Josh Marshall

Josh Marshall

@joshtpm.bsky.social

Founder & reigning monarch at TPM. Lapsed historian. Hand tool woodworker. Jew.

267K followers388 following21.5K posts

Josh Marshall reposted

Josh Marshall
@joshtpm.bsky.social

After all the drama abt this “new ad” Cenk Uyghur’s group was dropping in Michigan and how it was tied to Netanyahu starting Iran War … he just grabbed & tried to get more mileage from an ad he made for his failed 2024 prez run when he was blaming egg prices on Israel. See the date of the tweet.

Josh Marshall reposted

Amanda Marcotte
@amandamarcotte.bsky.social

Replying to @amandamarcotte.bsky.social

This report has a lot more information than that one less-than-credible accusations against Trump. If people read (I know, it's an impossible ask), you'll see there are three more I would deem extremely well-evidenced and credible.

Josh Marshall reposted

Amanda Marcotte
@amandamarcotte.bsky.social

Replying to @amandamarcotte.bsky.social

This report is genuinely overwhelming, in terms of the evidence both against Trump and of a ham-fisted cover-up. Including one instance in which Ghislaine Maxwell was actually about to mention one of Trump's young accusers and Todd Blanche told her to stop talking. The media response is "yawn."

Josh Marshall
@joshtpm.bsky.social

After all the drama abt this “new ad” Cenk Uyghur’s group was dropping in Michigan and how it was tied to Netanyahu starting Iran War … he just grabbed & tried to get more mileage from an ad he made for his failed 2024 prez run when he was blaming egg prices on Israel. See the date of the tweet.

Josh Marshall
@joshtpm.bsky.social

If this happens it could actually be a twofer: 1) help her win and help the normie wing of DSA and 2) further discredit the freak show national DSA.

Josh Marshall reposted

Steven T. Dennis
@steventdennis.bsky.social

For the fabulously wealthy, paying taxes is pretty much optional. They can borrow against their vast wealth, which is mostly an untaxed capital gain, without paying taxes. When they die, the capital gain goes to zero. And loopholes exist to bypass the estate tax too.

Jen Taub@jentaub.bsky.social

“Billionaires who popularized stock-based lending include Larry Ellison and Elon Musk. Both borrow to avoid having to sell shares—which could trigger a taxes and dilute their voting rights—in companies they founded.” www.wsj.com/finance/the-...

wsj.comThe ‘Buy, Borrow and Die’ Wealth Strategy Has Become a $5 Trillion MarketA Deloitte study found a booming market in stock-based loans to billionaires—and the lesser rich.
Josh Marshall
@joshtpm.bsky.social

Since I’ve engaged in a few exchanges about this. Let me say a few things about this. First of all this genuinely happens a lot. And it goes back decades. Another commenter reminded of a case back in 2004. I think there’s a key dynamic involved.

Josh Marshall@joshtpm.bsky.social

I dont know if it's because they love republicans and want them to win but holy crap is this an embarrassment. the equivalent of reckless disregard in terms of journalism fuck ups. Just the simplest damn googling.

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Josh Marshall
@joshtpm.bsky.social

5/ In any case, the incentives are there and yet there seems to be very little awareness of this or effort to guard against it. Perhaps I’m naive and the idea is well this is one point of view it doesn’t matter if the person is a professional GOP operative or Trump aligned lobbyist.

Josh Marshall
@joshtpm.bsky.social

6/ If that’s the case, at least disclosure is required. But my sense is they’re mainly easy marks, perhaps because of obvious but unexplored biases.

Josh Marshall
@joshtpm.bsky.social

Since I’ve engaged in a few exchanges about this. Let me say a few things about this. First of all this genuinely happens a lot. And it goes back decades. Another commenter reminded of a case back in 2004. I think there’s a key dynamic involved.

Josh Marshall@joshtpm.bsky.social

I dont know if it's because they love republicans and want them to win but holy crap is this an embarrassment. the equivalent of reckless disregard in terms of journalism fuck ups. Just the simplest damn googling.

View full thread
Josh Marshall
@joshtpm.bsky.social

3/ average person Fred or Lorraine in the New York Times and spouting a Republican message is golden because it’s the New York Times. And especially today, even more than 30 years ago - because the Times is paradoxically more influential now - it’s even more golden. So basically there are …

Josh Marshall
@joshtpm.bsky.social

4/ going to be lots of professional Republicans, GOP think tankers, lobbyists etc presenting themselves as average Joes to be profiled in the Times. My point here is simply that there’s like a 100 times more incentive to do this with the Times than with any other publication. It’s not exaggeration.

Josh Marshall
@joshtpm.bsky.social

Since I’ve engaged in a few exchanges about this. Let me say a few things about this. First of all this genuinely happens a lot. And it goes back decades. Another commenter reminded of a case back in 2004. I think there’s a key dynamic involved.

Josh Marshall@joshtpm.bsky.social

I dont know if it's because they love republicans and want them to win but holy crap is this an embarrassment. the equivalent of reckless disregard in terms of journalism fuck ups. Just the simplest damn googling.

Josh Marshall
@joshtpm.bsky.social

2/ When I first thought of this I thought to say something like, one of our reporters wld have a lot to answer for for a goof that better. We simply don’t make those kinds of mistakes. But the real point is that there’s no big payoff for the bamboozler. The key here is that appearing as …

Josh Marshall
@joshtpm.bsky.social

I dont know if it's because they love republicans and want them to win but holy crap is this an embarrassment. the equivalent of reckless disregard in terms of journalism fuck ups. Just the simplest damn googling.

