The loophole in all of these illegal acts is that when the Trump administration fires someone unjustly, they ultimately get what they want because the person isn't returning. Any financial penalties come from coffers, not the offender. www.politico.com/news/2026/10...
Gavilán Longino
Gavilán Longino
@gavilan.me
I work on complex situations where the problem isn’t clear. My focus is on reducing noise, identifying what matters, and designing practical paths toward better outcomes across technical, organizational, and human systems. Portfolio: gavilan.me
83 followers63 following1.2K posts
Dems ran a bigger wave in 2018 (D+8.6) & lost Senate seats. Same wave in 2026 flips the chamber (b/c the map inverted). 63% D majority probability. 52-seat point estimate. 1 variable can't be priced. It hasn't happened...yet. Then again, it might not. Full superforecast briefing 👇 bit.ly/3W67pDI
So, either Lewandoski did something to draw Trump's ire, or it's just for show to appear fair. 🤨 www.cnn.com/2026/10/22/p...
Ignore that this indictment is Trump-motivated. The other problem is that Lucas pushed the legislation & going into business to make money off of that legislation. The apparent moral of the story is, it's okay for Trump and friends to grift, but not the opposition. www.cbsnews.com/news/l-louis...
But I thought snitches get 🪡. I guess it all depends on whom you snitch on. www.independent.co.uk/news/world/a...
I just want to know what her goal is by making this statement. How does this speech change anything? apnews.com/article/supr...
Oh, no doubt! AI is next-level extraction for enterprises. "Fed's Warsh says AI path will be 'very bumpy' but ultimately 'very good' for wealth" www.cnbc.com/2026/10/16/f...
We've seen movies where inmates are "sported." The Trump administration wants to make that a reality. They have no decency. abcnews.com/Politics/wid...
Was this something they really couldn't foresee, or is this what keeping up with the Joneses gets you? "French supermarket fridges get hacked, heating to 122°F and sparking fires" www.cnbc.com/2026/10/13/f...
This has the ability to turn your order into an auction-style purchase. Think rush-hour surcharge tolling. More extraction. "How AI and dynamic pricing may change the price of your groceries" www.cnbc.com/2026/10/11/a...
Do you REALLY want access to agentic AI? It will have access to your accounts and there WILL be incidents of impersonations. And you thought being taken by a "Nigerian prince" was bad. www.foxbusiness.com/technology/a...
Why stop at the result? What is the reason behind the outcome? Learning the cause makes the results more replicable. But nuisances continue to rise. "Commissioner Tisch and Mayor Mamdani announce quarterly crime statistics." share.google/XbWVVkL4Kaeu...
🏛️ Huge conglomerates shouldn't be permitted to consolidate. It's an extractive move where customers pay the price. 💸 deadline.com/2026/10/para...
📰 The news isn’t about the midterms. Trump's coalition is actually 2 groups & they break differently. 🔴 Core MAGA: movement-style, threshold-driven. 🔵 Non-MAGA Trump supporters: transactional, slow-drifting. One may be closer to disengaging. The answer might surprise you 👀 gavilan.me/research.htm...
It all depends on what you measure. The economy as a whole may be resilient, but traditional metrics completely ignore the cost of that growth. x.com/BbSignal/sta...
We can keep doing what we've been doing for generations and hope things change, or we can do something completely different — something I propose in my paper. www.theguardian.com/world/video/...
Families should be able to go directly after perpetrators and their leaders. Government and enterprises are used to shield bad actors. I think real and direct culpability should be assessed. www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news...
Law is NOT my specialty, so maybe someone can explain this to me: If the new evidence DOESN'T link him to the crime, why does he still have to pay bail to get out? 🤔 people.com/death-row-in...
All of this could have been avoided with a properly structured community, which also would have improved home life. I've got an article under peer review right now called "Bowling Alone Is Over!" Preprint available free. Just inquire. www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news...
All of this could have been avoided with a properly structured community, which also would have improved home life. I've got an article under peer review right now called "Bowling Alone Is Over!" Preprint available free. Just inquire. www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news...
All of this could have been avoided with a properly structured community, which also would have improved home life. I've got an article under peer review right now called "Bowling Alone Is Over!" Preprint available free. Just inquire. www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news...
Dear Republicans, If you are one of the extremists who also doesn't want Trump's endorsement during your campaign run, shouldn't that tell your constituencies don't align with Mr. Orange? 🍊 "Some in GOP distance from Trump as midterms inch closer : NPR" share.google/LqoHXap7Vh2x...
And this will pretty much be the first time all this calamity is caused by a sitting president. Smh. "How Do Increasing Interest Rates Affect Inflation?" share.google/Eov0Wj85uUil...
Who would have thought the press would need a federal-officer escort? 👮🏼 "White House still blocks some reporters despite judge's order lifting Trump ban" www.cnbc.com/2026/09/24/j...
Lawyers often use "precedent" in their arguments. Wouldn't it be great to have automatic restraining orders on his capricious policies? 😂. "Judge lifts Trump's White House ban on CNN, MS NOW and Politico: Reuters" www.cnbc.com/2026/09/24/j...
