Catch Probability

I cannot get the exact fielder position. MLB does not make that publicly available so I use an estimate for these plays. So some probabilities are not accurate. If you have any suggestions contact me: @cory.catchprobability.com

Spencer Horwitz lines out to right fielder Zach McKinstry. Catch probability: 25% Est. Distance Covered: 91.5 ft Exit Velo: 92.2 mph Launch Angle: 22 deg Hit Distance: 324 ft

Riley Greene lines out to right fielder Jake Mangum. Catch probability: 22% Est. Distance Covered: 71.1 ft Exit Velo: 95.2 mph Launch Angle: 18 deg Hit Distance: 294 ft

Leody Taveras out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Cody Bellinger. Pete Alonso scores. Catch probability: 2% Est. Distance Covered: 85.2 ft Exit Velo: 104.8 mph Launch Angle: 14 deg Hit Distance: 326 ft

Paul Goldschmidt out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Christian Franklin. Spencer Jones scores. Catch probability: 22% Est. Distance Covered: 115.9 ft Exit Velo: 98.6 mph Launch Angle: 22 deg Hit Distance: 342 ft

Jarren Duran bunt pops out softly to third baseman José Ramírez in foul territory. Catch probability: 14% Est. Distance Covered: 64.9 ft Exit Velo: 30.9 mph Launch Angle: 57 deg Hit Distance: 56 ft

Luis Arraez flies out to right fielder Luis Lara. Catch probability: 23% Est. Distance Covered: 103.4 ft Exit Velo: 87.6 mph Launch Angle: 28 deg Hit Distance: 328 ft

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. lines out to center fielder Colton Cowser. Catch probability: 11% Est. Distance Covered: 92.5 ft Exit Velo: 102.5 mph Launch Angle: 18 deg Hit Distance: 352 ft

Bobby Witt Jr. lines out sharply to center fielder Brenton Doyle. Catch probability: 20% Est. Distance Covered: 53.0 ft Exit Velo: 107.1 mph Launch Angle: 13 deg Hit Distance: 334 ft

Wyatt Langford out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Juan Soto. Ezequiel Duran scores. Justin Foscue to 3rd. Catch probability: 13% Est. Distance Covered: 116.6 ft Exit Velo: 106.3 mph Launch Angle: 20 deg Hit Distance: 360 ft

Juan Soto flies out sharply to left fielder Wyatt Langford. Catch probability: 23% Est. Distance Covered: 108.7 ft Exit Velo: 100.5 mph Launch Angle: 24 deg Hit Distance: 373 ft

William Contreras out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Brandon Marsh. Garrett Mitchell scores. Catch probability: 13% Est. Distance Covered: 102.7 ft Exit Velo: 81.1 mph Launch Angle: 25 deg Hit Distance: 285 ft

Dylan Crews lines out sharply to center fielder Max Clark. Catch probability: 14% Est. Distance Covered: 60.8 ft Exit Velo: 109.3 mph Launch Angle: 14 deg Hit Distance: 312 ft

Thomas Saggese lines out to right fielder Ronny Simon. Catch probability: 23% Est. Distance Covered: 64.2 ft Exit Velo: 85.1 mph Launch Angle: 19 deg Hit Distance: 247 ft

Travis d'Arnaud lines out to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Catch probability: 14% Est. Distance Covered: 67.4 ft Exit Velo: 96.5 mph Launch Angle: 16 deg Hit Distance: 268 ft

Vaughn Grissom out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Jose Siri scores. Catch probability: 11% Est. Distance Covered: 96.6 ft Exit Velo: 101.6 mph Launch Angle: 18 deg Hit Distance: 309 ft

Victor Scott II lines out to right fielder Braden Montgomery. Catch probability: 22% Est. Distance Covered: 78.9 ft Exit Velo: 92.2 mph Launch Angle: 19 deg Hit Distance: 291 ft