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Josh Marshall
@joshtpm.bsky.social

Since I'm confident these charges aren't going anywhere and that Comey can cover the legal expenses I basically applaud this as just more for the Trump DOJ to discredit itself. www.nytimes.com/2026/10/26/u...

nytimes.comJustice Dept. Brings More Charges Against Comey, Accusing Him of LeaksLawyers for James B. Comey said the case centered on an issue that had already been investigated and had not led to charges, of a purported leak of national security information to The Times in Octobe...
Josh Marshall
@joshtpm.bsky.social

👇

The Rule of Law Project@ruleoflawproject.org

Former Federal Prosecutors and Human Rights Leaders Launch New Organization to Ensure Criminal Accountability for Public Officials in the United States ruleoflawproject.org/news/project...

ruleoflawproject.orgFormer Prosecutors and Human Rights Leaders Launch The Rule of Law ProjectThe Rule of Law Project is a nonpartisan organization dedicated to restoring criminal accountability for public officials and law enforcement who break the law in the United States.

Josh Marshall reposted

Carl Quintanilla
@carlquintanilla.bsky.social

GOLDMAN: “.. we are starting to see clearer signs that the AI impact is spreading beyond the technology sector. .. the share of US firms that have adopted AI in regular business functions now shows a statistically significant negative correlation with employment growth ..”

Josh Marshall reposted

ProPublica
@propublica.org

NEW: Brent Taylor is the front-runner for one of Memphis’ congressional districts, recently redrawn from majority Black to majority white. As state senator, he repeatedly used his power to supersede local officials — and the will of the city’s voters. with @mlk50.com

propublica.orgIn a Newly Drawn District, Black Voters May Get a Representative Who Spent Years Undermining Their InterestsBrent Taylor is the front-runner for one of Memphis’ U.S. congressional districts, recently redrawn from majority Black to majority white. As state senator, he repeatedly used his power to supersede l...

Josh Marshall reposted

Bloomberg News
@bloomberg.com

Russia is stepping up the number of Africans it recruits to counter a personnel shortage in its military and is targeting some of the continent’s most dysfunctional states for manpower. Read more: bloom.bg/4AeYSxd 📷: AFP/Getty Images

Josh Marshall
@joshtpm.bsky.social

To expand on my point about these “markets” I’m not getting into the issues w corruption or damaging impacts of gambling. Their supporters in the political space habitually argue they are superior to polls in their predictive ability. In the simplest sense they’re just not. But to the extent they …

Josh Marshall@joshtpm.bsky.social

lol reminder that betting markets are extremely accurate measures of conventional wisdom

Josh Marshall
@joshtpm.bsky.social

2/ predictive they are operating off perceptions which come from polls. So they fail this test both empirically and logically. There are exceptions to this. Lightly polled races. Figuring in other factors besides polls. But big picture there are zero prediction market books on elections that …

Josh Marshall
@joshtpm.bsky.social

lol

Aaron Rupar@atrupar.com

wow -- a squirming Mike Rogers gets flustered as Kristen Welker points out that while he attacks El-Sayed over the Muslim Brotherhood, *Rogers himself* defended the Muslim Brotherhood during the same period of time that El-Sayed did!

Josh Marshall
@joshtpm.bsky.social

it's the degenerate racist version of going to see 90 year old Frankie Valli belt out teen tunes from 1960

Aaron Rupar@atrupar.com

Trump: "Libya, Hemen, Haiti, Somalia -- remember what I called them? Shit house countries."

Josh Marshall
@joshtpm.bsky.social

lol

Aaron Rupar@atrupar.com

WELKER: Is a vote for you a vote for the Trump agenda? MIKE ROGERS: Um, I'm apologizing. I'm having some difficultly in my earpiece. But is a vote for you? I'm not sure. I'll tell you what a vote for me is. It's a great day for the state of Michigan

Josh Marshall
@joshtpm.bsky.social

Put this under nature of the problem. From an axios piece by Jim Vendehei about the growing multiple risks of cascading crises. You’d say the same about Biden? Not politics? lol

Josh Marshall
@joshtpm.bsky.social

Trump wanted to create an Orban style autocracy & take away everyone’s liberties. But Orban knew u need to be popular when u put that into effect. But in just 20 months Trump failed so hard he’s more unpopular than any midterm Prez in 80 yrs. Chump just doesn’t have the cards. 🤣

Josh Marshall reposted

David Kaye
@davidakaye.bsky.social

Replying to @joshtpm.bsky.social

💯

David Kaye@davidakaye.bsky.social

we're going to need a long-term plan, with broad political appeal, for ending impunity & holding the trump administration accountable for its crimes, malfeasance & cruelties. not 'tit-for-tat' but an american version of transitional justice. my take in @slate.com 👇

slate.comAmerica Needs to Reckon With What Trump 2.0 Has Done. Planning Should Start Now. (Gift Article)Some people will beg off in the name of “bipartisanship.” That will not solve anything.
Josh Marshall
@joshtpm.bsky.social

A lot of dictatorships try to make these kind of arrangements when things go south. Important to remember there are other kinds of criminal, civil and reputational accountability pardons can’t touch. And if you’re pardoned you have no 5th amendment rights.

Holly Brewer@earlymodjustice.bsky.social

“Several conservative organizations …— including the Heritage Foundation and American Moment — have pressed White House counsel to either prepare pardons or put in place funding for the legal fees necessary to defend junior staffers from criminal and congressional probes or potential lawsuits.”

washingtonsun.comWhite House Is Weighing Mass Pardons for Junior StaffConservative groups influential with the Trump administration have pressed for the preemptive acts of clemency.