Reeve Fibberd

Political commentary, claims explored, excuses and lies laid bare. From the file: • Matt Goodwin’s 2063 date runs on an assumption that halved last year. The date never moved. • Restore Britain promises a mass review of citizenships. • 81% in England say anyone can be English. https://fibberd.com

Who pays for Reform UK’s polling? Aide James Orr, filmed by Channel 4, 4 September: “This guy paid a pollster to run a poll that went to the national newspapers. That’s it.” Nigel Farage, same day: “it wasn’t commissioned by Reform.” https://fibberd.com/b/reform-has-a-kettle-problem #UKPolitics

Nigel Farage on LBC, 4 September, after the Channel 4 donor film: “Whilst the poll benefited Reform, it wasn’t commissioned by Reform. […] Polls are funded by overseas people every single week.” Not a new line for Reform UK. https://fibberd.com/b/reform-has-a-kettle-problem #UKPolitics

Reform UK’s Laila Cunningham, 4 September, on the Channel 4 donor film: “there is an investigation, so I can’t really comment on it. […] It’s pretty traceable.” Nigel Farage, same day: “The party has taken no money.” https://fibberd.com/b/reform-has-a-kettle-problem #UKPolitics

Rupert Lowe: "It is projected White Britons will become a minority by 2063." The projection is from former Reform UK candidate Matt Goodwin. The 2063 paper was not peer reviewed. https://fibberd.com/b/a-date-built-on-sand #UKPolitics

Reform UK at 20% with Find Out Now, its lowest. In September two Reform aides were filmed arranging £32,500 of polling, paid through the reporters’ US company. Farage: “Polls are funded by overseas people every single week.” https://fibberd.com/b/reform-has-a-kettle-problem #UKPolitics

Before anyone at BACPAC takes Restore Britain seriously, its leader Rupert Lowe on 3 April: "ILR must be revoked retrospectively if required." Indefinite leave to remain is settled status, lawfully granted. https://fibberd.com/b/crimes-against-our-people #UKPolitics

Reform UK’s Richard Tice, 4 September, on the Channel 4 donor film: “Let’s wait and see what the investigation says.” Same answer: “We’ve got a KC’s opinion that makes clear no rules have been broken.” Verdict first, inquiry later. https://fibberd.com/b/reform-has-a-kettle-problem #UKPolitics

Declaring things has been a theme. When Channel 4 filmed two aides arranging £32,500 of polling paid through the reporters' US company, Reform UK's answer was: "We did not commission the poll. We did not have to declare it." https://fibberd.com/b/reform-has-a-kettle-problem #UKPolitics

Restore Britain's own paper keeps "British" for every citizen, then uses a second word, "Britons", for the White British alone. Rupert Lowe's party put the two tiers in writing. https://fibberd.com/b/british-but-not-britons #UKPolitics #AntiExtremistResearch

Former Reform UK candidate Matt Goodwin's report has three dates for three different things: 2063 for white British people, 2079 for the foreign-born and their children, 2100 for the projected Muslim share. Online they merge into one scare. https://fibberd.com/b/a-date-built-on-sand #UKPolitics

Dan Jukes, the aide quoted here, has been on tape before. Channel 4 caught him and James Orr in September arranging £32,500 of Reform UK polling, to be paid through the reporters' US company. Reform denies wrongdoing. https://fibberd.com/b/reform-has-a-kettle-problem #UKPolitics

Lowe's own paper already answers Nick Robinson's question. It keeps "British" for every citizen, then brings in a second word, Britons, and defines it as the White British. One passport, two tiers. https://fibberd.com/b/british-but-not-britons #UKPolitics

Rupert Lowe: "a Restore Britain government will reverse the Islamification of Britain". The 2021 Census counted 3.9 million Muslims in England and Wales, most of them citizens. Reverse it how? Not said. https://fibberd.com/b/british-but-not-britons #UKPolitics #AntiExtremistResearch

Getting the story straight is the hard part. Freud's borrower says he never had the kettle, the hole was already there, and it was fine when returned. Reform UK did the same over the Channel 4 film. https://fibberd.com/b/reform-has-a-kettle-problem #UKPolitics

Second time on tape for Dan Jukes. In September Channel 4 filmed him and James Orr arranging £32,500 of polling for Reform UK, paid through the reporters' US company. No money changed hands; Reform denies wrongdoing. https://fibberd.com/b/reform-has-a-kettle-problem #UKPolitics

In 1918 Britain's first denaturalisation law put every Home Office order before an independent committee of judges. Restore Britain's mass review of citizenships adds "crimes against our people". Found guilty by whom? Not said. https://fibberd.com/b/crimes-against-our-people #UKPolitics

