Election Maps UK

Election Maps UK

@electionmaps.uk

🗳️ Mapping UK Elections & Collating Polling Data nowcast / posters / much more @ electionmaps.uk support my work @ https://ko-fi.com/electionmapsuk

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Election Maps UK
@electionmaps.uk

Holyrood Voting Intention: Constituency: SNP: 34% (-4) LAB: 18% (-1) RFM: 13% (-3) CON: 12% (=) LDM: 9% (-2) GRN: 7% (+5) Regional List: SNP: 28% (+1) LAB: 17% (+1) GRN: 15% (+1) CON: 13% (+1) RFM: 13% (-4) LDM: 9% (=) Via Norstat, 20-23 Oct. Changes w/ May 2026.

Election Maps UK
@electionmaps.uk

General Election Nowcast - 25/10/26: LAB: 327 (-84) | 28.3% (Maj. of 4) CON: 125 (+4) | 21.1% LDM: 66 (-6) | 9.3% RFM: 52 (+47) | 21.9% SNP: 38 (+29) | 2.7% PLC: 8 (+4) | 1.0% GRN: 7 (+3) | 8.9% RES: 1 (+1) | 3.7% Oth: 7 (+2) | 2.9% electionmaps.uk/nowcast

Election Maps UK
@electionmaps.uk

🌹 | Highest Labour vote share with ANY pollster since October 2024.

Election Maps UK@electionmaps.uk

Westminster Voting Intention: LAB: 32% (+5) CON: 24% (+3) RFM: 20% (-3) LDM: 9% (+1) GRN: 8% (-5) SNP: 3% (-1) RES: 3% (=) Via @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social, 15-22 Oct. Changes w/ 10-15 Sep.

Election Maps UK
@electionmaps.uk

In Friday's @navigatepolitics.uk weekly roundup, I looked into the effect budgets have on the Government's polling figures. The answer? Hardly at all. Average change in polling: -0.4 pts Only 4 of the last 21 budgets have caused a shift greater than 2pts!

Navigate Politics@navigatepolitics.uk

This week's Weekly Roundup is out... Burnhing Gas | Train and Simple | Fiscal Attraction And do Budgets impact the polls? Head over to our website the find out what @electionmaps.uk found out crunching the numbers. Spoiler alert: it's much easier to do wrong than right...

Election Maps UK
@electionmaps.uk

Senedd Voting Intention: PLC: 33% (-2) RFM: 30% (+1) LAB: 15% (+4) CON: 11% (=) GRN: 6% (=) LDM: 4% (=) Via Beaufort Research, 21 Sep - 11 Oct. Changes w/ 2026 Election.

Election Maps UK
@electionmaps.uk

Last night was the Conservatives’ best in a long time: four wins from five contests, three of them gains. That takes them to 29 wins since May’s local elections, more than any other party (Reform 26, Labour 26, Lib Dems 24).

Election Maps UK
@electionmaps.uk

Hartlebury (Wychavon) Council By-Election Result: 🌳 CON: 49.9% (-7.6) ➡️ RFM: 37.7% (New) 🌹 LAB: 12.4% (New) No GRN (-20.3) or LDM (-15.8) as previous. Conservative HOLD. Changes w/ 2023.

Election Maps UK
@electionmaps.uk

Calverley & Farsley (Leeds) Council By-Election Result: 🌳 CON: 40.2% (+3.6) 🌹 LAB: 36.8% (+9.5) ➡️ RFM: 12.0% (-4.8) 🌍 GRN: 5.9% (-10.4) ◼️ RES: 2.6% (New) 🔶 LDM: 1.6% (-1.5) ⚪ Yorks: 1.0% (New) Conservative GAIN from Labour. Changes w/ 2026.

Election Maps UK
@electionmaps.uk

Hertford Kingsmead (East Hertfordshire) Council By-Election Result: 🌳 CON: 35.3% (+8.9) 🌍 GRN: 32.4% (-4.4) ➡️ RFM: 15.5% (New) 🌹 LAB: 10.1% (-5.8) 🔶 LDM: 6.7% (-14.3) Conservative GAIN from Green. Changes w/ 2023.

Election Maps UK
@electionmaps.uk

Saron (Carmarthenshire) Council By-Election Result: 🌼 PLC: 43.9% (+3.5) ➡️ RFM: 28.0% (New) 🌹 LAB: 17.6% (-21.2) 🌳 CON: 4.9% (New) 🙋 Ind: 4.5% (New) 🔶 LDM: 1.2% (New) No Ind (-13.2) as previous. Plaid Cymru GAIN from Labour. Changes w/ 2022.

