Crisis Group

NEW OP-ED | How the War in Iran Could Escalate @hamidrezaaz.bsky.social explains how the risk of a renewed regional war is growing in TIME and why diplomacy remains the only way to prevent a conflagration.

“Sudan is becoming an increasingly ungovernable space. It is going to really affect all the region. It is important to have dialogue." Our Board Trustee, Mo Ibrahim, unpacks the starting points to ending violence in Sudan and beyond in a region beset by conflict.

🎙️ On Hold Your Fire!, Fabienne Hara discusses how domestic political pressures and upcoming elections could test European unity and continued support for Ukraine.

NEW OP-ED | What the Israeli Election Won’t Change Shifts in public opinion have been hard to come by in Israel. Our expert explains the country's political stagnation in @nytimes.com.

NEW COMMENTARY | How Algeria’s Rupture with the UAE Could Roil the Region Algiers has severed diplomatic ties with Abu Dhabi, following years of discord over crises in North Africa and the Sahel. It has become a rivalry that could put regional stability at risk.

NEW REPORT | A Trigger in Jammu and Kashmir: Militant Violence under Indian Central Rule India has made far-reaching changes to governance in the region to quell insurgency. Its policy has succeeded in some ways, but backfired in others. New Delhi will need to shift tack.

“There is simply, on a human level, a reason to engage with what’s going on in Sudan…it is not just a conflict which is contained, which you can keep at arm’s length.” @crisisgroup.org Trustee, Zeinab Badawi, explains why the world’s eyes must remain fixed on Sudan's humanitarian catastrophe.

🔴 We are looking to hire a Senior Communications Officer to coordinate and support @crisisgroup.org's media outreach in Africa. 📍Hybrid / Nairobi, Kenya or Dakar, Senegal. Learn more and apply here: jobs.crisisgroup.org/o/senior-com...

🔴 We are looking to hire an Analyst for U.S. Advocacy. 📍Hybrid / Washington, DC Learn more and apply here: jobs.crisisgroup.org/o/analyst-us...

“Ethiopian forces and the Eritrean forces are located very close together.” Our Horn of Africa Deputy Director examines the risk of direct confrontation between Ethiopia and Eritrea as fighting reshapes northern Tigray.

🎙️ On Hold Your Fire!, @hamidrezaaz.bsky.social explains how Houthi advances in Yemen and attacks on Saudi energy infrastructure may serve Iran’s efforts to pressure Washington, but also carry risks for Tehran.

“Iran’s Axis of Resistance is still here. But recent wars have exposed its limits and the model has shifted.” Our Senior Analyst on Iran, @hamidrezaaz.bsky.social, explains how Iran has shifted its strategy after three years of conflict in the Middle East.

NEW COMMENTARY | How War is Reshaping Iran’s “Axis of Resistance” @hamidrezaaz.bsky.social explains how three years of hostilities have transformed Tehran’s network of allies in the Middle East. www.crisisgroup.org/cmt/middle-e...

🚨 Global conflicts are escalating, and EU foreign policy faces a turning point. Today @crisisgroup.org published our Autumn EU Watch List. From Ukraine to the Amazon, here's where Brussels can make a real difference. 👇 www.crisisgroup.org/euw/europe/e...

“Yemen’s war has entered a dangerous new phase.” Our Senior Analyst on Yemen, Ahmed Nagi, explains how the conflict became a zero-sum game since the Houthis’ lightning offensive began.

NEW VISUAL EXPLAINER | Multiplying Crises, Fraying Consensus at the 2026 UN General Assembly World leaders raised an array of peace and security concerns in their speeches at UNGA. We unpack the competing priorities of UN member states.

NEW Q&A | Israel’s Elections: What’s at Stake? Israelis will soon head to the polls for the first time since the 7 October 2023 attacks and the seismic events that followed. Crisis Group experts look at what issues concern the voters and what change the balloting may bring.

🚨We just published the Autumn Edition of our EU Watch List. This special @crisisgroup.org report highlights global crises that the #EuropeanUnion should urgently address. Here are our latest updates: www.crisisgroup.org/euw/europe/e...

NEW ANALYST’S NOTEBOOK | Ex-President Kabila Leads Rebel Cause as Conflict Smoulders in Eastern DRC Our expert explains how the former DR Congo leader’s decision to join the M23 rebellion will complicate peace talks.

The nuclear balance in Europe is shifting, with states rethinking the role nuclear weapons play in their security. Our new @crisisgroup.org report lays out the problems, the options, & the uncertain future.

For the first time since 2000, when Ethiopia & Eritrea ended their last war, these neighbours now seem poised to engage in frontal combat. Should the two states lock horns, war could also extend across the region. It's not too late to avert an ominous scenario. www.crisisgroup.org/alr/africa/e...

NEW Q&A | Yemen’s War Moves toward Zero-sum Confrontation Forces aligned with Yemen's government have mounted a counteroffensive to reclaim territory held by the Houthi rebels, who struck in Yemen and Saudi Arabia. We explain what might come next.

