%20--%3E%3Cmetadata%20xmlns%3Ardf%3D%22http%3A%2F%2Fwww.w3.org%2F1999%2F02%2F22-rdf-syntax-ns%23%22%20xmlns%3Axsi%3D%22http%3A%2F%2Fwww.w3.org%2F2001%2FXMLSchema-instance%22%20xmlns%3Adc%3D%22http%3A%2F%2Fpurl.org%2Fdc%2Felements%2F1.1%2F%22%20xmlns%3Adcterms%3D%22http%3A%2F%2Fpurl.org%2Fdc%2Fterms%2F%22%3E%3Crdf%3ARDF%3E%3Crdf%3ADescription%3E%3Cdc%3Atitle%3EShadows%3C%2Fdc%3Atitle%3E%3Cdc%3Acreator%3EDiceBear%3C%2Fdc%3Acreator%3E%3Cdc%3Asource%20xsi%3Atype%3D%22dcterms%3AURI%22%3Ehttps%3A%2F%2Fwww.dicebear.com%3C%2Fdc%3Asource%3E%3Cdcterms%3Alicense%20xsi%3Atype%3D%22dcterms%3AURI%22%3Ehttps%3A%2F%2Fcreativecommons.org%2Fpublicdomain%2Fzero%2F1.0%2F%3C%2Fdcterms%3Alicense%3E%3Cdc%3Arights%3E%E2%80%9CShadows%E2%80%9D%20(https%3A%2F%2Fwww.dicebear.com)%20by%20%E2%80%9CDiceBear%E2%80%9D%2C%20licensed%20under%20%E2%80%9CCC0%201.0%E2%80%9D%20(https%3A%2F%2Fcreativecommons.org%2Fpublicdomain%2Fzero%2F1.0%2F)%3C%2Fdc%3Arights%3E%3C%2Frdf%3ADescription%3E%3C%2Frdf%3ARDF%3E%3C%2Fmetadata%3E%3Cdefs%3E%3Cg%20id%3D%22shoulders-narrow-21eb22bb%22%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M11%2050C11%2018%2023.6%200%2039%200s28%2018%2028%2050Z%22%20fill%3D%22%234a5530%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fg%3E%3Cg%20id%3D%22tops-tuft-21eb22bb%22%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M23%2019c2-12%2016-12%2019-5-6-2-10%202-9%206Z%22%20fill%3D%22%234a5530%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fg%3E%3Cg%20id%3D%22heads-oval-21eb22bb%22%3E%3Cuse%20transform%3D%22matrix(.95%200%200%20.95%204.47%201.84)%22%20href%3D%22%23tops-tuft-21eb22bb%22%2F%3E%3Cellipse%20cx%3D%2231%22%20cy%3D%2238%22%20rx%3D%2218%22%20ry%3D%2221%22%20fill%3D%22%234a5530%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fg%3E%3CclipPath%20id%3D%22clip-21eb22bb%22%3E%3Crect%20width%3D%22100%22%20height%3D%22100%22%20rx%3D%220%22%20ry%3D%220%22%2F%3E%3C%2FclipPath%3E%3C%2Fdefs%3E%3Cg%20clip-path%3D%22url(%23clip-21eb22bb)%22%3E%3Crect%20width%3D%22100%22%20height%3D%22100%22%20fill%3D%22%23ede4e4%22%2F%3E%3Cuse%20transform%3D%22translate(11%2051)%22%20href%3D%22%23shoulders-narrow-21eb22bb%22%2F%3E%3Cuse%20transform%3D%22translate(19%201)%22%20href%3D%22%23heads-oval-21eb22bb%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fg%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E)
Policy Highlights from NBER Summer Institute 2026 www.briefingbook.info/p/policy-hig...
briefingbook.infoPolicy Highlights from NBER Summer Institute 2026Tariffs, health care, safety net access, labor
Briefing Book
Briefing Book
@briefingbook.bsky.social
The economic analysis policymakers get, from their expert former staffers • Subscribe at https://www.briefingbook.info
886 followers14 following60 posts
The Child and Dependent Care Tax Credit Falls Short—But It Could Do Better www.briefingbook.info/p/the-child-...
briefingbook.infoThe Child and Dependent Care Tax Credit Falls Short—But It Could Do BetterIncreased generosity and better targeting at adult caregivers would make a difference
Do Group Unemployment Rates Send Warning Signs about the Broader Labor Market? www.briefingbook.info/p/do-group-u...
briefingbook.infoDo Group Unemployment Rates Send Warning Signs about the Broader Labor Market?Labor market commentary often discusses unemployment rates for certain groups as potential leading indicators for the overall unemployment rate. I test that idea for several commonly mentioned groups.
