Post

💯 however missing key point: EUR must also arm itself against u$a & its controller.. for survival...

Surely the short term is the time we must worry about. Once European industry can match the lack of US weapons we are safe. But until then we are at the mercy of a coordinated USA-Russia axis. I need proof to believe such an axis does not exist at the present time, again in a few years this dies.

This is correct. Opportunity though is Europe plus Canada plus AU/NZ plus Japan. There's also the MW angle. Arab countries have just found out that USA doesn't have their backs.

Exactly, Ian.

Germany's General Staff has been very clear about the window for and increasing probability of a large-scale Russian operation against eastern Europe 2029-2031 (2033 being the horizon outlier). French General Staff concur. UK General Staff are revising their time horizon closer to the DE/FR one.

Which Europeans? Because rasha has already fucked with half of them and the other half just don’t know it yet.

2/ Ukraine to be left without weapons, chaos to ensue due to fuel shortages, Russia and Belarus to suppress Ukraine, and the EU will fry because it's firing missiles and ammunition in two weeks.

1/ It's quite the opposite. Since 2022, I keep hearing that Russia is already losing. For this reason, the EU has been doing nothing for four years. All it takes is for the US to destroy NATO,

"We're insulated so what do we care"

How about instead of keeping Ukraine from falling, we do enough to help them actually win? This is so cynical, giving them just enough to bleed both countries dry.

bsky.app/profile/joha...

No one should listen to Rutte. As Mère Ubu said: ne l’écoutez pas, il est imbécile.

They are all as dumb as they appear Johnson ?? Not a chance And the main "man" miller .. my god .. completely insane and revolting But only trump has the "appeal" He does have something It's just not presidential

The best way to deter any bad intentions of Russia is to build strong defences, and respond robustly to asymmetric threats.

Les US n'ont pas respecté le mémorandum de Budapest, je ne vois pas pourquoi ils respecteraient l'article 5 de l'OTAN en cas d'intrusion russe dans les pays baltes, surtout avec trump.

Maybe if he can see that he is losing in Ukraine. If he believes that whatever he does in Ukraine won't work, he might try something else. Threatening or attacking into the Baltics might spook the Europeans to pressure Ukraine into "peace" or at the very least divert arms from Ukraine to ourselves

That's a view shared by the General Staffs of the Bundeswehr, French Armed Forces and, increasingly, UK Armed Forces and others, especially of the Baltic states and Scandinavia. Furthermore, Russia could potentially mount some kind of "polite people"/hybrid op akin to Crimea 2014 prior to then. 2/

That is a politician’s way to calm the public. @jarlov.bsky.social know what Russia is capable of.

> If you're citing a vague ability to "test the alliance" as a reason not to build independent European defence without the US, I find that a very strange argument. What an aggressively weird take, considering who you are replying to 🫤

Russia is not too exhausted by the war in Ukraine to also attack the Baltic states (and by that the European Union). You see it as two different wars, but for Russia it would be two fronts in the same war, and it would be about diverting our resources from Ukraine to ourselves.