Sam Heller | سام هيلر

Sam Heller | سام هيلر

@abujamajem.com

Researcher and analyst looking at Lebanon, Syria and the wider neighborhood. Senior @cipolicy.bsky.social Fellow. Former @tcfdotorg.bsky.social @crisisgroup.org. "Jamajem" means ☠️. www.abujamajem.com

5.2K followers412 following3.8K posts

Also says Iran's 2024 missile strikes broke Iranian deterrence, by demonstrating previously notional capabilities that Israel and U.S. systems could manage 👇🏻 I've tended to focus on Sept-Nov '24 blow to Hizbullah as what unleashed Israel regionally, but this also makes sense.

Sam Heller | سام هيلر reposted

thrilled thrilled thrilled that this can be about all the enduring structural obstacles to Lula's victory instead of a map to his defeat

Center for International Policy@cipolicy.bsky.social

Waiting for election returns in Brazil? Read our Q&A with @mpaarlberg.bsky.social on the return on Bolsonarismo and the hurdles before Lula despite material improvements in Brazilian lives internationalpolicy.org/publications...

Sam Heller | سام هيلر reposted

Israeli settlement expansion and settler violence are out of control. The last three years saw 50,000 West Bank Palestinians forced from their homes by Israeli military operations, demolitions and settler terror attacks. Now, dozens of lawmakers led by @joaquincastrotx.bsky.social are pushing back.

Sam Heller | سام هيلر reposted

My assumptions have been, based in part on March 2 Hizbullah rocket barrage: • Current partial calm in Lebanon only temporary before resumption of open war; • Framework agreement embarrassing but ultimately moot because it will be superseded by renewed war; 1/2

• Hizbullah will again engage in tandem with Iran, when Iran front re-ignites, to coordinate efforts and secure Lebanon’s place in Iran-negotiated outcome; • Hizbullah quiet not evidence of weakness or incapability; rather deliberate as it prepares for next round. 2/2

Sam Heller | سام هيلر reposted

Devastating news for “what about Sudan” posters as Israel makes it state policy that they “consider friendly” the RSF

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Christina Goldbaum, Samuel Granados and Adina Renner @nytimes.com on the extent to which Israel has destroyed south Lebanon occupation zone since April ceasefire: www.nytimes.com/interactive/... Israeli military says actions consistent with "the understandings reached between Israel and Lebanon."

nytimes.comIsrael’s Destruction of Southern Lebanon Intensified After the Cease-FireMuch of Israeli-occupied southern Lebanon has been leveled, according to a Times analysis. The majority has been destroyed by Israel since the April truce.

Under-noticed that this video featured Gad Saad, for some reason

Conclusion of latest Ici Beirut promo for Lebanon-Israel normalization makes it sound like video producers brought it pre-packaged to website: "I want to thank This Is Beirut website for giving us the opportunity to send our message, spread our message toward the Lebanese…"

How did everyone’s 2026 resolution go, to look like Bane Mine went pretty good, I think

For anyone who has 40 minutes left on a flight and wants to watch "The Dark Knight Rises: Only the Bane Parts": *1:30 *24:20 41:10 53:55 *1:03:35 *1:11:25 1:17:55 1:20:40 1:23:15 *1:27:40 *1:36:40 1:52:35 2:07:15 2:11:25 2:14:45 2:21:40 2:22:35 (* denotes essential Bane)

جاد فياض في "النهار": "كيف تتفادى سوريا العودة إلى الوراء؟ 4 باحثين يجيبون عبر "النهار"" annah.ar/355762 مشاركتي حول السياسة الاقتصادية للسلطات الجديدة:

For anyone who has 40 minutes left on a flight and wants to watch "The Dark Knight Rises: Only the Bane Parts": *1:30 *24:20 41:10 53:55 *1:03:35 *1:11:25 1:17:55 1:20:40 1:23:15 *1:27:40 *1:36:40 1:52:35 2:07:15 2:11:25 2:14:45 2:21:40 2:22:35 (* denotes essential Bane)