Why can't we get this kind of turnaround on all of his shenanigans? "Judge hears arguments on Trump White House media ban, hopes to rule 'soon'" www.cnbc.com/2026/09/23/t...
Haters will say it's not fair that he's getting richer while pulling the rug out from underneath almost everyone else. "Trump discloses more than 1,100 July trades, including up to $25 million each in sales of Microsoft, Amazon" www.cnbc.com/2026/09/22/t...
I do agree that developing deeper problem-solving skills is required to meet future demand, but is a liberal arts degree the way to go? 🤔 "Anthropic billionaire cofounder who studied literature says non-STEM degrees will win in the AI age | Fortune" share.google/rvHJyM9tm7rd...
Dear World Leaders: Most of us are deeply sorry for the words that will come out of Orange 🥜's mouth. Please focus your ire directly on him. Sincerely, The Sane Ones www.cnn.com/2026/09/22/w...
I think they should, but what are the chances they litigate through a non-Trmp sympathizer? "Trump to be sued by MS NOW, CNN, Politico to reverse White House ban" www.cnbc.com/2026/09/21/t...
Here's an idea: How about we stop letting these massive companies merge and take all our money? "Paramount and state AGs will settle lawsuit, allowing Warner Bros. merger to proceed, reports say" www.cnbc.com/2026/09/21/p...
Even many of RFK Jr's core audience is against this corporate sponsorship method. We'll see what comes of it, but having companies pay to engage in discussions isn't a good look. 🤢 "RFK Jr.’s movement now has corporate sponsors" - POLITICO share.google/hP4fMVdM0Vxc...
Finally! Some unity!👏🏼🎆 "White House TV press pool won't cover Trump after CNN ban" www.cnbc.com/2026/09/21/t...
Place your bets! 💱 Who will recover first — the US or Japan? "Japanese stocks rose as bond yields and the yen fell after rate hike" www.cnbc.com/2026/09/18/j...
Hey, look! More derivative vehicles for you to lose money in, and the architects to get rich off of! "SEC clears path for tokenized stocks, bringing the market closer to 24/7 trading" www.cnbc.com/2026/09/17/s...
Riiiiight. We'll be able to trust them to regulate themselves. ;-) "AI needs to have 'reasonable guidelines,' Palantir's Karp tells CNBC" www.cnbc.com/2026/09/17/a...
Our checks and balances system is broken,so we're going all-in on the checks. www.cnbc.com/2026/09/17/t...
Anyone recall when gas prices started rising again a few decades ago, & diesel was CHEAPER than unleaded? This game of ever-rising gas prices will never end...unless we change our response. "Transport companies sound alarm on skyrocketing fuel prices amid Iran war" www.cnbc.com/2026/09/16/t...
Yeah? Well, we demand lower prices everywhere. Who will win? 🤷🏼 "Trump demands 1% or lower interest rate after first Fed hike since 2023" www.cnbc.com/2026/09/16/t...
Does anyone actually think the DOJ will pursue, and even if they did, Trump wouldn't pardon Black? In the immortal words of one Joe Biden, "Come on, man!" www.cnn.com/2026/09/16/p...
Trump wants interest rates to be extremely low so he can borrow more money. But you can't do that if you're running the economy into the ground with inflationary activity. He wants it both ways. "Fed hikes interest rates for the first time since 2023" www.cnbc.com/2026/09/16/f...
Oh, and we were so close to crowning a new political champion. "Jasmine Crockett honors Chris Brown and Usher with Congressional Record recognition" share.google/P2AQUj43xVu5...
Soooo.... what's the problem? 🤷🏼 "Trump calls Supreme Court mail ballot ruling 'big loss for Republicans'" www.cnbc.com/2026/09/15/t...
Aside from being illegal (or maybe b/c of it), we've seen this before: makes a promise then break it. On payments: none have occurred — Tariff rebate, DOGE check, campaign tax exemption. Some will still fall for it. "President Trump doubling down on $5k check promise" share.google/lV6CSbEJvpbP...
The same mechanism keeping Trump in office is at play for McConnel. But it also runs on the other side of the aisle. "Mitch McConnell returns to Senate after three-month health absence" www.cnbc.com/2026/09/14/m...
Gotta love how our extractive system always finds a way to capitalize (read, exploit) on calamity, rather than prevent it. "AI Data centers could be the next big market for catastrophe bonds" www.cnbc.com/2026/09/12/a...
Not a NY Post fan, but school systems are doing what they were designed to do. Since No Child Left Behind, the "dumbening" of US citizens has accelerated—proved by those videos of kids missing basic concepts. "Why NYC parents are homeschooling in 2026" share.google/sblxuHZSwppd...
Even if this were legal, we'd be footing our own bill for this — further increasing the national debt. But even cares any more? 🤷🏼 "Jimmy Kimmel says show won't air interview with James Talarico on TV, citing FCC threats" www.nbcnews.com/video/jimmy-...
As is a common theme in my work and essays, not considering the full scope of consequences for your actions (as well as inactions) for a given objective leaves you open to unintended results. www.theguardian.com/technology/2...