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@devolvedelections.bsky.social

Our projection on the final Scoop/YouGov poll by @scotvoting.bsky.social 🎗️ SNP — 57 🌹 Lab — 15 🌳 Con — 9 🌱 GP — 16 🐤 LD — 9 ➡️ Ref — 23 ⚪ Other — 0 devolvedelections.co.uk/scotland/

27/2/26, 2:19 pm3 reposts9 likes

Devolved Election Projections

@devolvedelections.bsky.social

27 Feb

This is ok for the SNP, some of the constituency seat losses are very marginal so are basically a coin flip, and the strength of the Greens on the list keeps the pro-indy side ahead.

Devolved Election Projections

@devolvedelections.bsky.social

27 Feb

This is pretty poor for Labour. I think its the first time we've had them behind in Dumbarton, although it is another one of the coinflips.

Devolved Election Projections

@devolvedelections.bsky.social

27 Feb

We have yet to remove the Greens from places they aren't going to stand, we're waiting for that to be confirmed before digging them out of the system. I think it will have some unexpected effects.

Freyja ~ Jade

@freyjafirefly23.bsky.social

27 Feb

Greens 16, love that. 💚😁

“Rebellious Scots” 😎🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🇪🇺

@markrich68.bsky.social

27 Feb

Very different from MRP, predicting 67 SNP 🤷🏻‍♂️ 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🇪🇺😎

Devolved Election Projections

@devolvedelections.bsky.social

27 Feb

My thoughts on that one.

Devolved Election Projections@devolvedelections.bsky.social

People are welcome to make projections based on whatever method they like. But, the entirely unsurprising claim that 25% of Labour voters prefer the SNP to Reform does not mean they will go out and vote for the SNP in places Reform have never stood a candidate!