Dr Seán Ketchem

Dr Seán Ketchem

@cskwriter.bsky.social

An American/German in Berlin. Berkeley alum (Go Bears!). Erstwhile Texan. Credo: “There are other forces at work than those of evil. And that is an encouraging thought.”

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While half my school faculty decamped to Portugal (or so it seemed from the Lehrerzimmer chatter) for the fall break, I am happy to spend it at home watching the leaves turn out my living room window, and doing Skelly Movie Nights. It will be intense enough again for the home stretch through Xmas.

(I finally watched the Neil Simon whodunit spoof, "Murder by Death." Plenty of funny moments (with Truman Capote as the mysterious host!). Yes, Peter Sellers in yellow face as the "Charlie Chan" detective was cringe, but he intended it to be--an over-the-top parody of how Asians had been portrayed.)

If you haven't seen it, the setup is that an eccentric host invites the world's leading detectives of the era to his country house for a kind of murder dinner theater. So you get slightly altered versions of Charlie Chan, Hercule Poirot, Nick and Nora Charles, Miss Marple, and Sam Spade--Peter Falk!

The Left party in Berlin has floated the idea of non-citizens having the vote in city elections. At the moment non-German EU citizens resident in Berlin can vote in communal elections, but not state and federal ones. The German citizenship requirement is in both the federal and state constitution.

The proposal as currently formulated would add over 600,000 new voters to the rolls at one fell swoop, a massive gain with the expectation that many of them would trend progressive/left (another reason why it will likely not get off the ground).

"An election that would normally be a cakewalk for the GOP has divided the party. It has become a test of whether views once considered extreme are now acceptable to the state’s voters. “Are people so loyal to the Republican Party that they’ll support a known racist?” www.nytimes.com/2026/10/28/u...

nytimes.comOne Race in Texas Has Become a Referendum on Bigotry in the G.O.P. (Gift Article)Bo French said the presence of Indian American students at a football game was a “problem.” His campaign for Railroad Commission tests whether these biased views are now mainstream.

I grew up in Texas and can sadly report that the answer to the question for many folks, including some of my own relatives, is yes. They are fully on the "all Muslims are terrorists who will impose Sharia Law on America and ban Christmas and BBQ pork" crazy train It sounds nutso but it is alas true.

A great thread that addresses a lot of the questions bouncing around in my head (why is the Israeli Knesset so small? Why aren't there any constituencies below the national level? etc). Israel has long since outgrown the provisional legislature of 1949--120 seats for 10 million people is ridiculous.

Abigail Nussbaum@abigailnussbaum.bsky.social

This is a good primer on Israel's political situation going into tomorrow's election. But I'd like to go deeper on something he only touches on, which is that part of the reason for Israel's electoral doldrums (and resulting geopolitical chaos) is its broken political system bsky.app/profile/avis...

Berlin (a city state) has a legislative assembly of around 150 seats for about 3.5M people (about 25K people per mandate). Israel, 120 seats for about 10M people, is *85,000* people per mandate. You could easily double if not triple the size of the Knesset, and spread out the workload considerably.

Notes: 1) Huge loss for Netanyahu's far-right coalition 2) Biggest turnout since 1988 3) Huge gains in turnout and seats by the Arab parties (possibly 20 of the 120 seats) But ruling out cooperation with the Arab parties makes the math very difficult for a stable majority government with 61+ seats.

Dr Seán Ketchem@cskwriter.bsky.social

I can't make heads or tails of these Israeli exit polls, other than that we are reminded they can be way off. But compared to 2021, it would be a loss of 10 seats for Likud (32 in 2021, 22 in 2026) which would seem like a defeat to me. And maybe having to work with the Arab parties is a good thing.

I can't make heads or tails of these Israeli exit polls, other than that we are reminded they can be way off. But compared to 2021, it would be a loss of 10 seats for Likud (32 in 2021, 22 in 2026) which would seem like a defeat to me. And maybe having to work with the Arab parties is a good thing.

If each bloc is right around 50 and the Arab parties have the other 20 (the Knesset is fixed for symbolic reasons at 120 seats), there seems no way around the impasse other than either working with the Arab parties or having a minority government (or new elections, the 2021 treadmill again).

