World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther

22 Sept

After the midterms, Bluesky becomes a dating app for lawyers on January 1, 2027. Thank you for your attention to this matter.

echeloninsights.comOctober 2024 Verified Voter Omnibus - Echelon InsightsWe polled voters on the state of the 2024 election, who they expect to win, and if they see this election as fundamentally existential.

Ok, just to clear something up, Echelon is not an R-biased firm for polling. They had Harris +2 as their final poll in 2024, they don’t rig numbers ever. echeloninsights.com/insights/in-...

Dang Florida in-movers really are R+40

George Pearkes@peark.es

Aw nuts *BOLSONARO EN ROUTE TO THE US, FOLHA REPORTS CITING ALLIES

38m

Describe a Charles-LePage-Jackson voter

37m

We already have real life Dunlap/Collins voters

en.wikipedia.orgMoody v. NetChoice, LLC - Wikipedia

Fun fact: NetChoice sued Moody and lost en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moody_v...

Political Poll Bot@pollresults.org

Florida US Senate Oct 16 - 23, 2026 Ashley Moody (R) 51% (+8.0%) Angie Nixon (D) 43% Don't know 4% Neil Gillespie (I) 3% Would not vote 0% Someone else 0% Echelon Insights (A-) 515 LV Sponsor: NetChoice View Poll

vermontpublic.orgJohn Rodgers sought to tie Molly Gray to ‘mistreatment of migrant workers.’ Here’s what records showMolly Gray is not involved in the operation of Four Corners Farm, according to her brother, farm manager Peter Gray.

Apparently, this might be because Rodgers said that the Democrat, Molly Gray, did nothing while her family mistreated migrant workers on her their farm. 🤷‍♂️😵‍💫 www.vermontpublic.org/local-news/2...

World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther@corncobanalysis.bsky.social

John Rodgers, the Republican Lt. Gov candidate, actually gained in this poll. We love the New England median voter.

Yes we have a Republican speaking out for migrant rights to attack a Democrat

We taught this political expert to understand the politics of the median New England voter and he hanged himself

bsky.app/profile/corn...

World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther@corncobanalysis.bsky.social

John Rodgers, the Republican Lt. Gov candidate, actually gained in this poll. We love the New England median voter.

John Rodgers, the Republican Lt. Gov candidate, actually gained in this poll. We love the New England median voter.

Political Poll Bot@pollresults.org

Vermont Governor Oct 23 - 25, 2026 Phil Scott (R) 49% (+3.0%) Amanda Janoo (D) 46% Don't know 3% Someone else 2% State Navigate (B/C) 1752 LV View Poll

Interesting

Political Poll Bot@pollresults.org

Texas US Senate Oct 13 - 21, 2026 James Talarico (D) 50% (+5.0%) Ken Paxton (R) 45% Don't know 5% Someone else 1% Would not vote 0% YouGov (B) 1000 RV Sponsor: Univision View Poll

14h

We’d all trade Bobby Charles as Maine Governor for ousting Collins, right? that’d be the funniest outcome ever

14h

I think most Mainers would take that, although apparently the environment would be red enough they could lose the state legislature 😒😦

Could you imagine what New England shifting to the right of the nation would do to our politics? It’d actually upend liberal life forever

14h

Mostly because New England has 12 Senate seats (thanks to the British). Ousting Collins is so important bc holding all 12 is essentially a pre-requisite for any structural reform.

maristpoll.marist.eduHome of the Marist Poll | Polls, Analysis, Learning, and MoreThe Marist Institute for Public Opinion (MIPO) is a survey research center. MIPO is home to the Marist Poll and conducts polls on politics, the economy, sports, technology and more at the local, state...

Hannah Pingree needed the money after all, Andy Beshear vindicated. /s

Eric Michael Garcia@ericmgarcia.bsky.social

NEW MARIST POLL LIKELY VOTERS OF MAINE: Jackson 49% Collins 47% Pingree 44% Charles 44% maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/the-mi...

if you look at this poll more closely, this is actually an awesome poll for Troy Jackson lol

World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther@corncobanalysis.bsky.social

The Maine generic ballot is D+5 on Marist! That would be a 7 pt shift right from 2024! RED WAVE

The Maine generic ballot is D+5 on Marist! That would be a 7 pt shift right from 2024! RED WAVE

World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther reposted

@djsoke.bsky.social

Also why is the gov race tied LOL maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/the-mi...

Dj@djsoke.bsky.social

what

I'm so brain damaged that I burst out laughing at a poll (Maine governor being tied in Marist)

World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther reposted

twitch.tvElectionCord - TwitchElectionCord's Twitch Page! We specialize in US Elections with a focus on Demographics. You'll see polling numbers, demographic numbers, and even some random stuff! — ElectionCord streams live on Twit...

