David Brauer

Doing a little early-voting precinct-by-precinct # crunching. Will dump it on you tomorrow. But my early conclusion is: the lower-income south side wards, especially Ward 6 & Ward 9, are doing a bang-up job early voting. Precincts with Somali-Minnesotans already voted 2x last midterm’s early vote.

🧵 Minneapolis early voting thru Monday. 7 full early voting days to go, but precincts in blue at/above 2022 *total* early vote. Orange = below ‘22’s total , but again, full week to go. Only 1 precinct (7-10 in Stevens Square) is below 70% of ‘22. Pace seems certain to smash 2018 midterm record (52k)

North Minneapolis Wards 4 & 5 are … ok? Pockets of strength in more prosperous NW corner & down by a previous pop-up site.

🧵 Minneapolis early voting thru Monday. 7 full early voting days to go, but precincts in blue at/above 2022 *total* early vote. Orange = below ‘22’s total , but again, full week to go. Only 1 precinct (7-10 in Stevens Square) is below 70% of ‘22. Pace seems certain to smash 2018 midterm record (52k)

Meanwhile, the fancypants areas of Minneapolis (lakes-area Ward 7 & 13, near-northeast part of Ward 3) are *relative* laggards but again, Ward 13 has a popup site at Lynnhurst on Wednesday. These areas are not as “under threat” from ICE, etc as W6 & W9, so their folks may vote normal/later.

🧵 Minneapolis early voting thru Monday. 7 full early voting days to go, but precincts in blue at/above 2022 *total* early vote. Orange = below ‘22’s total , but again, full week to go. Only 1 precinct (7-10 in Stevens Square) is below 70% of ‘22. Pace seems certain to smash 2018 midterm record (52k)

… caveats: early voting may not predict ultimate turnout (could just be front-loading voters who would vote anyway), but it’s something DFL organizers have been driving voters to do. Areas lagging now may not ultimately — there are pop-up voting sites in slower Wards 8 & 13 this week.

Doing a little early-voting precinct-by-precinct # crunching. Will dump it on you tomorrow. But my early conclusion is: the lower-income south side wards, especially Ward 6 & Ward 9, are doing a bang-up job early voting. Precincts with Somali-Minnesotans already voted 2x last midterm’s early vote.

Minneapolis hit 43,000 early votes today. Reminder: 46k early in all of 2022, the last midterm. 52k is Mpls midterm record (2018). Should top that given previous week saw ~13,000 early votes. Still a full week of early voting to go! 2024 presidential early was 86,500.

He was brought on for youth appeal. Tempus fugit #rip

One of my deeply held yet unauthoritative beliefs is that Emily Hanford‘s “everything you know about education is wrong” reports should be fisked extremely hard because they‘re extremely popular with the target audience

I fully admit it’s my knee-jerk contrarianism but the certainty just sets off all my former-journalist alarm bells. (Also you don’t see mainstream newsrooms go this hard on anything else, like, say, fascism — @jcollins.bsky.social & some excepted)

I’m in one of these photos. Spent the day in Brooklyn Center. You never know what you’re gonna get at the doors, but the people who opened them were nice, a few didn’t know when Election Day was (it happens, that’s why we‘re meeting people where they are). Peggy did a great job firing us up!

I’ll say it again: I’m not getting any clear signal on how the election is gonna go (honestly, not much bad but you never know what non-answerers are thinking & lists vary in their votingness), but have come to accept that the ground game is ”doing the work“ and Ds are doing a lot of it.

Lula won in part by banning online gambling

Great problem to have! Votingest precincts so far: Ward 6 Precinct 2 (CedarRiv): 26.4% of registered voters 3-11 (Mill District): 23.8% 12-1 (Cooper; Mississippi riverfront 27th St E to 34th): 23.4% Least: 3 U E Bank precincts under 3% 3 N Side precincts (Jordan, McKinley, Hawthorne) under 6%

Great problem to have! Votingest precincts so far: Ward 6 Precinct 2 (CedarRiv): 26.4% of registered voters 3-11 (Mill District): 23.8% 12-1 (Cooper; Mississippi riverfront 27th St E to 34th): 23.4% Least: 3 U E Bank precincts under 3% 3 N Side precincts (Jordan, McKinley, Hawthorne) under 6%