(The current Netanyahu bloc has 68 seats, so shrinking to 50 sure seems like a substantial rebuke. But I am an utter newbies when it comes to the complexities of Israeli politics)

"When a democracy slides toward autocracy, elections offer a turning point. If voters endorse the new regime--or, the party in power manages to subvert the popular will--the slide accelerates. If voters successfully reject the regime, democracy can begin to recover." www.nytimes.com/2026/10/27/o...

nytimes.comOpinion | Inflation. War. Corruption. Hold Trump Accountable. (Gift Article)The American people have a chance to allow the nation to glimpse the end of the Trump era and the start of something brighter.

No surprise--Texas is ranked by far the worst state for partisan gerrymandering. A neutral map following population lines and ignoring voter registration data would create as many as 12 Democratic congressional districts (and obviously, 12 fewer Republican ones). www.nytimes.com/interactive/...

nytimes.comAn Extremely Detailed Ranking of the Most Gerrymandered States in AmericaOur guide to the most brazen, twisted and even innocuous maps that will help determine the midterms.

A fun little fall-themed movie that utterly bombed at the box office in 1955, and is slowly being reconsidered as one of Hitchcock's lesser known gems. Watching it as we type on another stunner of a golden October day here in Berlin. www.theguardian.com/film/2012/ju...

theguardian.comThe Trouble With Harry: Hitchcock's lost masterpieceIt flopped disastrously, nearly killed Hitchcock and has been scorned for decades. But it's time The Trouble With Harry was recognised as a surrealist masterpiece, says Peter Bradshaw

"If the claims are accurate, Kushner’s political and financial relationship with the UAE constitutes what must surely be the worst case of U.S. foreign policy being conducted outside the law since the Iran-contra scandal during the Reagan administration in the 1980s." www.nytimes.com/2026/10/26/b...

nytimes.comBook Review: ‘Princes and Thieves,’ by Matthew Cole (Gift Article)The new book by the reporter Matthew Cole connects $2 billion in slush funds from gulf state leaders to Trump’s son-in-law in an effort to influence U.S. policy.

"UAE moved $1 billion into a Kushner account. It is unclear how Kushner used these funds, but according to the person with knowledge, "it was for Kushner’s personal benefit.” For UAE, the return on investment was a recalibration of U.S. policy in the Middle East, culminating in an attack on Iran."

Taxis registered in Berlin will no longer be allowed to do pickups at the airport next year (drop-offs, yes). Only taxis registered in the same district at the airport can wait in the taxi stand. The opening of the Dresden Railway last December had a big impact here--it is only 20m to Hauptbahnhof.

Berlin-bound passengers have discovered it is now faster (and much cheaper!) to take the train into town and taxi or take transit from there. In my case, a taxi ride from the airport costs like 50€, and can take an hour--but the FEX train takes me to Südkreuz in just 15m, close to my neighborhood.

There is something big happening in my native land... This is SOUTH CAROLINA, folks, where the Senate race is a dead heat. (And in my native state of Texas, the governor's race is tied and the Senate race has a four-point Democratic lead. One more week, this is going to be agony...)

As folks know, Israel only has the geographic footprint and population of a major U.S. or European metropolitan region. The professional class fleeing in droves as the country becomes dominated by a radical ethno-religious sect (who believe in no other education but sacred texts) is not sustainable.

My favorite scenes with Walter Koenig as Ensign Pavel Chekov, (2245-2335) were in Star Trek IV: The Voyage Home, when naturally people flip out on discovering a guy with a thick Russian accent poking around a U.S. Navy nuclear submarine base in Oakland, California. RIP. variety.com/2026/film/ne...

variety.comWalter Koenig, Chekov on Original ‘Star Trek,’ Dies at 90Walter Koenig, who memorably played Chekov in the original "Star Trek" series and seven "Star Trek" feature films, died Sunday in Los Angeles.

Which was kind of the point of his casting (as well as his resemblance to the popular heartthrob Davy Jones of The Monkees). The thesis of the show was that,over the centuries global society had advanced to the point that not only ethnic but national differences had vanished into a common humanity.

The Downton re-re-rewatch continues. We are up to the point where Rose keeps pushing Robert to get the house a Spotify subscription, and he finally relents when King George V starts a podcast.

And not to take another slice at this topic (so to speak) but these national chains did to local family-owned restaurants exactly what Wal-Mart did to small-town main streets--took the money out of the community and handed it over a distant corporate office or equity firm. That isn't pro small town.