Yainer Diaz lines out to right fielder Victor Mesa Jr. Catch probability: 27% Est. Distance Covered: 103.0 ft Exit Velo: 86.6 mph Launch Angle: 25 deg Hit Distance: 289 ft

Taylor Trammell lines out sharply to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Catch probability: 22% Est. Distance Covered: 72.0 ft Exit Velo: 102.9 mph Launch Angle: 17 deg Hit Distance: 353 ft

Tyrone Taylor out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Billy Cook. Michael Busch scores. Catch probability: 22% Est. Distance Covered: 78.3 ft Exit Velo: 91.6 mph Launch Angle: 19 deg Hit Distance: 285 ft

Cedric Mullins lines out to right fielder Ronald Acuña Jr. Catch probability: 27% Est. Distance Covered: 100.4 ft Exit Velo: 93.8 mph Launch Angle: 23 deg Hit Distance: 311 ft

Sam Antonacci lines out to second baseman Brandon Lowe. Catch probability: 14% Est. Distance Covered: 67.4 ft Exit Velo: 62.0 mph Launch Angle: 25 deg Hit Distance: 169 ft

Mickey Gasper lines out to shortstop Zach Neto. Catch probability: 20% Est. Distance Covered: 53.8 ft Exit Velo: 64.0 mph Launch Angle: 22 deg Hit Distance: 183 ft

Randy Arozarena out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Brandon Nimmo. Josh Naylor scores. Cole Young to 3rd. Catch probability: 25% Est. Distance Covered: 98.0 ft Exit Velo: 98.5 mph Launch Angle: 20 deg Hit Distance: 331 ft

Garrett Mitchell lines out sharply to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Catch probability: 20% Est. Distance Covered: 51.6 ft Exit Velo: 106.9 mph Launch Angle: 13 deg Hit Distance: 329 ft

Ryan Waldschmidt pops out to second baseman Michael Massey. Catch probability: 23% Est. Distance Covered: 104.2 ft Exit Velo: 63.0 mph Launch Angle: 40 deg Hit Distance: 195 ft

Mike Yastrzemski lines out to right fielder Victor Mesa Jr. Catch probability: 22% Est. Distance Covered: 111.4 ft Exit Velo: 99.4 mph Launch Angle: 22 deg Hit Distance: 368 ft

Heriberto Hernández lines out sharply to left fielder Juan Soto. Catch probability: 13% Est. Distance Covered: 102.8 ft Exit Velo: 100.2 mph Launch Angle: 20 deg Hit Distance: 340 ft

Josh Bell out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Brett Callahan. Brooks Lee scores. Catch probability: 27% Est. Distance Covered: 96.2 ft Exit Velo: 85.7 mph Launch Angle: 24 deg Hit Distance: 291 ft

Seiya Suzuki lines out to left fielder Jackson Chourio. Catch probability: 25% Est. Distance Covered: 99.2 ft Exit Velo: 81.1 mph Launch Angle: 25 deg Hit Distance: 278 ft

Thomas Saggese out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Jordan Beck. Joshua Báez scores. Nolan Gorman to 3rd. Catch probability: 27% Est. Distance Covered: 104.4 ft Exit Velo: 93.3 mph Launch Angle: 23 deg Hit Distance: 336 ft

Jackson Holliday lines out to right fielder Wilyer Abreu. Colton Cowser to 3rd. Catch probability: 17% Est. Distance Covered: 113.9 ft Exit Velo: 91.2 mph Launch Angle: 26 deg Hit Distance: 346 ft

Bo Bichette lines out sharply to left fielder Turner Hill. Catch probability: 28% Est. Distance Covered: 63.9 ft Exit Velo: 109.0 mph Launch Angle: 15 deg Hit Distance: 309 ft

Trevor Larnach lines out to right fielder Braden Montgomery. Catch probability: 23% Est. Distance Covered: 65.3 ft Exit Velo: 99.8 mph Launch Angle: 16 deg Hit Distance: 309 ft