NEW OP-ED | Has the UN Lost Touch with War? The week in New York confirmed what I had felt for some time: conflict resolution had lost its central place in Turtle Bay’s debates, writes @enripicco.bsky.social.

NEW REPORT | The Changing Role of Nuclear Weapons in Europe European capitals are thinking differently about conventional and nuclear deterrence. Amid heightened tensions, communication is essential to lower risks of misinterpretation and escalation.

“The story of Sudan is not just one shade.” 🎙️ On The Horn, Yousra Elbagir Africa correspondent @skynewsrss.bsky.social talks about how she draws on her personal experience in reporting on Sudan’s war. www.crisisgroup.org/pod/africa/s...

Reflecting on our recent @crisisgroup.org Board of Trustees meeting in The Hague. Inspiring discussions with our Board and supporters on emerging security challenges, regional conflicts, and international cooperation. Grateful for their leadership in advancing our mission to prevent conflict. 👏

🎧 NEW EPISODE | The Horn This week on The Horn, we discuss the renewed conflict in northern Ethiopia and whether it could draw Ethiopia and Eritrea into a wider war.

NEW ALERT | Pulling Ethiopia and Eritrea Back from War Addis Ababa and Asmara are edging closer to a direct conflict, which would cause further mayhem in the troubled Horn of Africa and the Red Sea basin. It is not too late to avert disaster. www.crisisgroup.org/alr/africa/e...

Richard Atwood and Alan Boswell discuss the fighting in Ethiopia’s Tigray region, the risk of direct war between Ethiopia and Eritrea and what may prevent further escalation.

NEW COMMENTARY | The U.S. and UN Will Need More Patience to Resolve Western Sahara Conflict Talks between Morocco and the pro-independence Polisario Front have hit a wall. If they are to broker a compromise, the mediators will have to slow down.

🎧 NEW EPISODE | Hold Your Fire! This week, we discuss the fighting in Ethiopia’s Tigray region, the risk of direct war between Ethiopia and Eritrea and what may prevent further escalation.

Eritrean troops have reportedly started moving into Ethiopia’s north. Our Horn of Africa Director was live on @aljazeera.com to discuss the possible consequences and why the conflict is deteriorating. ⬇

NEW REPORT | Toward a Thaw in the Cambodia-Thailand Border Conflict Hostilities ceased in late 2025. But the truce is under growing strain. The two countries should restore normal diplomatic ties and resume work on demarcating their shared border.

📓 NEW ANALYST'S NOTEBOOK | Myanmar Military Steps Up Airstrikes in Rakhine as Ground Offensive Stalls Our expert explains why the counteroffensive and escalating air attacks by Myanmar's military have dimmed the chances of a ceasefire in Rakhine State. www.crisisgroup.org/anb/asia-pac...

✍️ NEW OP-ED | The New Red Sea Wars Conflicts in the Middle East and the Horn of Africa have become inseparable. The question now is whether the various powers can find a way to manage their different interests, writes our Horn of Africa Director in @foreignaffairs.com.

"There's a lot of frustration at the fact that promises were made that everything was supposed to be much better from the 3rd of January. And of course, it isn't happening for now". @philgunson.bsky.social on the public sentiment in Venezuela, ten months after Maduro's capture, for @cnn.com.

NEW COMMENTARY | Five Energy Market Factors That Could Tip the Scales in the Middle East War Oil, gas and fuel prices are central to the U.S.-Israeli war with Iran. Which five market-shaping developments could affect whether fighting ramps up or de-escalates?

NEW EPISODE | The Horn This week, we discuss a journalist's reportage from inside Sudan’s war, including around El Obeid and El Fasher, how Sudanese are surviving the war and how the war could end.

“A window for diplomacy remains open but it could close all too soon.” @crisisgroup.org's Horn of Africa Deputy, Magnus Taylor, on the devastating slide back to war in northern #Ethiopia.

NEW OP-ED | How the War is Changing the Geography of Iran’s Influence Tehran is losing influence in one arena while acquiring new sources of leverage in another. Our expert explains more.

Israelis go to the polls next month in what some are calling the most important elections in Israel’s history. But three years after the 7 October Hamas attacks and the chain of wars that followed are the most important issues to the outside world are actually being discussed? My latest newsletter.

✍️ NEW OP-ED | The New Forever War. Why America and Iran Fight On Without Victory Both have emerged weaker. Neither can win. But they fight on regardless, because they find the alternatives to be completely unpalatable. @alivaez.bsky.social in @foreignaffairs.com.

“This is a moment that calls for very active, serious, preventive diplomacy. Otherwise, you could have a region-wide conflagration.” Our Africa Director speaks with @cnn.com to talk about ways out of the dangerous escalation in northern Ethiopia.

NEW COMMENTARY | The U.S.-led Anti-ISIS Coalition is Leaving Iraq: What Happens Next? With the Middle East war bringing conflict to the country and questions surrounding the state’s capacity to assert its authority, the significance of the withdrawal is mainly symbolic.