Rush Doshi

Rush Doshi

@rushdoshi.bsky.social

Assistant Professor at Georgetown • Director of the CFR China Strategy Initiative • Biden NSC China 2021-2024 • Author of The Long Game

6.1K followers1K following77 posts

This feels like a milestone moment in Trump's China policy. Credible reports say China provided satellite imagery to Iran that cost American lives. Trump doesn’t deny it but brushes it off to save the summit. Meanwhile China says Taiwan arms sales could kill the summit, so the sales stay frozen.

Aaron Rupar@atrupar.com

Trump excuses Xi for helping Iran kill US troops 👇 Q: On the topic of Xi, we recently reported Chinese entities may have provided Iranians w/ satellite imagery of airbases in Jordan-- TRUMP: He's behaved reasonably well. When they say China spies on us, I say, you're right, and we spy on them too.

This is a big deal. Essentially a reversal of the US export control policy on advanced chips. Possibly decisive in the AI race. Compute is our main advantage — China has more power, engineers, and the entire edge layer — so by giving this up we increase the odds the world runs on Chinese AI.

Rush Doshi reposted

China is winning the trade war. The Trump team helped them. Per the @wsj.com, the reason China massively escalated in the last 36 hours is because it believes Trump will fold - just as he did on magnets - without reaching for any US leverage in response.

Rush Doshi reposted

This is a land of wolves now? Wow. I didn’t know that. You’re just now telling me for the first time. The rule of law lived an amazing life. What can you even say?

The TikTok deal is looking like a complete surrender by the Trump team. And it may even be illegal. If true, the US will let Beijing determine what appears on the news feeds of 180 million US TikTok users. Not quite America first. Even advisors to the deal are renouncing it!

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Multiple agencies and authorities that support the U.S. national security enterprise will expire unless Congress acts quickly, putting America's ability to outcompete China at risk, writes @rushdoshi.bsky.social and William Henagan. www.lawfaremedia.org/article/the-...

lawfaremedia.orgThe Clock Is Ticking on Critical Authorities to Compete With ChinaCongress is running out of time to reauthorize foreign and domestic instruments of statecraft critical to protecting American interests.

🚨 Art of the deal in two WSJ stories showing Trump caving on China policy. ➡️ We unilaterally indicate we’ll remove export controls on the H20 so Beijing can dominate AI, and we seemingly ask for nothing in return. ➡️ On the very same day, Beijing slaps export controls on battery technology.

Important story from Nikkei’s Ken Moriyasu that explains, in part, how Trump police pushed Tokyo to skip NATO, pull down a 2+2, and remain silent on Iran. There is no path to allied scale without Japan. But the relationship is at a low-point now. Sharp reversal from the last four years.

Does Joe Rogan have buyer’s remorse? Watch him come out swinging for due process. There’s a creeping sense that the right has overreached among many former Trump supporters.

Dare Obasanjo@carnage4life.bsky.social

Joe Rogan explains to his audience why due process is important and quotes Ben Franklin — "it is better 100 guilty persons should escape than that one innocent person should suffer.” He argues against shipping people to a prison in El Salvador without trial because we think they’re gang members.

Rush Doshi reposted

The NATIONAL SECURITY ADVISER added the EDITOR OF THE ATLANTIC to a PRINCIPALS COMMITTEE TEXT CHAIN set up for the DEFENSE SECRETARY about PLANNED MILITARY STRIKES. Here's a thread of involved parties talking about the need for secure communications (when Dems are involved):

Rush Doshi reposted

The destruction of DOD’s Office Net Assessment will be celebrated in Beijing & Moscow. This little-known but enormously consequential 50 year-old institution actually thought long-term. It helped us win the Cold War, grasped the China challenge early, and figured out revolutions in warfare.

The PRC was obsessed with it for good reason (see below). When I was at the NSC, ONA produced some of the best analysis anywhere in the USG and had enormous and even historic policy impact. No other institution presently can do what it did. Ending it is another unforced error.

“Trust me, bro” is not an argument. Business insiders have used government to make money for literally millennia. Crony capitalism dates back to Ancient Rome. Spare us the moral outrage for being held accountable.