Luis Robert Jr. lines out sharply to center fielder Eli White. Catch probability: 28% Est. Distance Covered: 44.8 ft Exit Velo: 112.4 mph Launch Angle: 12 deg Hit Distance: 336 ft

Luis Robert Jr. lines out sharply to center fielder Eli White. Catch probability: 28% Est. Distance Covered: 44.8 ft Exit Velo: 112.4 mph Launch Angle: 12 deg Hit Distance: 336 ft

Agustín Ramírez lines out sharply to right fielder Seiya Suzuki. Catch probability: 12% Est. Distance Covered: 69.6 ft Exit Velo: 103.4 mph Launch Angle: 14 deg Hit Distance: 320 ft

Riley Greene lines out sharply to right fielder Chase DeLauter. Catch probability: 22% Est. Distance Covered: 112.2 ft Exit Velo: 100.7 mph Launch Angle: 22 deg Hit Distance: 372 ft

Daniel Schneemann lines out to second baseman Ernie Clement. Catch probability: 24% Est. Distance Covered: 56.2 ft Exit Velo: 69.3 mph Launch Angle: 21 deg Hit Distance: 171 ft

LaMonte Wade Jr. flies out to right fielder Braden Montgomery. Yainer Diaz to 3rd. Catch probability: 17% Est. Distance Covered: 113.1 ft Exit Velo: 90.7 mph Launch Angle: 26 deg Hit Distance: 329 ft

Chase Meidroth lines out to second baseman Jose Altuve. Catch probability: 5% Est. Distance Covered: 67.7 ft Exit Velo: 55.6 mph Launch Angle: 25 deg Hit Distance: 138 ft

Kody Clemens lines out to right fielder Zach McKinstry. Catch probability: 23% Est. Distance Covered: 63.9 ft Exit Velo: 95.5 mph Launch Angle: 17 deg Hit Distance: 300 ft

Bryan Reynolds lines out sharply to left fielder Turner Hill. Catch probability: 17% Est. Distance Covered: 55.9 ft Exit Velo: 102.3 mph Launch Angle: 13 deg Hit Distance: 266 ft

Jake Bauers flies out to right fielder Tyrone Taylor. Andrew Vaughn to 3rd. Catch probability: 17% Est. Distance Covered: 112.5 ft Exit Velo: 90.1 mph Launch Angle: 26 deg Hit Distance: 335 ft

Mickey Gasper lines out to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Catch probability: 11% Est. Distance Covered: 75.5 ft Exit Velo: 79.8 mph Launch Angle: 20 deg Hit Distance: 242 ft

Daylen Lile lines out to right fielder Ronald Acuña Jr. Catch probability: 27% Est. Distance Covered: 104.1 ft Exit Velo: 97.0 mph Launch Angle: 22 deg Hit Distance: 326 ft

Drew Cavanaugh lines out to shortstop Jared Triolo. Catch probability: 20% Est. Distance Covered: 52.2 ft Exit Velo: 67.9 mph Launch Angle: 21 deg Hit Distance: 185 ft

Juan Brito out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Samad Taylor. Sal Stewart scores. Catch probability: 24% Est. Distance Covered: 100.1 ft Exit Velo: 83.4 mph Launch Angle: 25 deg Hit Distance: 292 ft

Sung-Mun Song out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Ryan Vilade. Samad Taylor scores. Catch probability: 0% Est. Distance Covered: 135.8 ft Exit Velo: 101.7 mph Launch Angle: 45 deg Hit Distance: 338 ft

Matt Olson lines out to left fielder Mickey Moniak. Catch probability: 23% Est. Distance Covered: 60.2 ft Exit Velo: 97.9 mph Launch Angle: 16 deg Hit Distance: 294 ft

Geraldo Perdomo lines out to right fielder Jung Hoo Lee. Catch probability: 22% Est. Distance Covered: 110.6 ft Exit Velo: 80.5 mph Launch Angle: 28 deg Hit Distance: 285 ft