Did the CHIPS Act Trigger the Manufacturing Construction Boom? www.factorysettings.org/cp/190371400
factorysettings.orgDid the CHIPS Act Trigger the Manufacturing Construction Boom?A forensic accounting of industrial policy effects
Recent SNAP Changes will Cost the Feds Less by Putting the Burden on Families and States www.briefingbook.info/p/recent-sna...
briefingbook.infoRecent SNAP Changes will Cost the Feds Less by Putting the Burden on Families and StatesThe One Big Beautiful Bill will cost states more while SNAP participants will receive less
Trump Accounts as an Opportunity to Reduce Exponential Growth Bias and Improve Financial Security www.briefingbook.info/p/trump-acco...
briefingbook.infoTrump Accounts as an Opportunity to Reduce Exponential Growth Bias and Improve Financial SecurityThe new children's savings accounts offer financial education opportunities -- but choice architecture is likely to have a bigger influence on their ability to deliver broad-based wealth accumulation.
How Tougher Immigration Enforcement Can Undermine Public Safety www.briefingbook.info/p/how-toughe...
briefingbook.infoHow Tougher Immigration Enforcement Can Undermine Public SafetyNew research finds that immigrant deportations can increase crime, through reducing victim engagement with law enforcement
Talking Shop: Abundance and Health Policy, with Nick Bagley www.briefingbook.info/p/talking-sh...
briefingbook.infoTalking Shop: Abundance and Health Policy, with Nick BagleyArtificial scarcity, entrenched incumbents, insurance expansion, Medicaid cuts, and bending the cost curve
Riding prevalence of disability is part of COVID-19’s evolving labor market legacy www.briefingbook.info/p/rising-pre...
briefingbook.infoRising prevalence of disability is part of COVID-19's evolving labor market legacyNegative effects on labor force participation persist, as do higher rates of disability and employment among those with disabilities
Tax Credits and the Safety Net: Proven Tools That Could Do Even More www.briefingbook.info/p/tax-credit...
briefingbook.infoTax Credits and the Safety Net: Proven Tools That Could Do Even MoreThe EITC and CTC effectively deliver over $180 billion in aid annually and could still be improved
Delivering the Future: Why the Postal Service Needs a New Model www.briefingbook.info/p/delivering...
briefingbook.infoDelivering the Future: Why the Postal Service Needs a New ModelFrom Self-Financing to Public Investment in National Infrastructure
Los Angeles Shows That the Private Sector Can Develop Affordable Housing www.briefingbook.info/p/los-angele...
briefingbook.infoLos Angeles Shows That the Private Sector Can Develop Affordable HousingSurvey data from Los Angeles also show that a majority of residents support new building in their neighborhoods
The Economic Case for Higher Birth Rates Is Bigger than You Think www.briefingbook.info/p/the-econom...
briefingbook.infoThe Economic Case for Higher Birth Rates Is Bigger than You ThinkThe fiscal challenges of an aging population matter, but the innovation and progress that could be lost in a shrinking world matter even more
How Cuts to the Insurance Marketplaces Will Harm Entrepreneurs www.briefingbook.info/p/how-cuts-t...
briefingbook.infoHow Cuts to the Insurance Marketplaces Will Harm EntrepreneursSmall business owners and the self-employed rely on the marketplaces, and coverage is about to become less affordable
Quick hits: Reactions to the Proposal by Senators Cassidy and Kaine to Rescue Social Security www.briefingbook.info/p/quick-hits...
briefingbook.infoQuick hits: Reactions to the Proposal by Senators Cassidy and Kaine to Rescue Social SecurityWould the rescue work?