Election Maps UK
@electionmaps.uk

Grantham St Wulfram's (South Kesteven) Council By-Election Result: 🌳 CON: 38.3% (+4.6) ➡️ RFM: 25.1% (New) 🙋 Ind: 13.1% (New) 🌹 LAB: 12.4% (-3.8) 🌍 GRN: 6.5% (-7.1) 🙋 Ind: 4.7% (New) No Inds (-21.8, -2.2) as previous. Conservative GAIN from Independent. Changes w/ 2023.

Election Maps UK
@electionmaps.uk

MRP Voting Intention (FPTP | FPTP with Tactical Voting | PR): LAB: 25% | 27% | 23% CON: 19% | 19% | 18% LDM: 11% | 9% | 10% RFM: 22% | 22% | 23% GRN: 9% | 8% | 11% RES: 8% | 8% | 10% Seat outcomes below: Via @findoutnow.bsky.social & Electoral Calculus, 22 Sep - 12 Oct.

Election Maps UK
@electionmaps.uk

🌹 | Perran Moon MP (Camborne & Redruth) has been suspended by the Labour party pending an investigation into claims he tried to close his company without repaying a taxpayer-funded Covid loan.

Election Maps UK
@electionmaps.uk

🔶 | Lowest Lib Dem vote share (7%) since February 2024.

Election Maps UK@electionmaps.uk

Westminster Voting Intention: LAB: 30% (+1) RFM: 24% (-1) CON: 22% (+3) GRN: 8% (-1) LDM: 7% (-1) SNP: 3% (-1) Via @deltapoll.bsky.social, 16-19 Oct. Changes w/ 11-14 Sep.

Election Maps UK
@electionmaps.uk

◼️ | Restore Britain are set to run full slates in Council By-Elections for the first time in the coming weeks: 1st September to Today: 6/35 (17%) w/c 19th October: 1/5 (20%) w/c 26th October: 4/6 (67%) w/c 2nd November: 1/1 (100%) w/c 9th November: 6/6 (100%)

Election Maps UK
@electionmaps.uk

➡️ | Amanda Bland MSP (Central Scotland and Lothians West) has resigned from Reform and will now sit as an Independent. Labour are now the 2nd largest party in Holyrood (17 seats), with Reform falling to 3rd (16 Seats).

Election Maps UK
@electionmaps.uk

HOLD THE PHONE just been informed of a fifth by-election in Hartlebury (Wychavon).

Election Maps UK@electionmaps.uk

There are 4 council by-elections to wet your psephological whistles this week: 🌹 Saron (Carmarthenshire) 🌍 Hertford Kingsmead (East Hertfordshire) 🌹 Calverley & Farsley (Leeds) 🙋 Grantham St Wulfram's (South Kesteven) electionmaps.uk/council-by-e...

Election Maps UK
@electionmaps.uk

In this week's @navigatepolitics.uk weekly roundup, I looked into the most prolific names of our councillors... 📈 The most popular overall? Dave ➡️ The most Reform? Karl 🌹 The most Labour? Lynn 🌳 The most Tory? Roger 🔶 The most Lib Dem? Julian 🌍 The most Green? Natalie

Navigate Politics@navigatepolitics.uk

MPs returned from conference recess this week, and the PM wasted no time taking everyone back to 2016, reopening Brexit with a podcast answer on Russian interference. Read about this and the rest of the week's politics in your free weekly roundup with @electionmaps.uk at www.navigatepolitics.uk

Election Maps UK
@electionmaps.uk

Shepshed (Leicestershire) Council By-Election Result: 🌹 LAB: 32.8% (+14.9) ➡️ RFM: 31.3% (-13.6) 🌳 CON: 23.1% (-2.4) ◼️ RES: 6.4% (New) 🔶 LDM: 3.2% (-3.4) 🌍 GRN: 3.2% (-1.9) Labour GAIN from Reform UK. Changes w/ 2025.

Election Maps UK
@electionmaps.uk

Salisbury Milford (Wiltshire) Council By-Election Result: 🔶 LDM: 45.6% (+1.8) 🌳 CON: 36.4% (+12.4) ➡️ RFM: 11.4% (-6.7) 🌹 LAB: 6.6% (-2.1) No GRN (-5.4) as previous. Liberal Democrat HOLD. Changes w/ 2025.

Election Maps UK
@electionmaps.uk

Bradninch (Mid Devon) Council By-Election Result: 🔶 LDM: 72.6% (-9.6) ➡️ RFM: 13.9% (New) 🌳 CON: 5.6% (-0.6) 🌹 LAB: 4.7% (-6.9) 🌍 GRN: 3.2% (New) Liberal Democrat HOLD. Change w/ 2023.

