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mikeinsdevon.bsky.social
@mikeinsdevon.bsky.social

The papers imagined it? FWIW think this one looks a bit outlier-ish, Lib Dems and Tories both look too low. Also disagree with some individual seats in the custom nowcast (can't see any scenario where Lab hold Pendle & Clitheroe or Poole + for obvious reasons doubt they hold NE Somerset & Hanham)

Tim Wakeling
@timwakeling.co.uk

Not really. It's a weak and preliminary sign that the EU talk hasn't caused a big problem, but that's about it. I want to rejoin the EU and hope we do - but this is not evidence of anything.

Wry Origin
@wryorigin.bsky.social

Could be any number of things, given Burnham's speech wasn't short of hot button topics. Most likely though, it is the predictable conference bounce on the fringes of margin of error, that may well disappear with the next news cycle.

Alex Ginger
@alexginger.bsky.social

The Lib Dems look very low in this. Could just be margin of error. But worth keeping in mind I would expect a lot of Lib Dems to be prepared to vote Labour next election for the possibility of a change in voting system

Poet Sue
@poetsue.bsky.social

Yougov looking more and more like an outlier now. Who runs Yougov I wander?? All that have been done after Bunham speech have gone up at least 3%.....

Wry Origin
@wryorigin.bsky.social

Why does one rogue poll need to suggest the organisation that produced it has an agenda? It will just be an outlier and correct itself next week. Not all polling companies are JL Partners.

Neil
@neiljl.bsky.social

With yesterday's More in Common having Labour on 27 and Survation having Labour on 29 there seems a pattern developing