The real issues facing the Social Security program aren’t inefficiency or fraud www.briefingbook.info/p/the-real-i...
briefingbook.infoThe real issues facing the Social Security program aren’t inefficiency or fraudStrengthening the program’s future will require balancing tradeoffs of increasing revenue and reducing benefits
Why do some jobs pay better than others? Think about what workers do www.briefingbook.info/p/why-do-som...
briefingbook.infoWhy do some jobs pay better than others? Think about what workers doPolicy matters, but don't forget the fundamentals
The economic and geopolitical failings of Trump’s tariffs www.briefingbook.info/p/the-econom...
briefingbook.infoThe economic and geopolitical failings of Trump’s tariffsTrump tariffs will raise U.S. prices by 5.4% and lower real income by 0.8%. They hurt close U.S. allies much more than the Chinese economy.
Neither stable nor genius: the misguided legislative attempt to regulate stablecoins www.briefingbook.info/p/neither-st...
briefingbook.infoNeither stable nor genius: the misguided legislative attempt to regulate stablecoinsBills moving through Congress would leave consumers and taxpayers exposed to volatile crypto products
Deliberate policy decisions have disempowered workers and increased labor market inequality www.briefingbook.info/p/deliberate...
briefingbook.infoDeliberate policy decisions have disempowered workers and increased labor market inequalityThe new State of Working America Data Library shows the latest trends in productivity, wages, labor markets, unionization and CEO pay
Highway investment probably didn’t go up under Biden - this matters for future policy design www.briefingbook.info/p/highway-in...
briefingbook.infoHighway investment probably didn’t go up under Biden – this matters for future policy designData sources vary, but the most relevant data source suggests that highway spending, adjusted for inflation, declined. If true, we should rethink federal infrastructure funding in times of distress.
No delusions: Bidenomics wasn’t perfect, but it did many great things (cross-posted to Briefing Book) open.substack.com/pub/econjare...
open.substack.comNo delusions: Bidenomics wasn't perfect, but it did many great thingsResponding to Jason Furman
Population adjustments will cause the next jobs report to be misinterpreted and misconstrued www.briefingbook.info/p/population...
briefingbook.infoPopulation adjustments will cause the next jobs report to be misinterpreted and misconstruedThe recent surge in immigration made the household survey especially hard to interpret, but if historical data were revised, we’d see that the labor force has grown smoothly and steadily
Beyond the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act: Why It’s Time to Rethink Business Taxation www.briefingbook.info/p/beyond-the...
briefingbook.infoBeyond the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act: Why It’s Time to Rethink Business TaxationCorporate integration would make business taxes simpler, fairer, and more efficient
Digging into post-election partisan shifts in consumer sentiment www.briefingbook.info/p/digging-in...
briefingbook.infoDigging into post-election partisan shifts in consumer sentimentRepublicans expect to be doing better personally even as Trump’s agenda risks reigniting inflation, everyone’s top concern
Quick hits: Policy-relevant research at ASSA 2025 www.briefingbook.info/p/quick-hits...
briefingbook.infoQuick hits: Policy-relevant research at ASSA 2025Weeks of it, packed into three days
Breaking down the budget baseline: what it means for the TCJA extension debate www.briefingbook.info/p/breaking-d...
briefingbook.infoBreaking down the budget baseline: what it means for the TCJA extension debateAssumptions could put trillions of dollars of policy changes on the table, or not
Quick hits: Policies to think about as the administration changes www.briefingbook.info/p/quick-hits...
briefingbook.infoQuick hits: Policies to think about as the administration changesTrade, civil service protections, Medicaid waivers, retirement security, the Paperwork Reduction Act, and more
Local immigration surges did not swing the local presidential vote in 2024 www.briefingbook.info/p/local-immi...
briefingbook.infoLocal immigration surges did not swing the local presidential vote in 2024Local immigration rates don’t explain election results, but they could show where the next administration’s immigration policies will have the most impact
Why broad-based import tariffs can hurt exports and manufacturing jobs www.briefingbook.info/p/why-broad-...
briefingbook.infoWhy broad-based import tariffs can hurt exports and manufacturing jobsAcross-the-board tariff hikes can inhibit long-term competitiveness because manufacturers rely on imported inputs and contribute disproportionately to overall exports and manufacturing job growth
Gas prices have dropped and are poised for further declines www.briefingbook.info/p/gas-prices...
briefingbook.infoGas prices have dropped and are poised for further declinesThe plunge in crude oil prices on Monday, following Israel's decision to avoid attacking Iranian energy facilities, should further reduce already low pump prices.