While we threaten the Canadians with tariffs and annexation, they’re standing with us in the Taiwan Strait. There’s no coherent or systematic logic to the Trump administration’s coercion of allies right now. It’s all just vibes. focustaiwan.tw/politics/202...

focustaiwan.twCanadian frigate transits Taiwan Strait - Focus TaiwanA Canadian patrol frigate transited the Taiwan Strait Sunday, the first such instance this year, according to Taiwanese authorities.

“I expect you will eventually find someone who is enough of a fool, or enough of a coward, to file your motion. But it was never going to be me.” Scotten served three combat tours in Iraq as a U.S. Army Special Forces Officer and earned two Bronze Stars. Clerked for Roberts and Kavanaugh.

“No system of ordered liberty can allow the government to use the carrot of dismissing charges, or the stick of threatening to bring them again, to induce an elected official to support its policy objectives.”

Had this to say in Nahal Toosi’s column on Trump China policy. “Trump helped create the bipartisan consensus on outcompeting China, & his staff generally gets it, but many people worry that his policies from trade to TikTok to Taiwan risk making China great again." www.politico.com/news/magazin...

politico.comTrump Is Turning Out To Be a Very Pro-China PresidentFrom tariffs on allies to gutting aid programs to mocking the rule of law, the president’s moves could be a dream come true for the Chinese.

Kash Patel is reportedly (1) on SHEIN’s payroll, (2) appears to have concealed or understated these relationships, (3) *won’t divest while being FBI director* and (4) supports cutting efforts to counter PRC influence.

Rush Doshi@rushdoshi.bsky.social

Disturbing ties between Kash Patel and SHEIN — a PRC company implicated in forced labor in Xinjiang. He has millions in shares and won’t divest. Especially concerning amid reports that DOJ/FBI is going to reduce focus on PRC influence efforts in the US. Full detail below from Roger Sollenberger:

Disturbing ties between Kash Patel and SHEIN — a PRC company implicated in forced labor in Xinjiang. He has millions in shares and won’t divest. Especially concerning amid reports that DOJ/FBI is going to reduce focus on PRC influence efforts in the US. Full detail below from Roger Sollenberger:

TLDR: Patel is reportedly (1) on SHEIN’s payroll, (2) appears to have concealed or understated these relationships, (3) *won’t divest while being FBI director* and (4) supports cutting efforts to counter PRC influence.

The new acting Undersecretary of State for Public Diplomacy — State’s top public diplomacy official: 1) not only denies the Uyghur genocide but appears to applaud it 2) says the US should sell out Taiwan to China for concessions in Antarctica (???)

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Look guys. It’s pretty simple. They said they were China hawks—they just never specified which China.

Rush Doshi@rushdoshi.bsky.social

The new acting Undersecretary of State for Public Diplomacy — State’s top public diplomacy official: 1) not only denies the Uyghur genocide but appears to applaud it 2) says the US should sell out Taiwan to China for concessions in Antarctica (???)

Did they fire the Special Security Officers for doing their jobs? Never heard of anything like this. You can’t simply walk into a SCIF and access a classified system, even if you have clearance!

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Trump's top defense official for Southeast Asia on cutting aid to the Philippines: "The US might begin a cooperation spiral with China by proposing to remove US military forces or weapons systems from the Philippines in exchange for the CCG executing fewer patrols..."

He argues we should cut first, and if China doesn't follow through, we could reverse course. He also opposes tariffs on China, sanctions on China, and suggests reducing the US military presence in Asia to see if China reciprocates. Source: www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

tandfonline.comCan the US and China Forge a Cold Peace?Mainstream assessments of the US–China relationship are undergoing profound changes. Whereas many assessments once suggested that Chinese economic liberalisation and increased bilateral trade would...

Rush Doshi reposted

very curious what Sen. Tom Cotton thinks about this photo

Rush Doshi@rushdoshi.bsky.social

Is that really the CEO of TikTok sitting next to the next Director of National Intelligence — Tulsi Gabbard — at President Trump’s inauguration? Evidently, yes.

It’s more a “don’t trust the guys hacking your critical infrastructure to run your social media, bro” kind of thing

Aly@alyjank.bsky.social

Do you have any proof on this or is it a "trust me bro" scenario?