Robb Smith

Robb Smith

@robbsmithideas.bsky.social

Over 30 years working with nonprofits and unions; political consultant; voting rights lawyer; author of the Margin of Error blog, a newsletter for progressives on polling, campaigns, public participation, and election law: https://moeblog.substack.com/

125 followers152 following401 posts

There’s going to be a lot of MAGAts turning each other in soon.

Aaron Rupar@atrupar.com

Trump: "Anybody reporting Voter Fraud in the past Elections, or the upcoming 2026 Midterm Election, will be paid $1,000,000 upon the arrest and conviction of those that created the Fraud! Thank you for your attention to this matter. President DONALD J. TRUMP"

You’re going to hear a lot of fascists complain about how close the Brazilian presidential runoff was yesterday, as if being close is a reason to hold a new election. Well, this is how close it was: Lula won by a margin twice as big as Trump won in 2024.

If it were a straight up FPTP race, Peltola would almost certainly win. The only chance Sullivan has is by winning more second place votes than his opponent does.

Rick Hasen@rickhasen.bsky.social

Donald Trump does not understand that ranked choice voting is much more likely to save Senator Dan Sullivan than to hurt him.

Robb Smith reposted

Replying to @atrupar.com

"While oil prices are temporarily high..." The same people who whined about gas prices while Biden was president. bsky.app/profile/215p...

215 Pounds on the Moon, in 1/6 Gravity, Maybe.@215poundsonthemoon.bsky.social

Gas prices were over $4 for 24 weeks when Biden was president. MAGA bitched nonstop. Gas prices have been over $4 for 26 weeks under Trump this year. I haven't heard a single complaint from MAGA. Biden Trump

After one week of early voting, Democrats are outperforming Republicans compared to turnout at the same point in 2024 everywhere. Source is cut off on the graphic: it's TargetSmart.

Assuming the court allows the depo, the next step in this lawsuit will likely be Trump dismissing it. If you go to the link, you might be confused by the motion - both parties are filing a joint motion for a hearing on the matter. The excerpted part below is from "Defendant's Position" on pp 3-5.

Adam Klasfeld@klasfeldreports.com

BREAKING The BBC subpoenaed Jack Smith for a deposition to defend itself against Trump's defamation lawsuit. Smith didn't object to the subpoena. Team Trump opposes. buff.ly/cf6GaG2

Elon Musk doesn't want to pay taxes, and he has spent a quarter of a billion dollars on Republican candidates and PACs since July to make sure he doesn't have to. Vote Yes on 40 - Billionaires have too much money and they only want more and more while kids go to sleep hungry

This is a damning response to Collins. She voted five times in favor of a war she says was wrong all along. Not that anything changed. Not that she has come to see it differently and she was wrong. She wants credit for being against now that its unpopularity impacts her reelection.

Aaron Rupar@atrupar.com

Troy Jackson on the Iran War: "Sen. Collins voted for it 5 times before she started voting against it. By that time, we're already into it and we're in another forever war that you just heard her say, it's not thought out, we don't know what we're doing, but she made sure that it happened."

Is any organization out there working on observing the US November election to document government interference and crimes? In light of the US govt barring OSCE from doing so, I hope someone has already stepped up. I often do voter protection work, but not this kind of work so I don't know.

In the space of 5 minutes, Sen Eric Schmitt (R-MO) went from potential vice presidential candidate to laughingstock and meme. This is how important is to operate in good faith, fact check, and know what you are talking about.

If there is not a woman on the Democratic ticket in 2028 I am not supporting it. Better yet, it should be two women. Every SCOTUS vacancy from here til eternity should be filled by a woman. Men have fucked everything up. We have no business running an apple cart, let alone a country.

Eric Schmitt is a dirtbag.

Aaron Rupar@atrupar.com

this gaffe should follow Eric Schmitt around for the rest of his political life (Jack Smith was actually in Maryland at a HAWKEYES game, not in Atlanta colluding with Fani Willis as Schmitt alleged) (Win McNamee/Getty)

If you live in Missouri, call your Senator & raise hell abt today’s absolute waste of time and money. Sen Eric Schmitt incompetently & slanderously accused Jack Smith of perjury bc he was too stupid to understand the diff btw “Hawks” and “Hawkeyes.” If this were SNL it would be funny. But it’s not.

It's arriving a little late this year, but Republicans have discovered this election's migrant caravan on its way to the border. Just in time, because nothing else is working. It's a Festivus miracle!

This is the kind of world we could live in. Vote accordingly!

Acyn@acyn.bsky.social

Child: This is my first time meeting a mayor. Mamdani: Wow, have you ever met a prime minister? Child: No Norway PM Jonas Gahr Støre: *walks over*

Check your voter registration at IWillVote.com! We have been hearing about states (like Texas) taking voters off the rolls. Make sure you are registered before your state's deadline, and assume it's been changed to tomorrow. There is no reason to hesitate; your right to vote is on the line.

Is it just me or does it sound and feel like Trump is planning to burn everything down because he is not getting his way? He famously TACOs but I am really worried about what he is planning to do in Iran and perhaps Yemen.

It sounds worse than demolishing the Kennedy Center. You would think an 80 year old man would understand that he can't just knock the blocks over when it's bedtime. If only we had a functioning and responsible Congress.

Robb Smith reposted

Sending ICE Agents to intimidate voters at polling places, declaring martial law to try to delay or cancel the election, seizing ballots-As he gets more desperate, there's nothing he won't do to try to save his pathetic orange ass. ALL states should preemptively prepare to defend Democracy! 🇺🇸 ✊

Robb Smith reposted

Ossoff: "We understand the president may be threatening to declare sitting senators illegitimate. If that's the course of action he pursues, he's calling GA voters illegitimate...he was humiliated as a committed lifelong racist that it was Black voters in Georgia who were instrumental in his defeat"

Robb Smith reposted

no one wants to consider my insane pitch which is to eliminate timezones across the planet so we’re all on the exact same time and force everyone to change their conception of what a day is

Robb Smith reposted

This morning in Biddeford, Maine, a 26-year-old man said goodbye to his wife and daughter and left for work. Moments later he was dead, shot in the head by ICE agents, the second man ICE has killed in six days. ICE is killing our neighbors. ICE cannot be reformed. Abolish ICE.

Robb Smith reposted

BREAKING: Federal judge finds that Trump's IRS suit was improper because Trump controlled both sides of the litigation. Judge Kathleen Williams also sanctions Trump's lawyers, issues monetary sanctions, and harshly criticizes DOJ's "untenable" conduct. More to come at Law Dork: www.lawdork.com

Robb Smith reposted

I’m not going to hail Barrett and Roberts for allowing us to count our votes. It’s a huge win for democracy, but it shouldn’t have even been a question. That we were one vote away from disenfranchising votes is all the more reason to expand the court in 2029.

In a sea of dumb conspiracy theories, this is the dumbest. Trump was president in 2020. He lost that election broadly across the country. How did the Democrats steal it? Republicans running Georgia stole it for Biden? It's utter nonsense. And that's before you realize there is zero evidence.

Aaron Rupar@atrupar.com

Enten: "There's no proof, but now 63% of Republicans believe that the 2020 election was stolen"

Remember when GOPers would disingenuously complain that Dems took Black and brown voters for granted? Well, Carville is admitting they were right after all. He is all for Black and brown voters - as long as they do what he tells them to do. When they vote DSA, they are no longer in the party.

I am hearing that centrist Democrats are threatening a "counteroffensive" against "Mamdani socialists" soon. I suppose harshly-worded letters are only for fascists. It appears that the only way to get centrists to do anything is to defeat them at the ballot box from the left.