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Making a roguelike is fun because you’ll get an email like “BUG: Game said there was an only a 1 in 5 chance of something bad happening and it happened. Please fix”

DrLilo

@drlilo.bsky.social

16 July 2025

I think you mentioned in one of your videos that some devs lie about the odds because human brains perceive chance in such a biased way. 90% chance should actually be 99% or people complain, right?

Tyler Glaiel

@tylerglaiel.com

16 July 2025

I think it was xcom or fire emblem that did this for hit probabilities. IMO I prefer designs where RNG is a conscious choice, like you are making a tradeoff of +something in exchange for a failure chance, and in those cases accurate percents are better

Daiz

@daiz.moe

Fire Emblem is the one that fudges the numbers more with high% more likely to hit and low% more likely to miss. XCOM's RNG is infamous in large part due to the percentages being exactly what the user sees (though it does cheat in favor of the player under specific conditions on lower difficulties)

16/7/25, 7:23 pm0 reposts15 likes

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