ÉPICBiodiversity

ÉPICBiodiversity

@epic-biodiversity.org

We are the laboratoire d'Écologie Prédictive et Interprétable pour la Crise de la Biodiversité. 🌐 https://epic-biodiversity.org

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And now, read about it straight from @francisbanville.bsky.social on the blog! epic-biodiversity.org/blog/2026/05...

epic-biodiversity.orgCan biodiversity monitoring help measure progress on One Health actions? | ÉPICBiodiversity
ÉPICBiodiversity@epic-biodiversity.org

The framing document of One Health (the OH JPA 2022-2026) lacks concrete indicators to track progress. In a new preprint, @francisbanville.bsky.social shows that about 70% of the KM-GBF is directly relevant to actions in the JPA. A short thread. 🧪😷🌎 ecoevorxiv.org/repository/v...

In other words: looking at biodiversity reporting will allow the One Health community to track progress on the ambitious goals it has set for itself. This can be done retroactively, but should also inform the content of the potential post-2026 OH high level document.

This should, of course, be the signal for the One Health community to take biodiversity far more seriously than they historically did, as not as "something with vague ties to the environment, except for stuff we eat".

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But this hides one of the most fascinating differences across the Global North/Global South divide: the role of stakeholders and experts in this research is different. This difference is not only about whether categories intervene as stakeholders or experts, but also whether they intervene at all.

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First, we have never, collectively, published as much on socio-ecological indicators and decision making. But a lot of these publications still use the Millenium Ecosystem Assessment as their reference framework, with even the UN SDG struggling to catch up.

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This is because, although both species respond to, more or less, the same climatic variables, they respond to them differently. The potential to see their responses to climate change becoming decoupled is real!

Long-story short, both species will gain potential habitat in the North, and this does not really slow down unless we manage to stick to SSP2-RCP4.5. Even SSP1-RCP2.6 is a fairly dramatic increase in potential habitat. Most densely inhabited areas in Québec are reached by 2100.

Habitat becomes increasingly polarized in its suitability to either reservoir, with raccoons benefiting the most from more pessimistic scenarios: the places in which we expect the two reservoirs are different over time, and different under the four scenarios.

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