Olga Onuch

This our new study first ever national representative study of PTSD CPTSD in the Ukrainian population. www.manchester.ac.uk/about/news/n...

! While some jurnos are reporting Zelensky in 4th place in KIIS’s trust ratings -this is not new or news- that’s where he was! Real story? - Zaluzhnyi’s trust rating seems to have fallen from 73-66% - Budanov’s 70-61% Has Fedorov’s campaign hurt establishment Military figures?

Apologies if these images and figures confused folks. I would love to be able to edit typos. Here is a run down of what the images cover Tables 2-5 in first image and graph 5 third image are from the most recent July 16-30 survey linked in this thread kiis.com.ua?lang=eng&cat...

! While some jurnos are reporting Zelensky in 4th place in KIIS’s trust ratings -this is not new or news- that’s where he was! Real story? - Zaluzhnyi’s trust rating seems to have fallen from 73-66% - Budanov’s 70-61% Has Fedorov’s campaign hurt establishment Military figures?

Here is the full data report. According to KIIS, Zelensky was also in 4th place in June (before the personnel crisis). His trust rating is in some ways shockingly stable 61 to 58%. Margin of error in July = 3.5% June www.kiis.com.ua?lang=eng&cat... July www.kiis.com.ua?lang=eng&cat...

! While some jurnos are reporting Zelensky in 4th place in KIIS’s trust ratings -this is not new or news- that’s where he was! Real story? - Zaluzhnyi’s trust rating seems to have fallen from 73-66% - Budanov’s 70-61% Has Fedorov’s campaign hurt establishment Military figures?

This is important because Fedorov’s tactic of placing himself in direct conflict of establishment or “old school” or “Soviet trained” Syrskyi he actually may have (unitedly?) affected universal perceptions of Military leaders or diplomats/leaders coming from military leadership.

! While some jurnos are reporting Zelensky in 4th place in KIIS’s trust ratings -this is not new or news- that’s where he was! Real story? - Zaluzhnyi’s trust rating seems to have fallen from 73-66% - Budanov’s 70-61% Has Fedorov’s campaign hurt establishment Military figures?

The framing used (more by Fedorov’s proxies) placed key establishment military as in conflict with civilian + democratic decision making + governing (a first at such scale since 2022). Personnel change was framed as military figure pressure to remove reforming civilian leader.

! While some jurnos are reporting Zelensky in 4th place in KIIS’s trust ratings -this is not new or news- that’s where he was! Real story? - Zaluzhnyi’s trust rating seems to have fallen from 73-66% - Budanov’s 70-61% Has Fedorov’s campaign hurt establishment Military figures?

I personally don’t use trust metrics (there are citizens who distrust yet approve of presidents & trust but don’t approve…I know 🤔) but in the absence of a new approval rating in Ukraine (ours coming in August) KIIS find that yes, trust in Zelenskyy declined in July but has not reached post 2022 low

An ability to caution about real decline in trust, whilst placing it into perspective. Providing analysis of specific constituencies who are understandably(!) discontented & highlight scandals whilst noting that average citizens don’t reflect on them in same way as activists.

I personally don’t use trust metrics (there are citizens who distrust yet approve of presidents & trust but don’t approve…I know 🤔) but in the absence of a new approval rating in Ukraine (ours coming in August) KIIS find that yes, trust in Zelenskyy declined in July but has not reached post 2022 low

This is a perfect example of careful and considered analysis. Please note that they provide not only a careful analysis of the data with a longitudinal comparison and not simply and one snapshot take. But they are also… kiis.com.ua?lang=eng&cat...

I personally don’t use trust metrics (there are citizens who distrust yet approve of presidents & trust but don’t approve…I know 🤔) but in the absence of a new approval rating in Ukraine (ours coming in August) KIIS find that yes, trust in Zelenskyy declined in July but has not reached post 2022 low

This is not to say that replacement of Fedorov (after power struggle with Sirskyy) - was right or wrong. But suggesting that choice was made entirely because of a rapid rise of Fedorov in polls does not add up. As of July 2026 he is polling at 3/4% with no significant rise.

As always I would not the be social scientist I am if I didn't warn that voter preferences/intentions can change very rapidly - especially in an actually electoral campaign context. Here are reminders of the 2014 and 2019 election campaigns against results 2019 "The dark horse"

This is not to say that replacement of Fedorov (after power struggle with Sirskyy) - was right or wrong. But suggesting that choice was made entirely because of a rapid rise of Fedorov in polls does not add up. As of July 2026 he is polling at 3/4% with no significant rise.

Here is a comparison using the same survey providers for data covering the whole of the last 12 months.

Very proud that UoM ranks 1st in the world for THE Sustainability Impact Ratings. We are one of few elite global universities (40th - QS 2027) consistently rank in the top 10 in both in "THE Impact Rankings" & "QS World Sustainability Rankings."

On a personal note - UoM regularly supports & encourages my own impact in relation to our research on Ukraine & democracy in wartime - thank you!

Very proud that UoM ranks 1st in the world for THE Sustainability Impact Ratings. We are one of few elite global universities (40th - QS 2027) consistently rank in the top 10 in both in "THE Impact Rankings" & "QS World Sustainability Rankings."

& just like that, in the midst of a serious diplomatic misstep by Nawrocki, Zelensky returns the Order not by diplomatic pouch but by Nowa Poshta … just like millions of ordinary Ukrainians. Proving that although he is tired, imperfect, and makes mistakes, in many ways he is still just one of them.