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RAIN?! ☔️ The 12z GFS manages to bring a band of rain across central & southern counties through Tuesday night & into Wednesday. It would be the first meaningful rainfall for 2 months. Other models have this feature being much more patchy / showery, however.

Won't happen Even if it does, 10mm of rain in a few hours won't do much for anyone if it's dry for three weeks again. We need a really prolonged unsettled spell over the autumn to start recovering now.

It does look like that might lead in a period of at least slightly unsettled weather; both the GFS and ECMWF have > 20% POPs for 5+ days starting later next week. Fingers crossed!

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