Polymarket (@polymarket.com)

Polymarket

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The World's Largest Prediction Market. Trade politics, news, crypto, culture, sports, tech, & more. Website: https://polymarket.com

264 followers 113 following2.3K posts

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30m

BREAKING: Trump administration plans to grant U.S. visas to defeated Flávio Bolsonaro & his family after he fled Brazil. — Bloomberg

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46m

JUST IN: Trump declares he will respect the results of next week's midterm elections only if they are “honest elections.”

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41m

66% chance Democrats take both the House & Senate at midterms. https://poly.market/IGUspsq

poly.marketBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms$39,907,718 has traded on "Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms" as of October 27, 2026. View real-time odds or trade on The World’s Largest Prediction Market™

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56m

JUST IN: King Charles begins a 9-day Caribbean tour acknowledging Britain's colonial legacy and the "suffering of the past."

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JUST IN: France's Socialist Party proposes granting legal status to up to 400,000 undocumented immigrants, with a parliamentary vote scheduled for Nov. 19.

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French presidential election forecast: https://poly.market/Hk5o2Yq

poly.marketNext French Presidential Election$157,935,097 has traded on "Next French Presidential Election" as of October 27, 2026. View real-time odds or trade on The World’s Largest Prediction Market™...

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BREAKING: Netanyahu's request to extend voting hours is officially rejected by Israeli election commission. https://twitter.com/Polymarket/status/2115115684057272484

twitter.comPolymarket (@Polymarket) on XBREAKING: Netanyahu's Likud party requests an extension of voting hours in Israel's election amid record high voter turnout.

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24% chance Netanyahu remains in power after the election. https://poly.market/7yD3p3B

poly.marketPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?$63,177,708 has traded on "Prime Minister of Israel after the..." as of October 27, 2026. View real-time odds or trade on The World’s Largest Prediction Mark...

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JUST IN: EU climate chief warns Europe must prepare for a world 5.4°F warmer by 2100.

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88% chance 2026 is the hottest year on record. https://poly.market/gfaW4oG

poly.marketWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?$3,820,815 has traded on "Where will 2026 rank among the hott..." as of October 27, 2026. View real-time odds or trade on The World’s Largest Prediction Mark...

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BREAKING: James Talarico surges in odds of winning the Texas Senate race as Trump rallies for Ken Paxton in the state, one week from Election Day. 65% chance. 🔗 https://polymarket.com/r/Texas2026

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Follow the Texas Senate race live: https://polymarket.com/r/Texas2026

polymarket.comTexas Senate Election WinnerLive odds and predictions for Texas Senate Election Winner on a federally regulated prediction market in the United States.

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BREAKING: Flávio Bolsonaro has reportedly fled the country and is heading to the United States after losing Sunday's election to Lula.

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33% chance Bolsonaro is charged or arrested by the end of the month. https://poly.market/1YiTZ3T

poly.marketFlávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?$15,633 has traded on "Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested b..." as of October 27, 2026. View real-time odds or trade on The World’s Largest Prediction Mark...

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JUST IN: JD Vance calls Abdul El-Sayed "a little bit of a psychopath."

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69% chance El-Sayed wins the Michigan Senate race. https://poly.market/jICPJQb

poly.marketMichigan Senate Election Winner$2,810,178 has traded on "Michigan Senate Election Winner" as of October 27, 2026. View real-time odds or trade on The World’s Largest Prediction Market™

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JUST IN: Trump claims James Talarico will "get rid of the meat" in Texas if elected.

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68% chance Talarico flips Texas blue. https://poly.market/6RNfrXR

poly.marketTexas Senate Election Winner$6,867,998 has traded on "Texas Senate Election Winner" as of October 27, 2026. View real-time odds or trade on The World’s Largest Prediction Market™

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JUST IN: Silicon Valley billionaires raise over $333 million to fight California's 5% billionaire wealth tax, reportedly organizing weekly strategy calls to defeat the ballot measure.

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24% chance the billionaire tax passes. https://poly.market/JVys9b2

poly.marketBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?$4,237,477 has traded on "Billionaire one-time wealth tax pas..." as of October 27, 2026. View real-time odds or trade on The World’s Largest Prediction Mark...

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BREAKING: Brazil launches investigation into Flávio Bolsonaro following his election loss to Lula.

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BREAKING: Centrist former IDF chief Gadi Eisenkot soars in odds of becoming Israel's next prime minister as Israelis head to the polls. 64% chance he ousts Netanyahu. 🔗 https://polymarket.com/r/IsraelElection

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Follow the live odds: https://poly.market/j6E0dQ3

poly.marketPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?$60,260,801 has traded on "Prime Minister of Israel after the..." as of October 27, 2026. View real-time odds or trade on The World’s Largest Prediction Mark...

