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Daniel Swain, a must follow for weather nerds and Californians generally, here sounds the alarm about the upcoming winter rain season.

Daniel Swain@weatherwest.bsky.social

Just did some number crunching using latest (Oct 1) ECMWF seasonal data, and I must say that I've never seen such high predictive confidence in a very wet California winter. This is a truly extraordinary forecast amid a record-strength El Niño event. [Thread: please read to end.]

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