Election Maps UK
@electionmaps.uk

Higher Kinnerton (Flintshire) Council By-Election Result: 🏘️ FPV: 91.3% 🌳 CON: 3.4% ➡️ RFM: 3.4% 🏰 HER: 1.6% 🙋 Ind: 0.3% Flintshire People's Voice GAIN from Independent (elected unopposed in 2022).

Election Maps UK
@electionmaps.uk

Holyrood Voting Intention: Constituency: SNP: 36% (-2) LAB: 21% (+2) RFM: 15% (-1) CON: 12% (=) LDM: 10% (-1) GRN: 3% (=) Regional: SNP: 30% (+3) LAB: 20% (+4) RFM: 17% (=) CON: 13% (-1) LDM: 10% (+1) GRN: 7% (-7) Via @moreincommonuk.bsky.social, 9-13 Oct. Changes w/ 2026 Election.

Election Maps UK
@electionmaps.uk

Councils where Labour are in power-sharing agreements with the Greens: 🌹 Labour-Led: Sheffield Havant Southend-on-Sea Stafford West Suffolk 🔶 Lib Dem-Led Broadland Derbyshire Dales West Oxfordshire Arun North Somerset 🙋 Independent/Other-Led West Devon Rother 🌍 Green-Led: Lewes Warwick

David Wilcock@davidtwilcock.bsky.social

Labour has given Green councils where they have power-sharing deals seven days to denounce the Zionism is Racism policy or they will terminate the agreements.

Election Maps UK
@electionmaps.uk

Westminster Voting Intention: LAB: 30% (=) RFM: 22% (=) CON: 21% (=) LDM: 10% (=) GRN: 8% (-1) RES: 6% (+3) SNP: 2% (=) Via Trajectory Partnership, 5-14 Oct. Changes w/ 7-16 Sep.

Election Maps UK
@electionmaps.uk

Current Polling Average: 🌹 LAB: 27.4% (-7.2) | Highest since Dec 24 ➡️ RFM: 22.9% (+8.2) | Lowest since Dec 24 🌳 CON: 20.5% (-3.9) | Highest since Apr 25 🔶 LDM: 10.1% (-2.5) 🌍 GRN: 9.5% (+2.6) | Lowest since Sep 25 ◼️ RES: 3.8%`(New) Changes w/ GE2024. electionmaps.uk/polling/vi

Election Maps UK
@electionmaps.uk

Westminster Voting Intention: LAB: 29% (+3) RFM: 23% (-2) CON: 22% (+2) LDM: 10% (-1) GRN: 9% (-2) SNP: 2% (=) Via Freshwater Strategies, 9-11 Oct. Changes w/ 4-6 Sep.

Election Maps UK
@electionmaps.uk

Rodborough (Stroud) Council By-Election Result: 🌹 LAB: 47.0% (+13.2) 🌍 GRN: 31.7% (+1.5) ➡️ RFM: 12.9% (New) 🌳 CON: 6.9% (-3.9) 🔶 LDM: 1.5% (New) No Ind (-25.2) as previous. Labour HOLD. Changes w/ 2024.

Election Maps UK
@electionmaps.uk

General Election Nowcast - 11/10/26: LAB: 299 (-112) | 27.2% (27 Short) RFM: 100 (+95) | 23.1% CON: 95 (-26) | 19.6% LDM: 70 (-2) | 9.8% SNP: 43 (+34) | 2.7% PLC: 8 (+4) | 1.1% GRN: 7 (+3) | 9.6% RES: 1 (+1) | 3.8% Oth: 8 (+3) | 3.1% electionmaps.uk/nowcast

Election Maps UK
@electionmaps.uk

Crazy how similar this result was to Dover just a few weeks ago.

Election Maps UK@electionmaps.uk

Kilburn, Denby, Holbrook & Horsley (Amber Valley) Council By-Election Result: 🌍 GRN: 29.5% (+4.0) ➡️ RFM: 27.0% (New) 🌳 CON: 16.9% (-15.2) 🌹 LAB: 15.9% (-6.1) ◼️ RES: 10.8% (New) No Ind (-14.1) or LDM (-6.4) as previous. Green GAIN from Conservative. Changes w/ 2025.

Election Maps UK
@electionmaps.uk

For the first time since May 2025, First Past the Post is consistently harming Reform UK. Between May 2025 and May 2026, Reform won 37% of seats on 29% of the vote. Since May, they've won just 22% of seats despite only falling to 25% of the vote.

Navigate Politics@navigatepolitics.uk

Brum and Done: A really interesting couple of days at The Conservative Party Conference earlier this week and well done to the Navigate Politics team for another packed week of conference coverage. You can read all about the official opposition's announcements this week in our latest #weeklyroundup