Corey Hinderstein

Corey Hinderstein

@coreyah.bsky.social

Talk to me about British quiz shows, podcasts, Mets, Caps, gymnastics, F1 (but not on Netflix), nukes, cozy cooking shows, and decaf melanges. She/Her.

489 followers144 following60 posts

Amazing what David, Frank and I were able to do in 1998, but what Jeffrey can do now with more data and tools expands the possibilities. It was great to spend last week with colleagues and reinvigorate the conversation about open source analysis. (h/t Stanley Center and Global Risks Fund).

Jeffrey Lewis@armscontrolwonk.bsky.social

Pakistan announced nuclear explosions at two sites in 1998: five at Ras Koh on May 28, then another in the Kharan Desert on May 30. @coreyah.bsky.social identified where the Kharan shot likely happened. I processed 1998 SPOT & LANDSAT imagery and ... she's right! Clear ground disturbance.

Corey Hinderstein reposted

We have long said that an accident anywhere is an accident everywhere. I also think an accident anytime is an accident for all time. We can (and I would say must) get nuclear energy right to address the climate crisis but we have to learn from the past. carnegieendowment.org/emissary/202...

carnegieendowment.orgChernobyl Is Still a Current Event, Forty Years LaterThe 1986 incident showed that a nuclear accident anytime is a nuclear accident for all time.

Senator Chris Murphy @carnegieendowment.org: war in Iran “one of the most significant foreign policy mistakes” of our lifetimes despite Iran being a “consistent and confounding” enemy of the United States.

View full thread

@chrismuphyct says we are seeing limits of our might, especially in Middle East. Was Trump seduced by Bibi? By military planners who mistook capabilities for strategy? Likely just gross incompetence. Trump has “broken” Middle East, global energy markets, US economy.

Senator Chris Murphy @carnegieendowment.org: war in Iran “one of the most significant foreign policy mistakes” of our lifetimes despite Iran being a “consistent and confounding” enemy of the United States.

More @chrismurphyct War likely to end with Iran being more powerful than it was before it started. Stated objectives of destroying missile capability, regime change, navy and drone forces eliminated, and stopping Iran from getting a nuclear weapon not met and may be worse.

More consequences via @chrismuphyct: Iran can “toggle” global energy prices at will via control of Strait of Hormuz, closer to China, regime more entrenched after weakening of last year.

President Trump's interview on 60 Minutes did very little to clarify his stance on the United States resuming full-scale nuclear tests for the first time in more than three decades. Let's look at some of his statements. 1/11

View full thread

The right response is not for the United States to be the first to blow up (pun intended) the moratorium that has held since the 1990s, but seek clarification on what they are doing with reciprocal insight into the US program so we don't end up in an escalation based on fear and accusations. 11/11

President Trump's interview on 60 Minutes did very little to clarify his stance on the United States resuming full-scale nuclear tests for the first time in more than three decades. Let's look at some of his statements. 1/11

View full thread

Trump said that Russia, China, North Korea, Pakistan are all "testing" and went on to say, "You don't necessarily know where they're testing," and "They [test] underground where people don't know exactly what's happening with the test." Here, he is a little right and a lot wrong. 8/11

The only country to do underground nuclear tests in recent years is North Korea, last in 2017. We know this because the CTBTO International Monitoring System can detect any full scale nuclear weapons tests, anywhere in the world and has proven it. www.ctbto.org/our-work/int... 9/11

ctbto.orgThe International Monitoring SystemThe International Monitoring System (IMS) is a unique global network that, when complete, will consist of 321 monitoring stations and 16 laboratories hosted by 89 countries around the globe.

President Trump's interview on 60 Minutes did very little to clarify his stance on the United States resuming full-scale nuclear tests for the first time in more than three decades. Let's look at some of his statements. 1/11

View full thread

China is also testing nuclear delivery vehicles. Spoiler alert: so does the US, including a planned Sentinel ICBM flight test in 2026. When Trump said on 60 Minutes, "I'm saying that we're going to test nuclear weapons like other countries do." This would indicate status quo. 7/11

President Trump's interview on 60 Minutes did very little to clarify his stance on the United States resuming full-scale nuclear tests for the first time in more than three decades. Let's look at some of his statements. 1/11

View full thread

...the fastest measured supercomputer in the world, the DAHRT and Z machines, and more. More includes the PULSE facility at Nevada where we combine nuclear material and high explosives to study nuclear weapons performance WITHOUT creating a chain reaction, consistent with our int'l commitments. 5/11

President Trump's interview on 60 Minutes did very little to clarify his stance on the United States resuming full-scale nuclear tests for the first time in more than three decades. Let's look at some of his statements. 1/11

One answer to the question, "So why do we need to test our nuclear weapons?" was "Well, because you have to see how they work." The good news is that we know more about how nuclear weapons work now than we ever did in the era of nuclear testing. 2/11

Corey Hinderstein reposted

Shorter...

Corey Hinderstein@coreyah.bsky.social

My point is that these are investments that are supposed to protect us on bad day, when things are unstable, and when we need tools and processes urgently. It is shortsighted to think we can protect the US and our allies with offensive weapons alone. 5/5

Don't forget that foundational investments in the #NNSA's nonproliferation capabilities mean we have off-the-shelf tools for out-of-the-ordinary situations. With at least 400 kgs of enriched uranium in the wind, what would a regime collapse mean for global security? 1/5

View full thread

My point is that these are investments that are supposed to protect us on bad day, when things are unstable, and when we need tools and processes urgently. It is shortsighted to think we can protect the US and our allies with offensive weapons alone. 5/5

Don't forget that foundational investments in the #NNSA's nonproliferation capabilities mean we have off-the-shelf tools for out-of-the-ordinary situations. With at least 400 kgs of enriched uranium in the wind, what would a regime collapse mean for global security? 1/5

Not to mention the office that supports international inspectors on the ground in Iran providing the world with first-hand information, is cut by another $6 million, after a reduction already in 2025. These experts also support safe expansion of nuclear energy globally. 3/5

Great thread from James.

James Acton@nuclear-jim.bsky.social

Trump just attacked Iran. A few immediate reactions. First off, as a U.S citizen, I'm simply appalled by Trump's refusal to seek Congressional authorization in violation of law and the constitution. Just because it's not surprising doesn't make it any less dreadful. (1/n)

Corey Hinderstein reposted

I’m very worried about the plan for NNSA’s nonpro funding and share why here. Bad for security and bad for deterrence!

Carnegie Endowment @carnegieendowment.org

Slashing nuclear nonproliferation funding, as the Trump administration has requested, would be, for the U.S., “a recipe for national security failure.” @coreyah.bsky.social on why, in her latest for Emissary: carnegieendowment.org/emissary/202...

Joe is a great communicator, so this is a real compliment.

Joe Cirincione@joecirin.bsky.social

I just watched @coreyah.bsky.social deliver a brilliant interview on @msnbc.com. Clear, knowledgeable, balanced. She combines deep knowledge of nuclear weapons technology with critical strategic thinking. She should be a booker’s go-to guest.

It will be very interesting to see how Russia engages with Iran in light of their January 2025 Treaty on Comprehensive Strategic Partnership. I can’t imagine Putin would be happy about any requests that would undermine military objectives in Ukraine.

While I expect Iran to take drastic action, withdrawing from the nuclear nonproliferation treaty and possibly its IAEA safeguards, even less definitive action will come with significant uncertainty. It will be hard to ever, from this day forward, know if we know everything.