Illinois Football Focus

Illinois Football Focus

@illinifb.bsky.social

I post about Illinois Fighting Illini Football and the Big Ten. Game video, data visuals, analysis.

1.4K followers211 following2K posts

Illinois Football Focus reposted

College Power-4 opponent-adjusted EPA: • Despite the weak schedule, Notre Dame has performed well • Are we sleeping on LSU? • Arizona is a team that no one is talking about Which team surprises you here?

Illinois Football Focus reposted

Oregon has fired OC Drew Mehringer. No word yet on who will be the interim play-caller. The Ducks' offense ranks 13th in the Big Ten in conference play in scoring and 10th in total offense. They were No. 3 in both last season.

Illinois Football Focus reposted

Michigan's defense has held all 7 opponents to 20 points or fewer. Since 2014, FBS teams that do that win 87% of the time. Michigan is 4-3. Jason Beck has to go. Now. Here's the data. 🧵

The Oregon game was Illinois’ highest postgame win expectancy on the season among their power conference games.

Bill Connelly@espnbillc.bsky.social

LOWEST POSTGAME WIN EXPECTANCY IN A WIN, WEEK 8 FAU > Rice 15.2% Army > Tulsa 24.8% WVU > TCU 28.6% Kansas > Baylor 29.3% Syracuse > UNC 33.0% VT > Clemson 38.1% Minnesota > Iowa 42.2% Stanford > NC St 43.3% FULL LIST: docs.google.com/spreadsheets...

Per Big Ten Network. Oregon’s 10-points vs Illinois was the fewest points scored in a game by Oregon since Coach Lanning’s debut. Duke, Ohio State, Purdue, & Michigan St have combined to average 34 points per game vs Illinois this season.

Illinois Football Focus reposted

Replying to @illinifb.bsky.social

Oregon’s season was over as soon as we hired Drew Mehringer as OC, we just didn’t know it at the time. Congrats on putting the final nail in the coffin.

Update: Oregon loss

Illinois Football Focus@illinifb.bsky.social

Dylan Raiola butt fumble on 3rd down. They tried running a trick play on 2nd down. I'm not sure what Oregon is doing. They could rush for 8 yards a carry, but keep trying to pass. Not like they are going to lose this game, but Oregon is giving me Jeff Grimes at Kansas vibes.

Illinois Football Focus reposted

Oregon, down 14-10, with 6:10 left, elects to kick a 52-yard field goal ... and misses. The #illini have clearly outcoached the Ducks today.

I get the idea of trying to get a skill player for Oregon the ball with more space against less athletic defenders, but not sure why they need to be even trying stunts like this against one of the worst defenses in college football.

Michael Clayton --> Christian Abney --> TD Oregon 10 Illinois 14 The preseason title favorite with a roster that is $30M more expensive is losing to one of the worst teams in the Big Ten, starting a freshman QB and has one of the worst defenses in college football in Illinois.