Incredible paper, finding that large companies can game the LMArena through statistical noise (via many model submissions), over-sampling of their models, and overfitting to Arena-style prompts (without real gains on model reasoning) The experiments they run to show this are pretty cool too!
It is critical for scientific integrity that we trust our measure of progress. The @lmarena.bsky.social has become the go-to evaluation for AI progress. Our release today demonstrates the difficulty in maintaining fair evaluations on the Arena, despite best intentions.
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