🟣 21% unaffiliated (Data via L2-Data)

I did not see this coming. Republicans getting mad because their kids are learning about transgender people because of the constant barrage of anti-trans ads on TV.

Oh for fucks's sake! This story completely omits the fact that there was enough evidence that her stepfather abused her, that authorities removed her and her brother from the home, and that the stepfather was indicted. That's important context.

Elon Musk responds to reports that Democrats are planning to investigate him if they take control of the House next year. Settle down, tough guy. You sound like a middle schooler projecting false bravado on the playground.

Is Utah seeing a surge of independent voters? Not really. About 10,400 of Utah's "new" unaffiliated voters didn't choose to be there. The state moved them after the No Labels Party dissolved. Take them out, and Democrats are the fastest-growing group. utahpolitics.news/utah-voter-r...

utahpolitics.newsAbout Utah's surge of independent voters...State data shows about 10,000 of Utah's new unaffiliated voters came from the dissolved No Labels Party. Without them, Democrats grew fastest.
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CD3 - 11.5K ballots returned 🔴 66% GOP 🔵 12% Dem 🟣 18% Unaffiliated CD4 - 19K ballots returned 🔴 56% GOP 🔵 18% Dem 🟣 21% Unaffiliated (Data via L2-Data)

The Utah Bar Association Journal has a blurb about my ongoing lawsuit against the Utah Legislature over their refusal to give me a press pass. The Utah Legislature has spent $480,000 of taxpayer money fighting this lawsuit to keep one person (me) from having a press credential.

CD1 - 22.9K early ballots returned 🔴 36% GOP 🔵 37% Dem 🟣 22% Unaffiliated CD2 - 21.1K ballots returned 🔴 57% GOP 🔵 17% Dem 🟣 22% Unaffiliated

It is 1000% more likely that your child will be shot at school than they will come home a different gender than they were in the morning.

Brooks Benson, the GOP candidate in Senate District 11, says developers should prove there's enough water before breaking ground. In August he took $5,000 from a developer of a proposed project in Fairfield that includes a 900-acre data center. utahpolitics.news/fairfield-da...

utahpolitics.newsDeveloper behind proposed Fairfield data center project donated $5,000 to GOP Senate candidate Brooks Benson's campaignBenson says new developments should prove they have enough water. The area around the project is in extreme drought.

This is an excellent article from Poynter about my lawsuit against the Utah Legislature over their refusal to give me a press credential. BTW, there's a status conference in the case scheduled for next week. www.poynter.org/reporting-ed...

poynter.orgA shrinking local press is making it easier for public officials to restrict access - PoynterReporters across the country say they’re being denied credentials, shut out of government spaces and stonewalled by public officials

It looks like Katie Zacharia, aka fascist Barbie #9,714, may be on her way out. Trump told reporters Friday that he gave her the option of leaving her job. She might not last even one Scaramucci as press secretary.

Ten Utah House districts changed ratings in our latest update. All ten moved toward Democrats. Utah Republicans need 50 House seats to keep their supermajority. We have them favored in 57. Could Democrats break the GOP supermajority? It's possible. Here's how: utahpolitics.news/utah-house-r...

utahpolitics.newsTen Utah House seats shift toward Democrats in latest ratings updateRepublicans are still favored to keep their supermajority, but the path to breaking it just got shorter