The aide on tape is Dan Jukes. After Channel 4 filmed Reform UK in September, the party said of Jukes and James Orr: "they've gone, they've left the building" and "They won't be coming back." https://fibberd.com/b/reform-has-a-kettle-problem #UKPolitics

Nigel Farage's £5m: security for life, then a reward for Brexit, now "not the line to take from the press office". Reform UK did this over the Channel 4 film too. Each defence works on its own. Together they sink him. https://fibberd.com/b/reform-has-a-kettle-problem #UKPolitics

Former Reform UK candidate Matt Goodwin's 2063 projection assumes 13% of net migrants are White Other. Georgina Sturge, formerly of the Commons Library, went looking for the census figure behind the 13 per cent. She could not reproduce it. https://fibberd.com/b/a-date-built-on-sand #UKPolitics

Last time Reform UK was filmed undercover (Channel 4, September) the answers ran from "a hoax" to "The party has done nothing wrong", with two aides gone within days. Every answer, in their own words: https://fibberd.com/b/reform-has-a-kettle-problem #UKPolitics

Restore Britain says citizenship is now "an almost automatic administrative conclusion". It takes five years' residence, a character check, an English test, the Life in the UK test, a fee and a Home Office decision. Not automatic. https://fibberd.com/b/british-but-not-britons #UKPolitics

Reform UK, answering the Channel 4 film: "The party has done nothing wrong." A few lines on: "Entrapped conversations don't look good, and that's why we've taken the action we have." Nothing wrong. Two aides gone. https://fibberd.com/b/reform-has-a-kettle-problem #UKPolitics

Connor Tomlinson tonight: “All it requires is a plan and the political will.” 25 September: “I have the humility to admit the logistics of such a widespread task currently escape my imagination.” https://fibberd.com/b/crimes-against-our-people #UKPolitics

Former Reform UK candidate Matt Goodwin's 2063 date was built at the peak of migration. The central input has halved since, and the date has not moved. https://fibberd.com/b/a-date-built-on-sand #UKPolitics

Rupert Lowe's Restore Britain: grounds for stripping citizenship went from "fraud or deception" to "fraud, deception and crimes against our people" in a month. No definition of that crime, and no word on whether a court proves it. https://fibberd.com/b/crimes-against-our-people #UKPolitics

Restore Britain's Harrison Pitt: "Administrative 'Brits' […] who have been wrongly made citizens and pose a plausible threat to us should be denaturalised and deported." A plausible threat is not a conviction. https://fibberd.com/b/crimes-against-our-people #UKPolitics

Former Reform UK candidate Matt Goodwin's report has three dates: 2063 (white British), 2079 (foreign-born and their children), 2100 (Muslim share). Posts sharing it add 2060, 2045 and 2030. Those belong to nobody at all. https://fibberd.com/b/a-date-built-on-sand #UKPolitics

Rupert Lowe today: acknowledging the historic English "does not mean denying that others can develop a genuine attachment and belonging". Restore's own paper: many passport holders "are not part of our nation in any real sense". https://fibberd.com/b/british-but-not-britons #UKPolitics

Laila Cunningham for Reform UK on LBC, 5 September, after Channel 4’s film: “The people who are responsible for what people saw in the documentary are no longer with the party. Nigel dealt with that very quickly.” https://fibberd.com/b/reform-has-a-kettle-problem #UKPolitics

On Reform UK’s vetting: six weeks ago, after Channel 4’s film, Robert Jenrick told Sky News Reform UK’s checks were done “to a high standard in our party.” https://fibberd.com/b/reform-has-a-kettle-problem #UKPolitics

Restore Britain’s paper, p2: “I reject the proposition that Britishness is exclusively racial.” P4: Britons means the White British. Then citizens of other ancestry are “not Britons”, “simply an established fact.” https://fibberd.com/b/british-but-not-britons #UKPolitics #AntiExtremistResearch

Last time Reform UK was filmed undercover, Nigel Farage’s line was vetting: “nobody, nobody should be brought to me, unless they’ve been vetted.” Now it is ITV’s turn. https://fibberd.com/b/reform-has-a-kettle-problem #UKPolitics

Robert Jenrick, now of Reform UK, on Sky News on 5 September, after Channel 4 filmed two Reform UK aides: “we in Reform, like other parties, have got people who do that for us and they do it to a high standard in our party.” https://fibberd.com/b/reform-has-a-kettle-problem #UKPolitics

Nigel Farage on the last undercover film of Reform UK, 4 September: “I’m aware that our people were pushed and pushed and pushed into saying these things.” Now ITV has filmed Reform UK councillors and candidates. Same answer? https://fibberd.com/b/reform-has-a-kettle-problem #UKPolitics