Sen. Pumpkin Gogurt@ugarles.bsky.social

many people enjoy the cheesecake factory. many people consider the cheesecake factory an expensive indulgence for special occasions. nobody considers the cheesecake factory fine dining. *the cheesecake factory* doesn't consider itself fine dining. it is called "the cheesecake factory". qed

Olive Garden spelled the end of the local Italian family-owned restaurant, and Cracker Barrel is a very slickly designed corporate imitation of an authentic Southern country café (the real ones go out of business when Cracker Barrel comes in). Mom-and-pop restaurants cannot compete with the chains.

Wonderful news to wake up to today. A corrupt family's bid to regain presidential power fails in Brazil (unlike in the U.S.), and a Putinist Balkan strongman in the Orbán mold is toppled in Serbia, in a big loss for Russia. Your turn, America and Israel. www.nytimes.com/2026/10/25/w...

nytimes.comAleksandar Vucic Concedes Defeat in Serbian Election (Gift Article)“It is clear that we have lost these elections,” Aleksandar Vucic said in a surprisingly early speech congratulating his opponents.

Both results are seismic. Here in Europe, the fall of Vucic and his SNS party has been described as the potential end of a Serbian political alignment that has existed since Milosevic first emerged in 1987, and went on to trigger the horrors of the Yugoslav wars. And to repeat, a BIG Kremlin loss.

The clocks have changed and it's dark at 5:30pm, so may as well settle in for Skelly Movie Night. I read it had a troubled production, but the finished product is a perfectly enjoyable Ray Bradbury adaptation (with Jonathan Pryce as the sinister Mr. Dark! And Pam Grier as the seductive sorceress!).

Whaddya know, the 2026 calendar is the same one as in the movie. The carnival (the fantastically named "Cooger and Dark's Pandemonium Shadow Show") came to town on October 24th, a Saturday.

Update: yesterday I got a ten-page "Witness Declaration Form" in the mail from the district housing board (Wohnungsamt). It is a bunch of questions about how I came to rent the apartment, what my conversations had been with the property firm, etc (for fraud cases, they have to prove knowing intent).

Dr Seán Ketchem@cskwriter.bsky.social

Well I submitted all my paperwork. We will see what happens. And for the rent reduction case, we finally have a court hearing, but it is at the end of November and we are still in the physical address disclosure stage (my landlord refuses--illegally--to give the law firm his legal mailing address).

Another aspect of the form I noticed is that at the top I have a case number ("Geschäftszeichen") which I didn't have on the first questionnaire they sent me (which were all to describe the apartment in detail and its amenities, or lack thereof). My case worker wrote to call her with any questions.

A reminder of just how close 2024 was--Harris got blindsided just 100 days to go before Election Day, and she very nearly pulled it out. Imagine if Biden had withdrawn his reelection bid in 2023 and given his party a true ramp to build a national campaign.

It is fascinating changing the toggles--white males under 30 with a college degree, the two candidates were tied in support, white males under 30 with no college, Trump wins 70-30. Just astounding. I mean, we know the Trump base is exactly that of course, but just seeing those spreads is something.

A reminder of just how close 2024 was--Harris got blindsided just 100 days to go before Election Day, and she very nearly pulled it out. Imagine if Biden had withdrawn his reelection bid in 2023 and given his party a true ramp to build a national campaign.

At a turnout of about 65%, Trump got roughly 32% of the total electorate--about what his approval rating is now. November 3 is a chance for voters to at least partly undo the consequences of the result in 2024.

I just realized why the US Sunday show clips are landing in my feed a bit earlier today--the time difference between Germany and the East Coast is now -5, and not -6. The U.S. lengthened DST (Summer Time) back in the early 2000s as an energy-saving measure, they don't go back for another two weeks.

Gorgeous autumn color here in Berlin on the longest day of the year--October 25 is a 25-hour day, due to the clock change. 🍁🍂🎃🍁🌞

Dr Seán Ketchem@cskwriter.bsky.social

The longest day of the year with 25 hours! And only coincidentally on the 25th. So that's eight weeks until Christmas, then.

Amen.

Acyn@acyn.bsky.social

OBAMA: That just feels a little bit different… where people are so sick and tired of being sick and tired. After 2 years of chaos. and cruelty. and corruption. and incompetence—you get a chance to say enough's enough.