Post

Here’s the uncomfortable truth: Air power alone doesn’t win wars. Symbolic strikes don’t create strategy. And if you engage in war, you either commit to an achievable outcome or you shouldn’t start it in the first place. open.substack.com/pub/adamkinz...

open.substack.comNeither Winning Nor LeavingThe United States is stuck in the most dangerous place possible: a war with Iran we won’t end and won’t fully fight.

625 reposts2.5K likes

Donald knows nothing about winning a war. Hegseth knows nothing about winning a war. There are likely a few yet-unfired Generals left who DO know how to win a war------but they don't dare say a word about it to either Donald or Hegseth, for fear of losing their jobs (and benefits).

Trump is useless in negotiations, his solution is always destruction of the opponent. It’s all he he ever does: “Winner takes all”. This isn’t going to work with Iran

Adam Kinzinger Here’s the uncomfortable truth: And if you engage in war, you either commit to an achievable outcome or you shouldn’t start it in the first place. == Missing w/trump's war - An ideal. WWII fought against Nazi's & freedom -- trumpWI - to protect a corrupt grifter & his ego

👍🏼 #israel_mossad_epstein #8647 🪏⚰️🪦 #2547 #impeach_trump #defund_ice #no_kings #no_wars #epstein_fuel_tax #pedophile_trump #felon_trump #rapist_trump #hooker_melania #barron_jeffery_epstein

Drone power can.... Just ask Ukraine.. where 95% of all KIA russians are killed by drones... where Ground drowns hold defensive lines and attack offensively and they both take prisoners... as Far as the US... 20 years In Afghanistan and the Taliban walked into Kabul without firing a shot.. "Lesson"

Nothing new. Drones are changing strategy. No one with even a basic understanding of history expected anything other than what we currently have. Iran has spent a generation expecting to be attacked by the US. This administration is incompetent and corrupt.

Go tell that to the guys down at Maxwell. When I attended the Air (Force) Command and Staff College that was their glassy eyed monastic chant. I guess we had to find out the hard way. Good thing we’re only fighting to hide the Epstein Files.

That sounds perilously close to book learnin'. We don't need none of that in our anti-woke lethal make-our-own-rules military that wins so much we're tired of winning already.

Adam, do you think the general advised him that air power wasn't going to achieve whatever objectives he wanted (I assume it was to get rid of all the nuclear material, but we don't know at this point), and he just ignored them? I think he was hoping that the bombing campaign would

start a popular uprising, based on the actions of the Iranian people before all of this and thinking they could overwhelm the government, not realizing that the people couldn't do it and now we are stuck with this mess.

Trump wanted the quick decapitation of Irans government, that didn’t happen. Trump has no Plan B. He is simply lost. He has no idea what to do & literally the best he could expect is a version ofObama plan.Trump is not a deep thinker nor a strategic thinker he thought it’d be quick& easy.What a fool

This mess is because stupid Trump appointed people more stupid than he is. Hegseth is an unqualified disaster and he fired qualified people and replaced them with imbeciles

Here’s another uncomfortable truth, oil prices are this low is because countries are using their oil reserves to keep prices down. That will end in June or early July. Prepare for increased gas prices. Also, a shortage of motor oil is going to hit soon.

Last point is the big one. Bush 1 and the commanders who began their military careers in Vietnam were VERY aware of it in the Gulf War. Then came Bush 2 and Tinhorn Donald. I'm younger than both but remember our forces in Nam being tasked with killing Vietnamese to save them. Doesn't work.

In my lifetime the only president who ever conducted a completely necessary war was GHW Bush. He worked with allies to get them to support his war with a specific goal: expel Iraq from Kuwait. He had a clearly defined goal to expel an invader from a sovereign country & restore Kuwait's sovereignty.

Good analysis. US has the only military capable of forcing the Strait open. Don't understand the reluctance to do so, other than that casualties will be much higher than military is used to.

But Pete Hegseth & Draft Dodger Trump So enjoy watching all those Military video of the BOMBING 💥BOOMS💥! Every time they see a BIG 💥BOOM💥 on our Military Videos of the bombing on Iran BOTH of these PATHETIC BIG MOUTHS little … get 💥EXCITED💥!

It's Trump who is stuck, as are those in the military who willingly went along with his illegal war. The majority of Americans want nothing to do with this war. The worse it gets, the quicker Trump is discarded.

"We" didn't start WWII directly, but those of us who penned the Treaty of Versailles ending WWI planted seeds for at least the Euro part of WWII. So, like you said, we didn't learn very much from that experience either.

It's insane that the US still haven't learn their lessons (Viet-Nam, Afghanistan, 2nd Irak operation) on asymmetrical warfare. Yes you got a big bazooka but you can't kill mosquitos with it. But the mosquitos can inflict you death by a thousand cuts. Oh and hegesth is an idiotic drunkard !

And this one should never have been started in the first place. But our idiot president had to tear up an already viable agreement, because it wasn’t his idea. Now look at the shit he’s gotten us into, and he doesn’t know how to end it. FUDJT, and your entire sycophantic administration!!

Won't be Drump's Vietnam for long, Drump doesn't have much of an attention span. Or probably lifespan, though we're all still waiting for that celebration.