18h

We are going to be streaming for a little bit for the Marist Poll drop starting around 11:30 PM EST. We are trying to get to 25 followers to reach affiliate, so help us out and drop a follow! LINK: www.twitch.tv/electioncord

As percentage of 2024, overall, this is worse than almost all of Texas right now. And yes, it is mostly Dems voting, but these are not barn-burner totals. Shows how much headline campaigns can drive voter interest.

SK@sstratpolitics.bsky.social

NYC early voting day 3 2026 compared to early voting history

Brooklyn and Manhattan, in particular, are kinda flops so far

So…in the midst of the Vivek unpleasantness, I feel like Ohio going back on the board as purple would be national political sea change. Can it be maintained? It’s certainly on track to swing harder left than: Minnesota, Michigan, Wisconsin, and possibly Pennsylvania (by House vote). That’s wild!

15 Congressional districts and 17 Electoral College votes back in play would be an enormous help for the Dems.

washingtonpost.comBolsonaro effectively concedes in Brazil after Trump suggests he won’t helpTrump says the presidential election looked “rigged” but did not say he planned to intervene on behalf of the right-wing politician.

17h

This is actually a fairly good sign that Trump won’t intervene for any of the moron Republicans next week either

Matthew Hay Brown@matthewhaybrown.bsky.social

“Flávio has given up,” a Bolsonaro family adviser told The Washington Post. “He’s terrified. He is worried his father will die in jail, that he himself will be jailed this week, and that he may have a long prison term ahead”

World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther reposted

electioncord.comThe Case For a Polling Miss (For Both Parties)

21h

NOW OUT: I wanted to discuss the always fun topic of polling misses, and how there could be a reasonable case made for misses for both parties, or no one! LINK: electioncord.com/the-case-for...

World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther reposted

The Upshot

@upshot.nytimes.com

www.nytimes.com/interactive/...

nytimes.comBrazil Election Results in Maps: How Lula Came Back (Gift Article)Maps show where Brazil’s progressive president surged ahead to win re-election, a dramatic reversal from the first round of voting.

😭

Still great for Dems, but finally R’s took the lead

Well, it may sound absurd, but I think this is a fairly good sign that RedBox Research/A Fight Worth Having is a real pollster. They paid Braun Research (a real firm) $10K in April for polling on their FEC filing, so clearly they've established themselves as a buyer in the market.

PAC polls are often biased and terrible, however, so you shouldn't take this too seriously.

afightworthhaving.comPolling Center | RedBox ResearchRedBox Research's October 2026 polls of likely voters: every race, the seats that could flip, leader approval and each poll's crosstabs and methodology.

Dem group appears to have commissioned 35 polls here Not going to detail them, most are good for Dems. afightworthhaving.com/polling

fec.govA FIGHT WORTH HAVING - committee overview - FEC.govExplore current and historic federal campaign finance data on the new fec.gov. Look at totals and trends, and see how candidates and committees raise and spend money. When you find what you need, expo...

This PAC does have an FEC filing and raised $486K. that would automatically raise this poll to “not entirely fake” status www.fec.gov/data/committ...

World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther reposted

I do kind of wonder what would happen if the US had a runoff system for President. Would Harris have been able to win?

You all hated the top two primary until it worked in Brazil

World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther reposted

Lula's secret? It could be that he has a hat on in the picture they're using for election results. Maybe Democrats need to wear more hats to ensure victory...

MLC@chicyph80.bsky.social

OMG!!!! Is Lula about to pull this off?!! Serbia and Brazil in the same day?!?!

The Steelers won 3 straight and Lula came back to win, time for me to eat crow

World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther@corncobanalysis.bsky.social

Everyone in the US wonders “damn how can we get a working class leader with good social and economic politics“ and that was Lula. He is a legend. He also looks like Steelers Aaron Rodgers out there sometimes

Idk if this means anything with the Rubio State Dept, but, should be noted Lula and Trump apparently got along very well at their last summit. Which is funny. www.france24.com/en/americas/...

are there any old men that Trump won’t compliment??

If there had been a 2024 presidential runoff because Trump didn’t get 50%, would Dems have won it?

World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther reposted

eva

@glorianas.bsky.social

lula

Lula rn

Magenta@magentab.bsky.social

from the electioncord discord

World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther reposted

Magenta

@magentab.bsky.social

from the electioncord discord

Lula clearly went on João Rogan

World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther reposted

Magenta

@magentab.bsky.social

flavio bolsonaro

CRUCIAL Wãokesha County in Minais Gerais

Yeah I can’t believe Lula is in position to pull this off. Will take the L, along with the gamblers