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I have a new working paper out today, looking at the impact of educational use of ChatGPT/AI on student test scores. Importantly, this is overall student-led use (incl for cheating!), not specialized AI tutoring tools. To my surprise, I found... no effect at all! arxiv.org/abs/2605.08812

arxiv.orgLittle Impact of ChatGPT Availability on High School Student Test Score PerformanceIn educational settings, AI can be used as a learning aid, but can also be used to avoid schoolwork, thereby passing classes while learning little. Many existing studies on the impact of AI on educati...

Great to see you doing rsearch something important. I didn't read closely, but it did look like you're using school-level data not individual student data. I suspect / wonder if the mismatch between experimental data and this has to do with this, a sort of ecological fallacy.

That is, thinking about it as a multilevel model with students nested in schools, you want level 1 (individuals) not level 2 (schools). Or at least, experiments are at level 1 typically, accounting for competing findings.

This is definitely a possibility (nonzero student effects, zero aggregate effects) and it's a part of the way I interpret the results in the paper. Notably though I also find no impacts on the lower or upper ends of the distribution either.

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Sounds like I should actually read more closely! Naturally though, I think about the problem like a psychologist, concerned about individual level processes. I think your results suggest teachers are managing to pivot and adapt assessment to maintain the status quo though, which is heartening!