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JUST IN: Vibecoder builds interactive map revealing which NYC restaurants & cafes are owned by private equity firms.

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JUST IN: The Netherlands announces it will boycott Eurovision for the second consecutive year over Israel's inclusion in the competition.

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84% chance Israel participates in Eurovision 2027. https://poly.market/MemgRRz

poly.marketEurovision 2027 Participants$54,403 has traded on "Eurovision 2027 Participants" as of October 27, 2026. View real-time odds or trade on The World’s Largest Prediction Market™

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15h

JUST IN: Russia ramps up recruitment of African fighters for its war in Ukraine, reportedly targeting poorer nations with promises of jobs & high salaries.

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20h

JUST IN: Federal judge blocks Trump's plans to overhaul a Washington, D.C., public golf course into a “championship-level facility.”

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20h

BREAKING: Brazil's Supreme Court orders defeated presidential candidate Flávio Bolsonaro to surrender his passport.

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20h

12% chance Bolsonaro is criminally charged or arrested by end of year. https://poly.market/eoUce6Q

poly.marketFlávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?$12,812 has traded on "Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested b..." as of October 27, 2026. View real-time odds or trade on The World’s Largest Prediction Mark...

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21h

BREAKING: Flávio Bolsonaro abandons efforts to overturn Brazil's election results, announcing plans to sue President Lula for alleged abuse of power instead.

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22h

JUST IN: Vivek Ramaswamy's former 8th-grade teacher protests against his campaign for Ohio governor.

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22h

17% chance Ramaswamy becomes Governor of Ohio. https://poly.market/pDU19WR

poly.marketOhio Governor Election Winner$1,019,624 has traded on "Ohio Governor Election Winner" as of October 26, 2026. View real-time odds or trade on The World’s Largest Prediction Market™

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23h

BREAKING: Trump’s DOJ to deploy federal election monitors to polling places across 4 Pennsylvania counties during the November 3 midterms.

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23h

JUST IN: Georgia Democratic governor candidate Keisha Lance Bottoms calls for a statewide pause on new data center construction.

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23h

63% chance she wins the Georgia governor race. https://poly.market/KrQUfxo

poly.marketGeorgia Governor Election Winner$270,537 has traded on "Georgia Governor Election Winner" as of October 26, 2026. View real-time odds or trade on The World’s Largest Prediction Market™

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JUST IN: Bernie Sanders declares Norway is “one of the most prosperous countries on Earth.”

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JUST IN: Trump declares Michele Tafoya can only lose Minnesota's Senate race "if they cheat.”

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14% chance Tafoya wins the Minnesota Senate race. https://poly.market/ZHitNgT

poly.marketMinnesota Senate Election Winner$448,825 has traded on "Minnesota Senate Election Winner" as of October 26, 2026. View real-time odds or trade on The World’s Largest Prediction Market™

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JUST IN: President Trump declares Brazil's presidential election looked like "another rigged election."

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BREAKING: COVID-conscious Western Massachusetts lesbian bar, Last Ditch, announces it is shutting down effective immediately.

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BREAKING: Netanyahu crashes to all-time low in odds to remain Prime Minister of Israel after tomorrow's election, as centrist former IDF chief Eisenkot surges. 27% chance. 🔗 https://polymarket.com/r/Netanyahu26

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Follow Israel's election live: https://poly.market/k4NV7iw

poly.marketPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?$55,327,659 has traded on "Prime Minister of Israel after the..." as of October 26, 2026. View real-time odds or trade on The World’s Largest Prediction Mark...

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BREAKING: Average U.S. gas prices under Trump have officially surpassed the Biden-era average.

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66% chance Democrats sweep the midterms. https://poly.market/Ii5a2sG

poly.marketBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms$37,984,005 has traded on "Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms" as of October 26, 2026. View real-time odds or trade on The World’s Largest Prediction Market™

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JUST IN: NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani releases video reminding New Yorkers that "you don't need to bring anything with you" to vote at the polls.

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5% chance the SAVE America Act becomes law. https://poly.market/t7n7Mlt

poly.marketSAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?$581,032 has traded on "SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, ..." as of October 26, 2026. View real-time odds or trade on The World’s Largest Prediction Mark...

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JUST IN: Anthropic devotes 94 pages of its IPO filing to existential risks posed by AI, including catastrophic incidents, self-preserving behavior, & models threatening blackmail.

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BREAKING: AI cybersecurity startup founded by ex-DOGE staffers breaches Anthropic's internal systems in under 12 hours using AI agents, accessing sensitive employee data & Slack messages.

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7% chance Anthropic pauses AI training this year. https://poly.market/6AWzGjR

poly.marketWhich AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?$20,872 has traded on "Which AI labs announce a training paus..." as of October 26, 2026. View real-time odds or trade on The World’s Largest Prediction Mark...