Last time Reform UK didn’t wait for its own inquiry. Lee Anderson to ITV, 4 September, on the two aides in Channel 4’s film: “They’ve stepped down from their roles, that’s the right thing to do. […] They won’t be coming back.” https://fibberd.com/b/reform-has-a-kettle-problem #UKPolitics

Last time it was Channel 4. Reform UK’s Laila Cunningham on LBC, 5 September: “The people who are responsible for what people saw in the documentary are no longer with the party. Nigel dealt with that very quickly.” https://fibberd.com/b/reform-has-a-kettle-problem #UKPolitics

The Telegraph’s chart of former Reform UK candidate Matt Goodwin’s 2063 projection, captioned in small print: “Other white” category not shown. That is the group that would change the answer. It was left off the picture. https://fibberd.com/b/a-date-built-on-sand #UKPolitics

ITV’s film is not Reform UK’s first. After Channel 4 filmed two of its aides in September, Reform UK said it was a hoax, a set-up, a matter for a full inquiry, and that the aides had gone. Every answer, in its own words: https://fibberd.com/b/reform-has-a-kettle-problem #UKPolitics

ITV has now filmed Reform UK councillors and candidates. When Channel 4 did it in September, Reform UK’s first statement called it “a hoax perpetuated by foreign-funded, climate change activists posing as would-be party donors.” https://fibberd.com/b/reform-has-a-kettle-problem #UKPolitics

Restore Britain’s Harrison Pitt, the morning its citizenship paper launched: “we cannot afford to regard ‘denaturalisation’ as a dirty word any longer.” Same post, on public resources: “not all citizens are identical.” https://fibberd.com/b/crimes-against-our-people #UKPolitics

Restore Britain’s paper, on a British-born parent test: “There is a vital difference between equal treatment and identical treatment.” Like pensions, it says. You reach pension age by waiting. Nobody’s parent changes birthplace. https://fibberd.com/b/british-but-not-britons #UKPolitics

An inquiry into two aides who, by Reform UK’s own account, were already gone before it started. Every Reform answer to the Channel 4 film, 3 to 6 September, in their own words, with a source under each. https://fibberd.com/b/reform-has-a-kettle-problem #UKPolitics

Before Reform UK’s inquiry into the two aides had even begun, Lee Anderson to ITV, 4 September: “Dan Jukes and James Orr, they’ve gone […] They won’t be coming back.” The verdict on the aides came first. The inquiry came after. https://fibberd.com/b/reform-has-a-kettle-problem #UKPolitics

Robert Jenrick on LBC, 5 September, on Nigel Farage and the would-be Reform UK donors in the Channel 4 film: “He didn’t know what was going on.” Farage himself: “I said, is this all above board? Is this all legal?” Which one? https://fibberd.com/b/reform-has-a-kettle-problem #UKPolitics

Matt Goodwin’s 2063 report counts one box on a census form, “white British”, and assumes no British family ever comes home from Dubai, Sydney or Spain for a hundred years. Worth remembering whenever he talks about who counts. https://fibberd.com/b/a-date-built-on-sand #UKPolitics

Falling in the polls, and still not saying who counts as English. Half of Reform UK’s voters say you need English family heritage. Its equalities spokesman says Englishness is an ethnicity. Farage won’t draw ethnic lines, just invasion ones. https://fibberd.com/b/who-gets-to-be-english #UKPolitics

GB News asked Reform UK’s Richard Tice: “By 2063 Britain will be minority white-British, is that a concern?” “It’s a long way off… I’ll be long gone.” By February it went round as “Our people will become a minority”. Not what he was asked. https://fibberd.com/b/a-date-built-on-sand #UKPolitics

Farage on LBC, 4 September, asked about the £32,500 poll in the Channel 4 film on Reform UK: “Polls are funded by overseas people every single week. Every single week.” Worth keeping beside any story about who is behind a poll. https://fibberd.com/b/reform-has-a-kettle-problem #UKPolitics

Richard Tice for Reform UK on BBC Radio 4 Today, 4 September, the morning this inquiry was announced: “Let’s wait and see what the investigation says. […] We’ve got a KC’s opinion that makes clear no rules have been broken.” https://fibberd.com/b/reform-has-a-kettle-problem #UKPolitics

Restore Britain’s paper says citizenship is revoked for “fraud or deception”. Its party account, on one man: “revoke his British citizenship and send him home. Him, and the tens of thousands of extremists just like him.” Found how? https://fibberd.com/b/crimes-against-our-people #UKPolitics