So ? The country is in it, in a war , the trillions in debt will continue to grow Economy in shambles for many The sadness in the country prevails even though every life continues , but the law s, Ethics broken everything prevails

You missed: the uncomfortable truth is the hospitals, schools, pharma research, vaccination centers, red crescents, factories, bridges, rail roads, and homes you war criminal military bombed with the people with them. America is full of assholes who think middle eastern ppl dont deserve to live

In fact, even if you commit to an achievable outcome, you shouldn't start a war in the first place. Attacking other countries is evil, and participating in that attack is evil.

Absolutely! The first thing I learned in Military History class is that air power alone does not win wars. The second thing was that “Battlemania Theory” (the belief that one big battle decides a war) disappeared with Napoleon. Foundational concepts that DT clearly does not have or understand!

Kegbreath doesn’t understand how sun tzu’s ‘art of war’ actually works & Donald doesn’t know WTAF he’s doing diplomatically!!!! They’re USELESS PRICKS!!! Ffs IMPEACH THE TANGERINE PALPATINE!!! Ffs🤬🤬🤬🤬🤬🤬🤬🤬🤬🤬🤬🤬🤬🤬🤬🤬🤯🤦‍♂️🤷‍♂️🤡’s

He got to manipulate the markets, cycle our munitions inventory to the benefit of the MIC and now has a plausible "excuse" for martial law in Nov. Oh and he did a solid for Bibi.

It occurred to me that air power alone did win one war, but it did take two trips and no sane person would ever consider it again. The next question is: is Trump sane? Not very.

You're ascribing intelligence to single celled organisms. Who were put in charge by other single celled organisms. No surprise that we're where we are now. If we could only get a human in charge. 😓

Lessons that most of us learned from the Vietnam debacle. Furthermore, wars require a raison d'être. Why are we risking American lives, risking the lives of civilians, and spending billions of dollars on materiel?

Because you are stuck with a president and admin waging a long-game war on the US & your Congress, Senate & Supreme Court are complicit. They will not commit to ending the regime & putting the real criminals in jail. Instead, they allow innocent people to be thrown into detention centres & deported.

It appears that we're in an almost intractable situation. I wish I were the eternal optimist that thought good would ultimately triumph over evil. In this case however, I think it will require grassroot efforts unlike anything we've seen in modern civilization.

My best guess is that some kind of partition / breakup into smaller regions is the least painful way out of this mess. We've already tried the experiment of remaining in an abusive relationship with the irrational, abusive partner (the ex confederacy) and this would be the next logical step.

We could get into and would love to have a serious discussion about where this nation has been and where we could be headed. We could get into and would love to have a serious discussion about where this nation has been and where we could be headed.

I’d like an acknowledgement that bombs kill people. It’s not wiping out a country, or a civilization, or terrorists. Our bombs kill people.

I'm old enough to remember when he threatened war with Europe over Greenland... He still fancies Cuba would give him an easy win as a distraction.

The United States is stuck in the most predictable place possible. Republicans start forever wars they can't finish, it's a feature of the party, not a bug. This is an objective fact that the historical record bears out. When Congress can invest in defence contractors, peace is not prosperity.

Get an f-ing clue! top0.1%/GOP fascists 100% lie, distract, gaslight. top0.1%/GOP fascists are acheiving their outcomes & then some because top0.1%/GOP fascist reason for anything incl. war was & is to distract from the trumpstein files & to continue stealing $1T's from bottom99% for top1%.

Yup you either go in to win or you don’t and it’s gotta be for the right reasons or the ppl will stop it like in so many of the wars the US could have had positive outcomes but when the ppl are not behind it it never works. And not only that but piss poor planning doesn’t help

It’s all for self enrichment, the Trump spawn are now in the DOD drone making business, it’s all double dealing and corruption with no bid contracts given to himself…and not a peep out of all the “but Hunter Biden” pearl clutching screaming meemies😡🤬

That’s requires thought…. Not a loud mouth sucker puncher in the drivers seat . Worse when you have multiples . And the yes men and women who follow them, they won’t be there long so look at your actions, it won’t get you far.

Most of trump’s people are fools. I think Kegseth thinks he’s playing a game and we have the two worst negotiators ever. No goal, no plan, no exit strategy. How can you get anywhere?

The problem the tRump administration doesn’t seem to understand is that Iran sees the US as an enemy and will endure enormous pain to stay independent from American influence. Democracy isn’t delivered with assault rifles. Maybe try diplomacy instead, like Biden did.

As a LTC, I'm sure you did staff college. We learned war is never a viable option and is to be avoided at all costs. We also learned the commander's intent had to be clearly stated so combatant commanders could plan appropriately. Here, there was no planning or consideration of the consequences.

He destroyed the agreement himself, then planned to waltz back in as the hero for "securing" it again, which hasn't happened yet. That's not leadership—that's banking on people forgetting that he broke it in the first place.

Affordable drone tech has changed the landscape of the globe. Wealthy countries can no longer rely on overwhelming force to make another country accede to their wishes or comply with demands. We need to always engage in diplomacy to an agreeable outcome or risk bankruptcy.

Oh, he had a plan. It's just that it didn't go beyond killing Iran's leaders and then their immediate total surrender, leaving him victorious. Oops

Was it all distraction, too? The $ pulled during it is just part of the scums' daily norm. In other words, seeking theft/laundering on a daily schedule, while using this "non-war" as a distraction to get the slush fund to pay supporters?